TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3751…7dfd

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
247
Categories scored
26
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 57 out of 100; worst UFC at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT6845.6%31 W · 37 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.59
Boston Red Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.4
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked No Run · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$3,000Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,999.99
Mariners vs. Blue Jaysbacked Mariners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,139Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT+163.2%+$1,857.9
Tigers vs. Guardiansbacked Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$930Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$929.6
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$570Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$570
Pirates vs. Oriolesbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT+90.9%+$299.95
Mets vs. Redsbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,390Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT+65.8%+$914.65
Astros vs. Rangersbacked Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$718Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$717.53
Dodgers vs. Oriolesbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 6, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,231.91
White Sox vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$659Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$659.02
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,031Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,030.66
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$670Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$670
Dodgers vs. Piratesbacked Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$460Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$361.47
Yankees vs. Astrosbacked Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,144Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,144.39
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$2,064Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,063.86
Angels vs. Royalsbacked Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$1,990Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,989.95
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$2,253Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,252.95
White Sox vs. Twinsbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$621Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+78.6%+$488.02
Mariners vs. Raysbacked Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 3, 2025, EDT+100%+$175
Rangers vs. Diamondbacksbacked Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,666Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 2, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,666.1
Orioles vs. Padresbacked Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT+178.3%+$273
Blue Jays vs. Redsbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,528Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,527.89
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT+42.7%+$14.13
Cubs vs. Rockiesbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$908Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$908.45
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT6142.6%26 W · 35 L-5.8wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-31.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
UFC — the 61 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Dennis Buzukja vs. Bogdan Grad (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Dennis Buzukja · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,600Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,600
UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Michael Aswell (Featherweight, Prelims)backed Michael Aswell · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$523Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$522.59
UFC Fight Night: Farés Ziam vs. Tom Nolan (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Farés Ziam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.4
UFC Fight Night: Yuneisy Duben vs. Jeisla Chaves (Women's Flyweight, Prelims)backed Yuneisy Duben · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.39
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,162Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,162.1
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Caranobacked Rousey · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,830Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$461.04
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Arnold Allen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$6,480Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$5,520
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$7,500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$2,500
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Malcolm Wellmaker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$2,367Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,366.71
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,890Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,109.99
UFC Fight Night: Nicolle Caliari vs. Shauna Bannon (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Shauna Bannon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$648Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$648.46
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Alice Ardelean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$4,235Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+45.9%+$1,945.02
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed King Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,497Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$422.24
UFC 328: Grant Dawson vs. Mateusz Rebecki (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Grant Dawson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,036Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$1,924.56
UFC 328: Jim Miller vs. Jared Gordon (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Jared Gordon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$730Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$730
UFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)backed Marco Tulio · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$1,661Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,661.35
UFC 328: Clayton Carpenter vs. Jose Ochoa (Flyweight, Early Prelims)backed Jose Ochoa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.4
UFC Fight Night: Tim Elliott vs. Steve Erceg (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Steve Erceg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$728Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$243.17
UFC Fight Night: Gerald Meerschaert vs. Jacob Malkoun (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Jacob Malkoun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,261Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$355.58
UFC Fight Night: Vince Morales vs. Colby Thicknesse (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Colby Thicknesse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,055Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$519.77
UFC Fight Night: Themba Gorimbo vs. Jonathan Micallef (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Themba Gorimbo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.12
UFC Fight Night: Dom Mar Fan vs. Kody Steele (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Kody Steele · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,903Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$4,102.52
UFC Fight Night: Ryan Spann vs. Marcus Buchecha (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Ryan Spann · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$9,875Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$12,567.97
UFC Fight Night: Mayra Bueno Silva vs. Michelle Montague (Women's Bantamweight, Prelims)backed Michelle Montague · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$6,240Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$1,658.83
UFC Fight Night: Lucas Brennan vs. Francis Marshall (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Francis Marshall · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$7,246Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+25%+$1,811.47
Showing 25 of 61 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT2429.2%7 W · 17 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+24.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,972Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,971.62
Spurs vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11,043Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11,043.1
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.15
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$2,115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT+339.8%+$7,185.19
Spread: Spurs (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$166Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.82
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$198Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$198
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$133Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+1,215.8%+$1,611.18
Jalen Williams: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$91.17
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$492Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$492
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.6
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.16
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$91.71
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 213.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.1
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 219.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$88Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.05
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$212Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+57.1%+$121.13
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 207.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.8
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 228.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+418.6%+$163.47
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 220.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 201.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.46
Nuggets vs. Timberwolvesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$305.26
