TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Jets vs. Rangers

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Jetsof Jets, Rangers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$998,023

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $998,023 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 535 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf195…8057backed Jets48c585,514$282,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$302,758.745352.8%28 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+26.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Rangers52c300,119$156,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156,061.222443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Rangers51c100,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.9924349.8%121 W · 122 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Rangers52c67,071$34,877 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34,87751550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Rangers52c35,267$18,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,185.891,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Rangers51c30,000$15,300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,3001,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xebbb…4214backed Rangers52c28,466$14,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,80112835.9%46 W · 82 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Rangers49c22,191$10,867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,866.5227448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x448a…e87dbacked Rangers0c22,000$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Rangers51c19,766$10,155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,154.691,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Rangers52c12,556$6,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,525.5759450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7a2…ae70backed Rangers52c12,359$6,426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,426.4812047.5%57 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Rangers52c10,408$5,434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,434.0261950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Jets48c10,141$4,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,249.891,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a84…ffbbbacked Jets50c9,908$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,908.03366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Rangers50c9,476$4,760 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,759.522,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Jets50c9,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,50026551.3%136 W · 129 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5031…1ffbbacked Jets46c8,522$3,880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,641.893650%18 W · 18 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Jets50c7,991$3,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,995.3412838.3%49 W · 79 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd09…a188backed Jets48c7,390$3,547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,842.7861748.5%299 W · 318 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Rangers52c6,360$3,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,30732251.9%167 W · 155 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b90…2194backed Rangers51c5,900$3,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,008.9615749.7%78 W · 79 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Rangers51c5,672$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,892.531,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Jets47c4,456$2,094 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,361.8543548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Rangers52c4,365$2,270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,27016843.5%73 W · 95 L-14.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Jets48c4,202$2,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,185.0885250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcb4…832bbacked Jets51c4,052$2,058 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,994.011100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Rangers53c4,000$2,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,12089547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xebc7…4003backed Rangers54c4,000$2,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,159.9911553%61 W · 54 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9bd3…41f8backed Rangers51c3,909$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003240.6%13 W · 19 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Jets47c3,500$1,645 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.9560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc43…96d3backed Jets46c3,029$1,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,635.752951.7%15 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1433…56a0backed Rangers51c2,878$1,468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.5522550.2%113 W · 112 L+1.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6368…6dc8backed Rangers52c2,874$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5004553.3%24 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Jets47c2,800$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,483.9827850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Rangers54c2,610$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.3914954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Jets51c2,573$1,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.7889636.9%331 W · 565 L-30.9wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-26.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Rangers49c2,528$1,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,235.051833.3%6 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Rangers54c2,392$1,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,297.181,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd56c…ebd1backed Jets48c2,309$1,108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Rangers54c2,222$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf8d2…c842backed Rangers50c2,208$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,104250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Jets53c2,097$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$980.551,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a75…4347backed Jets47c2,096$985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,110.712657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed Jets48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.337755.8%43 W · 34 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e33…1482backed Rangers50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002850%14 W · 14 L+2.8wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+37.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Jets46c2,000$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0801,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Jets47c1,872$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$997.542,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Jets46c1,708$794 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$913.821,89152.4%991 W · 900 L+36.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe3b4…7730backed Rangers1c1,635$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.8270%0 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Jets41c1,624$672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$951.863,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Rangers55c1,579$867 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$866.6940356.3%227 W · 176 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Rangers52c1,500$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78558352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaff3…6eccbacked Jets47c1,467$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770.4122250%111 W · 111 L-1.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Rangers52c1,359$707 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$706.731,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8eac…bca8backed Rangers45c1,327$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Jets64c1,309$842 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$466.2152172.6%378 W · 143 L+36.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+9.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x80c2…c3d6backed Rangers53c1,308$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.2420%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a13…db82backed Rangers52c1,293$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$673.97948.1%38 W · 41 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Rangers51c1,247$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.92,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3b54…db07backed Rangers52c1,238$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.216550.8%33 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…f328backed Rangers53c1,014$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$537.148345.8%38 W · 45 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x52de…b353backed Rangers53c1,001$531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$530.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb7b3…9573backed Rangers53c1,000$530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53019645.9%90 W · 106 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Rangers51c1,000$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xba9c…d2c1backed Rangers52c1,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5209853.1%52 W · 46 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7333…ca16backed Rangers1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10150%0 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked Rangers52c992.57$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5205251.9%27 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf594…bfc1backed Jets47c990.07$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.923447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x30a3…1943backed Jets49c973.32$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.392853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Rangers51c950.69$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9791653.9%494 W · 422 L+39.6wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe622…ea5ebacked Rangers53c950$504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503.522352.9%118 W · 105 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a72…33eebacked Rangers50c944.96$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.371,34554.8%737 W · 608 L+21.0wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1f3…e4a1backed Jets49c940$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$479.41656.3%9 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Jets67c939$634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$305.4817247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Rangers52c892.31$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46431848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x781d…201bbacked Jets56c890.77$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$390.77366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick54cpaid+19.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Jets49c825$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$420.936648.6%178 W · 188 L-14.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Rangers52c808$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.1683149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked Rangers50c798.59$401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.4757157.8%330 W · 241 L+12.7wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed Rangers44c797.08$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.3995049.1%466 W · 484 L+12.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9976…67dabacked Rangers49c790.62$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.4319848.5%96 W · 102 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Rangers53c736.34$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387.811258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x128a…a1b0backed Jets50c726$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3632552%13 W · 12 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid-5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…0f9abacked Jets49c677$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2733950.1%170 W · 169 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Jets66c660$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.44339.5%17 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xacbe…85d4backed Rangers52c640$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$332.820147.3%95 W · 106 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6036…d2ccbacked Jets47c638.98$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.6647051.5%242 W · 228 L+12.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Jets50c636.8$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.74580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+38.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Rangers51c627.45$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32016756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5d1e…d5dfbacked Jets67c609.99$409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.314757.1%84 W · 63 L+0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Rangers32c600$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.0419963.8%127 W · 72 L+27.6wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+18.5%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Jets47c599.95$282 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$317.9745749.2%225 W · 232 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Rangers52c596.15$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31047256.8%268 W · 204 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Jets49c561.22$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.223246.9%15 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9592…a85bbacked Rangers59c511.35$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30011950.4%60 W · 59 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd67…3d41backed Jets48c510$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$265.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf90…8e17backed Rangers51c505$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.5533941.3%140 W · 199 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb502…d4d4backed Rangers53c500$265 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-67.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd0b…4857backed Jets48c500$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26021846.8%102 W · 116 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.