Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xde8bd4c52098d6178c713ebb7ec8839f565d53e6a987aabcff9fcf3b24b0914b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Norwayof Netherlands, Norway
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $44,874
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,144
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $44,874 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x777d…5143backed Norway | 69c | 19,191$13,225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,966.01 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Netherlands | 33c | 7,512$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Norway | 67c | 6,662$4,442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,219.97 | 368 | 50.3%185 W · 183 L | +9.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Netherlands | 31c | 4,100$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285 | 214 | 44.9%96 W · 118 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Netherlands | 31c | 3,281$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.89 | 105 | 58.1%61 W · 44 L | +7.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Norway | 68c | 3,269$2,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.93 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Netherlands | 31c | 3,149$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.28 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Netherlands | 31c | 3,147$981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$981.4 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Norway | 68c | 2,577$1,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.72 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Netherlands | 31c | 2,546$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.73 | 63 | 33.3%21 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Norway | 68c | 1,494$1,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.05 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Netherlands | 31c | 1,340$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.39 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Netherlands | 31c | 1,283$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.48 | 508 | 50%254 W · 254 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Netherlands | 31c | 967.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 31cpaid | -79%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Netherlands | 31c | 965.87$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.4 | 864 | 55.3%478 W · 386 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Netherlands | 33c | 845.31$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Netherlands | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 163 | 42.9%70 W · 93 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Netherlands | 32c | 790.68$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 237 | 49.8%118 W · 119 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Netherlands | 32c | 789.74$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.77 | 246 | 53.3%131 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Norway | 67c | 700$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 219 | 57.5%126 W · 93 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Netherlands | 31c | 679.38$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.18 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Netherlands | 31c | 538.27$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.86 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Netherlands | 33c | 343.45$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.34 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x972f…65bdbacked Netherlands | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 151 | 57.6%87 W · 64 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Netherlands | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 255 | 54.5%139 W · 116 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4747…2987backed Netherlands | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Netherlands | 29c | 303.87$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.78 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4923…6866backed Norway | 68c | 300$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Netherlands | 31c | 299.97$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 128 | 29.7%38 W · 90 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Netherlands | 31c | 292.82$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.25 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Netherlands | 31c | 249.43$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.32 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbc…bdfbbacked Netherlands | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Netherlands | 30c | 215.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.82 | 1,688 | 54.4%918 W · 770 L | +31.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Norway | 69c | 200$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked Netherlands | 31c | 199.98$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 100 | 42%42 W · 58 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb4…d481backed Norway | 71c | 150$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.7 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.8wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x155d…3ec8backed Netherlands | 34c | 147.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 255 | 32.9%84 W · 171 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Netherlands | 31c | 117.22$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.69 | 237 | 51.1%121 W · 116 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Netherlands | 29c | 98.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 161 | 16.8%27 W · 134 L | -16.9wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x739d…d2ffbacked Netherlands | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 181 | 28.2%51 W · 130 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Netherlands | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 76 | 34.2%26 W · 50 L | -7.0wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9b…23cabacked Netherlands | 32c | 57.16$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.51 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8585…eef1backed Netherlands | 35c | 42.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | +4.1wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xedf1…5776backed Netherlands | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…12f5backed Netherlands | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Norway | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe68f…58edbacked Norway | 69c | 24.88$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca22…71a0backed Norway | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +40.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf237…4989backed Norway | 68c | 22.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe176…8a47backed Norway | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ef0…d45bbacked Norway | 68c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Norway | 69c | 16.53$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.12 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x49d0…bf9dbacked Norway | 72c | 14.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Netherlands (-1.5)this page
- Netherlands vs. Norway: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 1.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 2.5Over won
- Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 3.5Under won
- Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Netherlands (-2.5)Norway won
- Spread: Norway (-1.5)Netherlands won
- Spread: Norway (-2.5)Netherlands won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.