TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$105,158
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,272

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $105,158 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under40c49,631$19,786 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,785.615655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over60c4,615$2,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,834.541,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over60c4,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6002454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over64c3,763$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.463,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Over60c3,000$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2002352.2%12 W · 11 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over58c2,703$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,136.744,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over58c2,200$1,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9245635.7%20 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Over60c2,000$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8007045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Over60c1,933$1,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.422100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+64.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c1,921$1,142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$778.891,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under13c1,791$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.411,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over58c1,648$956 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.8550850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over44c1,497$659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$838.153647.2%17 W · 19 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6789…6302backed Under40c1,316$527 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$526.55333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over60c1,231$739 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491.8886455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48042352%220 W · 203 L-1.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over60c1,200$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4802454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over51c1,059$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$519.046333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over60c1,020$612 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40818850%94 W · 94 L-6.9wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e16…9719backed Over58c861.62$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.881040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-35.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbc7e…459cbacked Over61c819.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$319.67850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over60c808.81$485 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.521145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over61c741.94$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.945655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over58c700$406 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29421957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xce2b…08fabacked Over58c689.66$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.6622551.6%116 W · 109 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-3.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c666.67$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.672250%11 W · 11 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-18.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61bb…5854backed Over57c629.95$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.881656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-14.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over60c580.87$349 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.3514948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb4…8285backed Over62c537.06$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.511,00153.9%540 W · 461 L+34.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over49c509.67$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.938032.5%26 W · 54 L-7.6wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under40c469.14$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.1736850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over43c446.55$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.534528.9%13 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ac2…f949backed Over61c420$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.822652.7%119 W · 107 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over61c400$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15667354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1602254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16011646.6%54 W · 62 L-4.2wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc210…39fcbacked Over60c400$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1606051.7%31 W · 29 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.648734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over79c354.69$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.6920067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over43c350$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.55042%21 W · 29 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-11.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over60c350$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14026454.5%144 W · 120 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Over60c345.62$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.3123749.8%118 W · 119 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f72…2fbfbacked Over58c344.83$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.8312254.1%66 W · 56 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…6592backed Over60c333$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.23455.9%19 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+32.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Over61c329.7$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.72254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under41c315.51$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1307247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x7b8c…31c3backed Under42c298.3$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12515448.1%74 W · 80 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under41c281.78$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.812,38053.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L+76.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1399…48c8backed Over69c275.2$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.3125865.9%170 W · 88 L+40.1wins+0.16per pick50cpaid+54.4%equal weight66+0.14 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Under10c264$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.446536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb63…f6a4backed Over58c257.33$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.085334%18 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf08d…9faebacked Under43c255.81$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8bf3…6077backed Over59c212.16$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.9948140.1%193 W · 288 L-17.3wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8046453.2%247 W · 217 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8039749.9%198 W · 199 L-16.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under41c190.08$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.383,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ece…8786backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411060%6 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf6b7…d2e3backed Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.411643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Under16c171.55$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4115950.9%81 W · 78 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c19…859cbacked Over61c163.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.933256.3%18 W · 14 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over62c161.29$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.292045%9 W · 11 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick59cpaid-22.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over60c160$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6411748.7%57 W · 60 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc9f…21f7backed Over61c159.67$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.27875%6 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over59c152$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.322152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under31c142.16$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.681,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over60c142.07$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.832,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under20c141.26$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.564,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5612350.4%62 W · 61 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over60c140$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5613050.8%66 W · 64 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over60c138.35$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3416758.7%98 W · 69 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6d1…21c7backed Over58c129.31$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.313243.8%14 W · 18 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick39cpaid-18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over58c120.4$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.442853.3%228 W · 200 L-15.5wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc599…2cecbacked Over60c120$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4820245.5%92 W · 110 L-13.7wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under14c116.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2874034.1%252 W · 488 L-36.1wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6249…cee9backed Over68c114.65$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.099100%9 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over60c112$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.810442.3%44 W · 60 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2c29…ed84backed Under10c105.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.52650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+72.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$402552%13 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407945.6%36 W · 43 L-4.9wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a0e…b0babacked Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$403647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Under43c100$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4321444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4045949.5%227 W · 232 L-13.7wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408055%44 W · 36 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+8.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4850450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over57c100$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$433461.8%21 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+26.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Over60c97.89$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.1610153.5%54 W · 47 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cae…bf8abacked Over60c96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.45754.4%31 W · 26 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over60c96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.410944%48 W · 61 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over60c96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.435848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over72c91.51$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.6710868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Over60c84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.617557.1%100 W · 75 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4dcc…00c9backed Over60c82$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.9250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.20per pick30cpaid-16.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326051.7%31 W · 29 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3212147.9%58 W · 63 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327450%37 W · 37 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326850%34 W · 34 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326852.9%36 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$326349.2%31 W · 32 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327552%39 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over60c80$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327848.7%38 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.