TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9b55…1167

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
177
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst MLB at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLBlast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT10860.2%65 W · 43 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick67cpaid-8.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 108 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Phillies: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$408Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$407.86
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: St. Louis Cardinals vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$224Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$224
KBO: Samsung Lions vs. NC Dinosbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$227Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$227.42
Atlanta Braves vs. Milwaukee Brewers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$333Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$149.61
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,178Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,177.84
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$805Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$268.34
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$802Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$267.25
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$201.6
Chicago White Sox vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,518Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,518.01
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$51.55
Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$466Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+37%+$172.35
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Cleveland Guardians vs. Detroit Tigersbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astros: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$129.5
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Toronto Blue Jays vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$48.8
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$124
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cleveland Guardians: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$780Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$220
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$292.09
Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Rays: O/U 8.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$340
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Texas Rangers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$245.45
Cleveland Guardians vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$1,210Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$304.45
Baltimore Orioles vs. Detroit Tigers: O/U 10.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.11
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Washington Nationals: O/U 7.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$1,345Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+45.4%+$609.96
Seattle Mariners vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$685Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$685.02
Los Angeles Angels vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$790Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$210
Showing 25 of 108 picks, newest first.
Cricketlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick64cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Spain vs Portugalbacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+28.3%+$55.1
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Bulgaria vs Luxembourgbacked Luxembourg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$842Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$841.93
ICC Men's T20 World Cup Europe Sub Regional Qualifier C: Czechia vs Israelbacked Israel · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$410Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+109.9%+$451.22
Afghanistan Tour of Ireland ODIs: Ireland vs Afghanistanbacked Afghanistan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$1,682Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$792.4
T20 World Cup Sub Regional Europe Qualifier C: Finland vs Bulgariabacked Finland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$40.91
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Durham vs Middlesexbacked Middlesex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$768Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+42.5%+$326.54
The Hundred, Women: Welsh Fire vs Southern Bravebacked Welsh Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$720Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$280
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Essex vs Hampshirebacked Hampshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$28
T20 Lanka Premier League: Jaffna Kings vs Kandy Royalsbacked Jaffna Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$710Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+25%+$177.7
Metro Bank One Day Cup: Lancashire vs Nottinghamshirebacked Nottinghamshire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$333Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.66
Global Super League: Lahore Qalandars vs San Francisco Unicornsbacked San Francisco Unicorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$403Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+26.7%+$107.5
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Namibia vs Nepalbacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$667Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$667.28
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Namibia vs Hong Kong, Chinabacked Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$616Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$184
T20 Namibia Quadrangular Series, Women: Tanzania vs Ugandabacked Uganda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$19.41
The Hundred, Women: London Spirit vs Manchester Super Giantsbacked London Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Namibiabacked Namibia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$547Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$164.42
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$122.58
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Nepal vs Omanbacked Oman · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$388Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$387.56
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$766Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$766.34
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
T20 Challenge Trophy, Women: Nepal vs Vanuatubacked Nepal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.81
All 21 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Uroš Medic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$180
UFC Fight Night: Jan Blachowicz vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Navajo Stirling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$115
O/U 4.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$85.19
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Daniel Santos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Christian Edwards (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Modestas Bukauskas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
UFC Fight Night: Bernardo Sopaj vs. Timmy Cuamba (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Bernardo Sopaj · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$42.59
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Andre Petroski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Tommy Gantt vs. Artur Minev (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Tommy Gantt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Daniel Barez vs. Luis Gurule (Flyweight, Prelims)backed Luis Gurule · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66.67
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.9%+$58.86
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+56.9%+$56.92
Fight to Go the Distance?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)backed Alice Ardelean · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$58.73
UFC Fight Night: Shamil Gaziev vs. Brando Pericic (Heavyweight, Prelims)backed Brando Pericic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+25%+$75
UFC Fight Night: Tai Tuivasa vs. Louie Sutherland (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Tai Tuivasa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.46
All 17 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick71cpaid-18.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Cavaliers: O/U 210.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.04
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$81.69
76ers vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$275Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$77.56
Trail Blazers vs. Sunsbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$332Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+37%+$122.9
All 5 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagueslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick71cpaid-55%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ducks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+41.5%+$41.46
Canadiens vs. Lightning: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+50.4%+$48.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-19%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFLlast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
WAS vs. DET: O/U 36.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$370Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$130
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 3, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$100.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC St. Gallen win on 2026-07-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$54
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: TEAM VISION vs Team Spirit (BO5) - The International Playoffsbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$640Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 23, 2026, EDT+25%+$160
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Livesport Prague Open: Diane Parry vs Mai Hontamabacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.82
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Claude Opus model be released by July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$140.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Earnings Inactivelast resolved Apr 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tesla (TSLA) beat quarterly earnings?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.91
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Brestois 29 win on 2026-04-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.42
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.