TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8db2…f8a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
146
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT4647.8%22 W · 24 L+4.5wins+0.10per pick38cpaid+3.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$60.14
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$66.19
San Diego Padres vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+108.1%+$23.04
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Colorado Rockiesbacked Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Arizona Diamondbacksbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.97
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Texas Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.44
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+201.1%+$162.35
Texas Rangers vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+162.7%+$16.92
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$41Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+120.7%+$49.04
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100.8
Baltimore Orioles vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.41
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.46
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Pirates: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$12.08
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.23
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+47%+$9.23
Detroit Tigers vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$18.07
Spread: Athletics (-1.5)backed Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.25
Spread: San Francisco Giants (-1.5)backed San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Cincinnati Reds vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+208%+$206.27
Spread: Minnesota Twins (-1.5)backed Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.35
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubs: O/U 8.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.1
New York Mets vs. Chicago Cubsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.66
Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked Kansas City Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.92
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+114.6%+$20.7
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. New York Yankeesbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.45
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT2334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Luke Kennard: Assists O/U 5.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+65.2%+$18.03
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.29
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.3
Spread: Nuggets (-6.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+90%+$153.47
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.32
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.11
Stephen Curry: Points O/U 27.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+86.9%+$16.9
Spread: Suns (-2.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$24.25
Coby White: Points O/U 13.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+109.2%+$13.15
Pistons vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.26
Jazz vs. Nuggets: O/U 248.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$93Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.9%+$101.23
Pelicans vs. Raptors: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Pelicans vs. Raptorsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$444
Bulls vs. Thunderbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$315
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$136
Hawks vs. Celtics: O/U 224.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$84
Heat vs. Cavaliers: O/U 241.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$16.18
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 238.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$598Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$598
Clippers vs. Pacersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$123Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+63%+$77.5
Clippers vs. Pacers: O/U 235.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Spread: Clippers (-9.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$243Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$243
Heat vs. Cavaliersbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$259Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$259
Hawks vs. Celticsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$222Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$222
All 23 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.09per pick15cpaid-86.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.19
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.88
ACF Fiorentina vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.71
Will Real Betis Balompié vs. SC Braga end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.9
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$93Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.71
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.66
Will FC Porto win on 2026-04-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.43
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.69
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.1
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed FC Porto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.39
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.41
Nottingham Forest FC vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.06
Will AEK win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.35
AEK vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05 end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.58
Aston Villa FC vs. Bologna FC 1909: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.37
RC Strasbourg Alsace vs. 1. FSV Mainz 05: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+126%+$70.06
All 17 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 28, 2026, EDT1216.7%2 W · 10 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick13cpaid-47%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-03-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+53.7%+$10.21
Will Uruguay win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.99
Will England vs. Uruguay end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$151Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.15
Will England win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.35
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
England vs. Uruguay: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+382.8%+$321.55
Spread: England (-1.5)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Switzerland vs. Germany end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.5
Will Germany win on 2026-03-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$183Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.58
Will Switzerland win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.41
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$92
Netherlands vs. Norway: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
All 12 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-48.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CF América win on 2026-04-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.02
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.11
Spread: CSyD Macará (-2.5)backed CSyD Macará · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
CA Tigre vs. CSyD Macará: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.25
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.89
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.35
Will CA Lanús win on 2026-04-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.2
CA Lanús vs. Club Always Ready: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$364.34
CA Mineiro vs. CA Juventud: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$61.57
SE Palmeiras vs. CS Cristal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$34.27
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick38cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
NHL — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.11per pick23cpaid+16.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens vs. Toulouse FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.4
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-1.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$275.91
Spread: Racing Club de Lens (-2.5)backed Racing Club de Lens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.89
All 3 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Anyang win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.21
Will Pohang Steelers FC win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$4.74
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Apr 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 March 30-April 5?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$209Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$209.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.73
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will J.D. Vance attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$89.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Vejle BK win on 2026-04-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Matt Fitzpatrick win the 2026 RBC Heritage?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$57.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.