UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4cfd7c576f2deedd17d2a42d4f2eeefab7af03ebeb6a9aebc966eccce79c4a5b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marcio Barbosaof Dennis Buzukja, Marcio Barbosa
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,059
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $360,771
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,059 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Dennis Buzukja | 24c | 68,074$16,135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,135.32 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 60,038$45,255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,782.73 | 134 | 52.2%70 W · 64 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed Dennis Buzukja | 25c | 41,456$10,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,363.97 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed Dennis Buzukja | 21c | 38,110$8,003 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,003.09 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -4.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 20,000$15,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 14,791$11,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,441.02 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Dennis Buzukja | 21c | 10,870$2,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,316.95 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9fe…366bbacked Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 8,957$6,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,109.65 | 171 | 58.5%100 W · 71 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Marcio Barbosa | 74c | 8,832$6,531 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300.69 | 159 | 39.6%63 W · 96 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7690…74e1backed Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 7,670$5,906 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,764.03 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 7,667$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,763.5 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 6,406$4,869 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,537.54 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Dennis Buzukja | 24c | 6,396$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,535.13 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 38cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31c5…ede4backed Marcio Barbosa | 78c | 6,000$4,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,319.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 5,582$4,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,172.23 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 5,000$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 4,864$3,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.43 | 274 | 48.2%132 W · 142 L | +12.7wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 4,412$3,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,058.77 | 356 | 48.6%173 W · 183 L | +16.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4285…cfb5backed Dennis Buzukja | 22c | 4,398$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.5 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +4.5wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +54.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…9d0bbacked Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 3,762$2,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.37 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa08f…2a7abacked Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 2,750$2,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$577.44 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8982…59fbbacked Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 2,500$1,975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.38 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Dennis Buzukja | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 2,464$1,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$591.36 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Marcio Barbosa | 74c | 2,453$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.73 | 288 | 49.7%143 W · 145 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae1…c891backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 1,971$1,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.09 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…b202backed Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 1,921$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.4 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.19per pick | 27cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 1,870$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.91 | 149 | 29.5%44 W · 105 L | -15.2wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66ba…621fbacked Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 1,562$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.13 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Dennis Buzukja | 25c | 1,433$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.13 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 1,382$1,092 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.3 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 1,237$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.02 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4889…e2d8backed Marcio Barbosa | 78c | 1,234$962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.37 | 355 | 64.5%229 W · 126 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Dennis Buzukja | 17c | 1,210$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.63 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 1,200$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.11 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Dennis Buzukja | 1c | 1,200$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 0%0 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 1,105$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.15 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 1,084$824 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.2 | 905 | 53.6%485 W · 420 L | +46.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marcio Barbosa | 78c | 1,047$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.3 | 331 | 32%106 W · 225 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7333…ca16backed Dennis Buzukja | 1c | 1,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 1cpaid | +327.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Marcio Barbosa | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 84 | 61.9%52 W · 32 L | +9.2wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Dennis Buzukja | 1c | 955.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 11cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…8373backed Dennis Buzukja | 22c | 919.96$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.39 | 209 | 33.5%70 W · 139 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 919.32$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.83 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Dennis Buzukja | 22c | 866.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb73…1e52backed Dennis Buzukja | 22c | 866.55$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.64 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Dennis Buzukja | 24c | 853.75$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.68 | 155 | 40.6%63 W · 92 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Dennis Buzukja | 1c | 800$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a05…12a2backed Dennis Buzukja | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 49 | 36.7%18 W · 31 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 669.95$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 102 | 70.6%72 W · 30 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 669.69$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.12 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Marcio Barbosa | 74c | 528$391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.28 | 139 | 51.1%71 W · 68 L | +10.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x82b6…57bebacked Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 525.33$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.33 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.35per pick | 48cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1a…bf0abacked Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 499.93$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.98 | 367 | 45.8%168 W · 199 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 492.8$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.27 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcf5f…b574backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 483.62$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.91 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf974…a1e0backed Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 460.31$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.87 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 455.82$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.95 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 414.6$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.98 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -29%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba1b…de78backed Dennis Buzukja | 19c | 407.76$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 395.68$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.94 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d5…d4d3backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 394$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.5 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa859…fdb5backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 391.35$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Dennis Buzukja | 24c | 380$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.2 | 67 | 32.8%22 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9c7…5d22backed Dennis Buzukja | 25c | 379.84$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.51 | 105 | 33.3%35 W · 70 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2430…4527backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 369.98$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.79 | 19 | 78.9%15 W · 4 L | +3.7wins | +0.19per pick | 60cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 367.54$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.56 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 363.57$273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 360.66$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.89 | 106 | 64.2%68 W · 38 L | +13.7wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e00…ba80backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 354.6$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.65 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 347.81$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.26 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 314.54$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.78 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Dennis Buzukja | 22c | 305.98$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Marcio Barbosa | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 224 | 38.4%86 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9e3…cb10backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 299.98$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d87…8dbbbacked Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 297.05$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.91 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cee…0d1ebacked Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 296.56$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.97 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb64c…393dbacked Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 296.54$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.13 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2123…8d70backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 295.07$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 165 | 43.6%72 W · 93 L | -6.2wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…68d7backed Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5471…a236backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 238.89$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.72 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10cf…1cfbbacked Dennis Buzukja | 23c | 211.5$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -68.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Marcio Barbosa | 74c | 208$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.95 | 201 | 39.8%80 W · 121 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad51…d76dbacked Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 202.77$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Dennis Buzukja | 21c | 200.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.11 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 200$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Marcio Barbosa | 79c | 198.34$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.65 | 117 | 61.5%72 W · 45 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Marcio Barbosa | 75c | 192.65$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.65 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…d3fdbacked Marcio Barbosa | 77c | 192.12$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.19 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Dennis Buzukja | 21c | 188.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.54 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Dennis Buzukja | 26c | 183.77$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.78 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7914…4ce6backed Dennis Buzukja | 27c | 177.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.81 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Marcio Barbosa | 76c | 175$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 417 | 54%225 W · 192 L | +12.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0094…c496backed Dennis Buzukja | 22c | 173.31$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.13 | 65 | 32.3%21 W · 44 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Dennis Buzukja | 22c | 159.12$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.36 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Dennis Buzukja | 24c | 159.07$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.18 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Marcio Barbosa (Featherweight, Prelims)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?No won
- O/U 1.5 RoundsUnder won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsUnder won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.