MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc76c10087bff9a87b223cf3de2f391aede3ac3f0c08452528b22dc6bc1bd71cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $100,833
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,042
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,833 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 32c | 26,525$8,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,493.06 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb43…4201backed Over | 65c | 16,976$10,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,023.79 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -5.3wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 60c | 6,652$4,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,634.21 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31ed…552ebacked Under | 38c | 6,640$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 36c | 5,942$2,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124.87 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Under | 52c | 3,675$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,911.67 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Over | 34c | 2,747$926 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.14 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Under | 46c | 1,686$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$773.67 | 11,356 | 52.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L | +209.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 48c | 1,618$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.51 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Over | 34c | 1,608$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,061.49 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Over | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.59 | 491 | 58.9%289 W · 202 L | +30.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Over | 32c | 1,290$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.53 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 58c | 1,126$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.23 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 37c | 1,024$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.12 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 67c | 1,000$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.06 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 33c | 795.7$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.12 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf0f…9f36backed Under | 67c | 733.46$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.42 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Over | 35c | 595.7$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.28 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Under | 25c | 446$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.28 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb3…88c1backed Under | 69c | 409.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.86 | 423 | 55.6%235 W · 188 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 34c | 341.58$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.78 | 4,477 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L | -47.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfee…0608backed Over | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.03 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 68c | 300$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Over | 34c | 299$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.34 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3556…af4fbacked Under | 35c | 271.2$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.87 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 46c | 232.57$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Under | 68c | 228$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.04 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed Over | 33c | 227.27$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.27 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 32c | 219.68$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.38 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Under | 58c | 204.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 232 | 44%102 W · 130 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Under | 67c | 202.7$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.51 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c54…bebbbacked Over | 48c | 201.81$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.94 | 63 | 54%34 W · 29 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b55…1167backed Under | 62c | 200$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70dc…1dfdbacked Over | 68c | 199.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 149 | 43.6%65 W · 84 L | -17.3wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Under | 26c | 163.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.24 | 3,456 | 51.2%1,771 W · 1,685 L | +107.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 62c | 161$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Over | 67c | 146.89$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.38 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Under | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Over | 33c | 144.91$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.09 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Under | 20c | 138.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.36 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 34c | 136.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.41 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked Over | 57c | 129.41$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.82 | 305 | 48.9%149 W · 156 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d91…3578backed Under | 68c | 113.24$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 140 | 64.3%90 W · 50 L | +11.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf555…b36bbacked Over | 51c | 98.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.03 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c6…7b39backed Over | 40c | 97.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.25 | 232 | 40.9%95 W · 137 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 32c | 92.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 75c | 87.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.19 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc44e…284abacked Over | 61c | 81.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab56…e635backed Over | 33c | 68.18$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.68 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x17e0…1e88backed Under | 20c | 67.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 544 | 41.2%224 W · 320 L | -22.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Over | 59c | 65.48$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.65 | 556 | 45.3%252 W · 304 L | -17.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 34c | 59.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.21 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Over | 60c | 55.01$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 527 | 50.1%264 W · 263 L | +19.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5998…b5a8backed Under | 33c | 49.46$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 64 | 51.6%33 W · 31 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Over | 52c | 45.45$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Under | 68c | 45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over | 63c | 44$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Over | 59c | 43.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.72 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Under | 68c | 37.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 787 | 54.6%430 W · 357 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Over | 73c | 35.3$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 59c | 32.77$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.45 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Under | 32c | 32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe326…f075backed Over | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.25 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed Over | 35c | 30.34$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.72 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Over | 56c | 25.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.27 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac48…e505backed Under | 49c | 22.24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.9 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba00…527bbacked Over | 67c | 20.01$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.6 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Under | 58c | 19.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 69c | 14.65$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.