TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2e16…9719

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
106
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Champions League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 58 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick64cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Jazz vs. Suns: O/U 233.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$550Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$549.98
Bulls vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,499Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$526.76
Nuggets vs. Sunsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$5,002Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$2,247.22
Heat vs. Jazzbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+42.9%+$214.29
Rockets vs. Pistons: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Bulls vs. Timberwolvesbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Warriors vs. Mavericks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Nuggets vs. Wizardsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$441Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+47.1%+$207.57
Thunder vs. Bucks: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+133.2%+$333.02
Hawks vs. Grizzlies: O/U 237.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Celtics vs. Pistons: O/U 224.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$609Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+43.4%+$264.29
Mavericks vs. Knicks: O/U 230.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+85.2%+$212.96
Clippers vs. Wizardsbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 19, 2026, EST+40.5%+$404.73
Hornets vs. Warriorsbacked Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,249Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$485.87
Jazz vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST+47.1%+$964.71
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+47.1%+$5
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$3,319Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST-100%-$3,318.71
Timberwolves vs. Heatbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+57.6%+$576.18
Celtics vs. Jazzbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$428.57
Suns vs. Pelicansbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+28.6%+$143.03
Celtics vs. Pacersbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST+35.1%+$175.59
Mavericks vs. Pelicansbacked Mavericks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$204Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$203.71
All 22 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$377.19
Liverpool FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,276Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$1,276.35
Arsenal FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
AFC Bournemouth vs. Liverpool FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Burnley FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$2,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+156.6%+$3,290.41
Will Everton FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$9,042Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$9,041.82
Will Manchester City FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,304Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST+61.3%+$799.05
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$4,454Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 7, 2026, EST-100%-$4,454.16
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$5,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+64.6%+$3,550.59
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-01-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+83.5%+$3,340.1
Will Sunderland AFC vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$4,294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.5%+$2,641.39
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,400
Will Liverpool FC vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$2,858Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+73.8%+$2,108.78
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-01-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Will Manchester United FC win on 2025-12-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+354.5%+$1,772.73
Will Liverpool FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$5,024Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+25%+$1,255.95
Will Manchester City FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,079Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST+58.7%+$1,220.97
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2025-12-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$654Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 21, 2025, EST+111.7%+$730.73
All 19 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1353.8%7 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick64cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Athletic Club vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$3,999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+29.2%+$1,166.68
Real Oviedo vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$225Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$225.35
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$600
Villarreal CF vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,105Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+81.8%+$903.89
Will Sevilla FC vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$974Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST+44.9%+$437.38
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+38.9%+$388.89
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona win on 2026-01-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,000
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+81.9%+$818.73
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$7,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+49.3%+$3,447.76
Will RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. FC Barcelona end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$2,500
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-01-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,500
Will Getafe CF win on 2026-01-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+28.2%+$141.03
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST1283.3%10 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.22per pick61cpaid+31.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$562Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+51.5%+$289.67
FC Bayern München vs. RU Saint-Gilloise: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$707Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+27.4%+$193.7
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+54.1%+$270.43
Will Atalanta BC win on 2026-01-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+37%+$369.86
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+34.8%+$173.84
Juventus FC vs. Sport Lisboa e Benfica: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+55.9%+$68.51
Galatasaray SK vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 21, 2026, EST+58.7%+$293.65
Olympiakós SFP vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+77.1%+$385.68
FC København vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$725Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+96.4%+$699.08
Villarreal CF vs. AFC Ajax: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST+80.2%+$801.57
Real Madrid CF vs. AS Monaco FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 20, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 12 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$5,001Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$1,493.83
Sabres vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$83.17
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,202Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+45.1%+$1,897.03
Blue Jackets vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,749Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+82.8%+$1,447.83
Rangers vs. Maple Leafsbacked Maple Leafs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$2,024Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$787.1
Jets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.81
Kraken vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Blackhawks vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$125.24
Capitals vs. Canucksbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$700Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$700
Flyers vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST+79.2%+$316.86
Ducks vs. Avalanchebacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$933Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 22, 2026, EST-100%-$932.94
Avalanche vs. Hurricanesbacked Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 3, 2026, EST+75.4%+$1,508.77
All 12 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-03-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,161.73
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,098.49
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,835Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+68.7%+$1,948.28
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,160.99
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,670Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,670.18
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$361.88
Will Poland win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+52%+$519.44
Will Kosovo win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$572Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$308.16
Ukraine vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$834Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$834.03
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$297.31
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,050Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+100%+$1,050
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$797.11
Juventus FC vs. SSC Napoli: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$4,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 8, 2026, EST-100%-$4,651.78
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$3,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST+42.9%+$1,501.73
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-01-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 4, 2026, EST+132.6%+$1,325.58
Will AC Milan win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$2,500Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+56.3%+$1,407.64
Will AC Milan win on 2025-12-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$4,000Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST+40.4%+$1,614.13
All 9 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Maduro mugshot released by January 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$44,378Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+58%+$25,752.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved Dec 20, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Anthony Joshua?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$2,007Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$2,006.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-01-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$44.78
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 25, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump release more Epstein files by December 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 25, 2025, EST-100%-$499.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Minnesota Twins vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$499.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colts vs. Texansbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jan 2, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Nassr Saudi Club win on 2026-01-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.