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,435Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$3,300.64
Raptors vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$41.52
Nuggets vs. Raptorsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$653Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 7, 2025, EDT+95.7%+$625.33
All 24 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Super Bowl national anthem last between 100 and 110 seconds?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$405.78
Big Game: Coin Tossbacked Tails · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,046Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$1,045.65
Texans vs. Titansbacked Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$811Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$811
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+100%+$1,000
Spread: Packers (-2.5)backed Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$3,180Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$2,820
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,097Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+164.4%+$1,803
Will Travis Hunter play offense and defense?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$401Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$400.57
Chiefs vs. Giantsbacked Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$270
Spread: GB (-7.5)backed GB · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT-100%-$476
Steelers vs. Patriotsbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$520Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+92.3%+$480
Vikings vs. Bearsbacked Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,948Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,948.03
Ravens vs. Billsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$1,404Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,404
Chiefs vs. Seahawks backed Chiefs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$1,047Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,047.05
Titans vs. Falcons backed Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$112.18
Giants vs. Bills backed Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$880Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 9, 2025, EDT+127.3%+$1,120
Chargers vs. Lionsbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2025, EDT+117.4%+$100
All 16 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Sep 7, 2025, EDT1145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-15.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2025 US Open?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,597Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+85.2%+$1,360.14
Will Alexander Bublik win the 2025 US Open?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 1, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
US Open: Ben Shelton vs Adrian Mannarinobacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,067Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,067.42
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Alcaraz backed Sinner · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2025, EDT-100%-$328.95
ATP Cincinnati - Sinner vs. Atmanebacked Atmane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$60
ATP Cincinnati - Rublev vs. Alcarazbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$360Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+38.9%+$140
ATP Cincinnati - Atmane vs. Rune backed Rune · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,035Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,035.07
ATP Cincinnati - Shelton vs. Leheckabacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$924Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+72.4%+$669
ATP Cincinnati - Opelka vs. Comesanabacked Comesana · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$455Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 12, 2025, EDT+109.5%+$498.22
ATP Cincinnati - Tiafoe vs. Humbertbacked Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$86.1
ATP Toronto – Rublev vs. Davidovich Fokinabacked Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$895Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT+119.9%+$1,073.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
College Football Inactivelast resolved Sep 20, 2025, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.21per pick54cpaid+38.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
College Football — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV vs. Miami (OH)backed UNLV · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$325Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+87.3%+$283.97
Iowa vs. Rutgersbacked Iowa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,120Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$1,879.97
Spread: BYU (-18.5)backed BYU · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$2,687Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 7, 2025, EDT+84.5%+$2,271.26
Texas vs. Ohio Statebacked Texas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$4,011Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$4,010.53
Auburn vs. Baylorbacked Auburn · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$4,240Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+88.7%+$3,760
Georgia Tech vs. Coloradobacked Georgia Tech · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$2,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 30, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$1,226.1
Spread: Kansas (-13.5)backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$765Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$735
Iowa State vs. Kansas Statebacked Kansas State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$132.12
All 8 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Oct 11, 2025, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick9cpaid+87.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Earnings — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-21.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.46per pick29cpaid+162.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Aug 28, 2025, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 7, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$1,562Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+116.9%+$1,826.66
Canadiens vs. Hurricanes: O/U 6.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.84
Jets vs. Wildbacked Jets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$3,060Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 29, 2025, EDT+96.1%+$2,939.99
Flames vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,506Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$1,506.1
All 4 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-22.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
WNBA — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Sun vs. Toronto Tempobacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,886Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,885.96
Connecticut Sun vs. Portland Firebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.4
Sparks vs Wingsbacked Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$2,027Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2025, EDT+51.5%+$1,044.46
Liberty vs Acesbacked Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$1,152Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+58.7%+$676.73
All 4 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+95.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$7,263Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+192.4%+$13,975.93
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$6,533Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+193.8%+$12,658.46
Will Sporting CP win on 2025-10-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$2,280Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 22, 2025, EDT-100%-$2,279.97
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Aug 29, 2025, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
League of Legends: Cloud9 vs. Disguisedbacked Disguised · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$214.62
League of Legends: BNK FEARX vs. DRXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$3,200Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 29, 2025, EDT+56.3%+$1,800
League of Legends: OKSavingsBank BRION vs. BNK FEARXbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,777Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2025, EDT+85.7%+$1,523.06
All 3 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-45.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Aug 26, 2025, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Space — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.16per pick34cpaid-16.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$442.68
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$987Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+66.7%+$658
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Dec 19, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US strike on Syria by December 19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 19, 2025, EST-100%-$102.89
Will Israel strike Yemen on September 10 ET?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$345Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$345
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 14, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+98.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Taylor Swift x Travis Kelce podcast get more than 15m views on day 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2025, EDT+98.4%+$1,621.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Connecticut Huskies vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Michigan Wolverines · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$5,840Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+37%+$2,160
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX’s initial public offering occur in June 2026 (ET)?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$293Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$292.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Sep 28, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2025 Ryder Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$6,079Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$6,078.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Oscar Piastri win the 2025 F1 Hungarian Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$3,662Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$3,662.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.80per pick80cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$4,742Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,742.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.