UFC · resolved market
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x04d7257c4a7a6a8f98566e8dcf6cfc18f1adbcb591c1a17f596c231381a1b645
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Modestas Bukauskasof Modestas Bukauskas, Christian Edwards
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- UFCevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $230,898
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $284,864
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $230,898 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 204 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in UFC is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in UFC | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a88…41ccbacked Christian Edwards | 25c | 32,222$8,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,055.47 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Christian Edwards | 26c | 20,216$5,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,256.13 | 100 | 35%35 W · 65 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f8b…01aabacked Christian Edwards | 26c | 19,000$4,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,939.99 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…9b08backed Christian Edwards | 26c | 12,228$3,197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,197.03 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5e…fd91backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 10,000$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3751…7dfdbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 10,000$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,500 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…f004backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 9,964$7,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,590.72 | 209 | 54.1%113 W · 96 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c3f…75cfbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 9,213$6,803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.36 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 80c | 7,689$6,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,573.31 | 105 | 46.7%49 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd9d…b730backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 7,500$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,899.99 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +45%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x477f…6c45backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 6,994$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,718.37 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +10.6wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81e…e3d0backed Christian Edwards | 25c | 5,155$1,289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,288.79 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7286…d5d0backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 5,000$3,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,300 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 45cpaid | +85.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…017fbacked Christian Edwards | 11c | 3,629$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.69 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Christian Edwards | 25c | 3,000$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 202 | 33.7%68 W · 134 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedea…8b39backed Christian Edwards | 18c | 2,755$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994b…c047backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 2,646$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$661.5 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 2,307$1,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.84 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +4.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01bf…070dbacked Christian Edwards | 26c | 2,138$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 35cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…d2e5backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 2,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 226 | 61.9%140 W · 86 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0506…8c6abacked Christian Edwards | 11c | 1,964$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.82 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 73c | 1,918$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.86 | 420 | 54%227 W · 193 L | +12.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Christian Edwards | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…3da3backed Christian Edwards | 27c | 1,833$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7358…1d32backed Christian Edwards | 5c | 1,822$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.21 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Christian Edwards | 26c | 1,667$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.37 | 154 | 44.2%68 W · 86 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 1,629$1,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.45 | 35 | 71.4%25 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a1b…724fbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 76c | 1,500$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 49 | 81.6%40 W · 9 L | +7.8wins | +0.16per pick | 66cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9a3f…914abacked Christian Edwards | 26c | 1,500$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.99 | 136 | 36%49 W · 87 L | -13.8wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd594…98c4backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 1,360$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd161…4cc1backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 1,334$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.94 | 309 | 64.7%200 W · 109 L | +24.5wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Modestas Bukauskas | 76c | 1,286$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.36 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Christian Edwards | 4c | 1,276$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 159 | 33.3%53 W · 106 L | -8.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Christian Edwards | 5c | 1,077$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.85 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Christian Edwards | 27c | 999.98$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.99 | 366 | 55.2%202 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef46…b0eabacked Christian Edwards | 26c | 999.96$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.99 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9644…d03bbacked Christian Edwards | 24c | 981.71$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.61 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x767a…8ac5backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 940$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.4 | 153 | 48.4%74 W · 79 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb71…10cdbacked Christian Edwards | 7c | 855.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 515 | 33.6%173 W · 342 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…a7a0backed Christian Edwards | 24c | 818.43$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.61 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb442…bed7backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 750$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5108…29cbbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 733.89$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.47 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d03…9e27backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 678.67$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Christian Edwards | 16c | 666.35$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.53 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Christian Edwards | 29c | 631.53$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 261 | 40.6%106 W · 155 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b0a…fe3abacked Christian Edwards | 8c | 600$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +4.8wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Christian Edwards | 35c | 595.86$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a5…0c4bbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 593$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.25 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3fc…5176backed Christian Edwards | 25c | 586.89$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.72 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x360b…982fbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 73c | 573.14$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.75 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8959…68e2backed Christian Edwards | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 61 | 42.6%26 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Christian Edwards | 24c | 546.52$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.29 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd614…1fa3backed Christian Edwards | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 377 | 54.6%206 W · 171 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd353…f6acbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 500$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…5ea8backed Christian Edwards | 11c | 500$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.88 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x676b…5bc3backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 451.35$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.35 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe94c…1edebacked Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 448.49$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.12 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 78c | 421.54$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Christian Edwards | 26c | 413.17$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.42 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 403.14$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.82 | 248 | 62.5%155 W · 93 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c70…b25ebacked Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 113 | 64.6%73 W · 40 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa195…8c92backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 400$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe86…ec62backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 83 | 54.2%45 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 398.35$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.59 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x198c…6a94backed Christian Edwards | 26c | 380.76$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Christian Edwards | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Christian Edwards | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 128 | 33.6%43 W · 85 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5896backed Christian Edwards | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 142 | 37.3%53 W · 89 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eca…5a59backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 331.9$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.29 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked Christian Edwards | 27c | 330.2$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7be7…5779backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 325.68$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed Christian Edwards | 13c | 306.88$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 37.3%44 W · 74 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Christian Edwards | 26c | 300$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 22cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb10e…beedbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 300$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +146.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd79…f93ebacked Christian Edwards | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 522 | 52.9%276 W · 246 L | +15.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99b1…196abacked Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.25 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f86…4fa9backed Modestas Bukauskas | 73c | 300$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81 | 145 | 60%87 W · 58 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc660…bd28backed Modestas Bukauskas | 73c | 293.94$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.36 | 145 | 58.6%85 W · 60 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc3…9a94backed Modestas Bukauskas | 70c | 287.14$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.14 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 270.27$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.27 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de6…0b70backed Christian Edwards | 9c | 266.67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.25per pick | 32cpaid | -84.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…3b17backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 69 | 53.6%37 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1252…e6e0backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.67 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x486e…c403backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 250$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d21…92e5backed Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 246.87$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef8…8712backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 240$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Modestas Bukauskas | 78c | 224.67$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda00…5c4dbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 74c | 223.82$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.19 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc98f…a13fbacked Modestas Bukauskas | 77c | 210.65$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.36 | 54 | 18.5%10 W · 44 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Christian Edwards | 27c | 200$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…3963backed Christian Edwards | 23c | 200$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.4 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…6084backed Christian Edwards | 29c | 199.98$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Christian Edwards | 12c | 197.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec2…bd08backed Christian Edwards | 27c | 193.52$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.25 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +32%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ac…6980backed Christian Edwards | 24c | 191.41$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Christian Edwards | 25c | 186.7$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.67 | 291 | 33.7%98 W · 193 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd738…eeeebacked Christian Edwards | 26c | 184.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Christian Edwards | 27c | 177.78$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52f4…2b15backed Modestas Bukauskas | 75c | 176.67$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.08 | 161 | 56.5%91 W · 70 L | +10.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in UFC and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)this page
- Fight to Go the Distance?Yes won
- O/U 2.5 RoundsOver won
- Will Christian Edwards win by KO or TKO?No won
- Will Modestas Bukauskas win by KO or TKO?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.