NHL · resolved market
Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x59f68662715d1c56772553ad19f93b16a91a88ab04b5460e810c6856e63f56de
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,683
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,683 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Under | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,300 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8013…5b52backed Over | 43c | 9,463$4,069 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,068.97 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 44c | 8,745$3,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,856.49 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under | 56c | 8,081$4,539 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.73 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 55c | 1,832$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$825.59 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 42c | 463.2$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.54 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 45c | 412.76$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5a…344cbacked Over | 53c | 380$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.4 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 56c | 378.84$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.59 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 44c | 312.8$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.8 | 162 | 35.2%57 W · 105 L | -9.3wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 38c | 293.18$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.65 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 45c | 239.5$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.15 | 583 | 52.1%304 W · 279 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 39c | 213$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.78 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 55c | 194.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.23 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.82 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 45c | 159.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.69 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Over | 45c | 150.15$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.57 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 41c | 131.96$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6d…3070backed Over | 33c | 113$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.48 | 85 | 48.2%41 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…db4bbacked Under | 73c | 98.08$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 141 | 53.9%76 W · 65 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 66c | 92.16$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.73 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 44c | 88.77$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 50c | 86.03$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.39 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 46c | 84.62$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.8 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed Under | 56c | 83.23$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 502 | 51.2%257 W · 245 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Over | 43c | 74.6$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Under | 51c | 74$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 239 | 50.6%121 W · 118 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76a3…2aa6backed Over | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 42c | 65.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 1,092 | 50.4%550 W · 542 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb39b…14c9backed Under | 48c | 63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.76 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…fcc3backed Under | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 177 | 59.9%106 W · 71 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 48c | 62.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x800d…47afbacked Under | 47c | 50.6$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.82 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Over | 43c | 45$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9d…2269backed Under | 51c | 40.27$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.93 | 40 | 72.5%29 W · 11 L | +6.7wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x23f5…5ef2backed Under | 62c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff1…f8debacked Over | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -6.4wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xac49…e3c1backed Under | 58c | 32.84$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under | 61c | 32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.48 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb2c…bb26backed Over | 39c | 28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.92 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 6.5this page
- Jets vs. RangersJets won
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 4.5Over won
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5Under won
- Jets vs. Rangers: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Jets won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.