TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$64,030
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$59,700

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $64,030 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 103 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9ba8…cdb3backed Under62c12,000$7,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,559.935655.4%31 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over48c8,060$3,894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,893.753,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over80c6,210$4,956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,955.694250%21 W · 21 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under47c5,029$2,369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,660.474,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over38c3,115$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.8721444.9%96 W · 118 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under45c2,371$1,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,309.615050%25 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under28c2,291$642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,649.641,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over34c1,314$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.136333.3%21 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-29.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa396…0019backed Over28c1,040$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2961533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+14.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over22c1,000$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22045421.4%97 W · 357 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-17.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf439…bf9cbacked Over37c999.99$370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3702646.2%12 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked Under45c975.67$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.6716342.9%70 W · 93 L+0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over32c937.5$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007530.7%23 W · 52 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-16.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over38c789$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8232855.8%183 W · 145 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc7…43e5backed Over22c777$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.9413830.4%42 W · 96 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8519…f4e1backed Over35c714.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5cce…5c2fbacked Under66c650$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2211100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over38c529.18$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.037143.7%31 W · 40 L-5.7wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-17.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under50c508.93$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.3950850%254 W · 254 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over45c452.19$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.7476048.7%370 W · 390 L-2.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over56c446.43$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2508734.5%30 W · 57 L-8.6wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x8db2…f8a2backed Over21c430.62$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$921216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4844…32c9backed Over38c394.74$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1502751.9%14 W · 13 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Under45c333.33$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.337247.2%34 W · 38 L+8.7wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+11.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Under75c333$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.2515646.2%72 W · 84 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over35c330$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.74748.9%23 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe828…82d1backed Under64c312.5$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.54259.5%25 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f1…3cd3backed Over70c300$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2107250%36 W · 36 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Over38c300$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11467354.7%368 W · 305 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Over24c294.65$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3246536.1%168 W · 297 L+6.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4747…2987backed Over35c285.71$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10050%0 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6394…9749backed Over35c284.69$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+18.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4f…ccbbbacked Over37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over38c260.06$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.8214948.3%72 W · 77 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over40c237.44$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.1386455.3%478 W · 386 L+8.5wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Over35c229.46$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.3188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed Over38c221.81$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.2924653.3%131 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc92b…aa18backed Over79c220.96$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.56757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-6.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over41c205.41$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.8135658.7%209 W · 147 L+35.0wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+28%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xef18…4d70backed Over49c202.32$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1428964.4%186 W · 103 L+42.6wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+44.6%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed Over38c202.17$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.8225554.5%139 W · 116 L+8.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1be…d6a2backed Over75c200$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1505358.5%31 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick60cpaid-6.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under29c172.41$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.4132356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a81…a86bbacked Over75c160.71$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12020067.5%135 W · 65 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick37cpaid+25.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb897…e44ebacked Over38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick37cpaid-68.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb409…10b2backed Over76c131.58$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-20.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe972…8004backed Under23c124.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.75825%2 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec45…6ba6backed Over63c119.96$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.124344.2%19 W · 24 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under65c119.42$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2336850.3%185 W · 183 L+9.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c119.34$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.921,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under41c116.6$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.834,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Over37c105$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.8525948.6%126 W · 133 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over68c100$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6830836%111 W · 197 L-17.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-20.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over34c98.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41,26247.5%600 W · 662 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Over55c90.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505655.4%31 W · 25 L+2.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb171…7d2bbacked Under66c90.91$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.918572.9%62 W · 23 L+7.4wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf08d…9faebacked Under66c83.33$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.33250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over35c80.71$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.451,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over53c80$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.450450.2%253 W · 251 L+13.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over33c78.22$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.812,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbde…3dc9backed Over35c69$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.153161.3%19 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+11.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dfb…ebbfbacked Under65c69$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.152934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-31.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x389a…cf3dbacked Over37c64.75$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.961464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.12per pick52cpaid+16.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a22…c3b5backed Under45c64.67$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.574522.2%10 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over55c63.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3582340.9%337 W · 486 L-2.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Over62c61.44$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.316237.1%23 W · 39 L-6.0wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-20.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over57c61.4$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$357634.2%26 W · 50 L-7.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Under66c60$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.45846.6%27 W · 31 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+31.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over70c57.19$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4010868.5%74 W · 34 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3319…ba79backed Over61c54.53$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.284358.1%25 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6bb7…a3f7backed Over37c54.05$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under28c52.67$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.928456%47 W · 37 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209842.9%42 W · 56 L-3.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5aea…eff2backed Over38c52.63$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202944.8%13 W · 16 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick40cpaid-10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd03…df4abacked Over53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.57331.5%23 W · 50 L+0.4wins0.00per pick31cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc2cf…65fdbacked Over40c50$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-49%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa00…9fe3backed Over63c47.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304540%18 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over37c45.95$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173860.5%23 W · 15 L+4.5wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+35.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over40c44.4$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.7687651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under47c43.52$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8723751.1%121 W · 116 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-3.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x811c…fd36backed Over77c41.56$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3218769.5%130 W · 57 L+8.5wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb941…6d97backed Over48c41.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd066…9eecbacked Over38c39.47$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over39c38.46$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1545120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Under29c38$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.986055%33 W · 27 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over35c35.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5943653.7%234 W · 202 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8724…b082backed Over63c31.75$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011447.4%54 W · 60 L-0.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over34c30$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.236329.8%108 W · 255 L-17.4wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over77c30$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.14761.7%29 W · 18 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under62c26.05$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.99843.9%43 W · 55 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0922…d953backed Over53c25.64$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.593844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Under64c24$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.6412454.8%68 W · 56 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e9b…964fbacked Under64c23.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.44450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Over68c22.16$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.12166.7%14 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x90a3…1701backed Over78c21.35$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.652958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8de7…61c0backed Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108158%47 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2912…6817backed Over60c20$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129754.6%53 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66e8…c0e2backed Over58c19.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5110%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under59c19.18$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.8134144.3%151 W · 190 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.