MLB · resolved market
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x72ac8593520f7eedb4755f464e30af4521520bf78211a6ebbfaa699aa918fa57
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Los Angeles Dodgers, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,729
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,999
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,729 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 62 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 8,245$4,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,623.49 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8239…d9a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 5,682$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 81 | 66.7%54 W · 27 L | +9.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,454$2,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,004.12 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 3,186$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,418.98 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 3,000$1,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,320 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,873$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.96 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 2,222$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.78 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,471$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$652.66 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 960.34$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.34 | 179 | 61.5%110 W · 69 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4483…c565backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 888.89$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 257 | 51.8%133 W · 124 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 622.99$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.21 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…227fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 28c | 622.24$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.4 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 74c | 585.93$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.93 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 42c | 391.34$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.36 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 275$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 261$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.84 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 238.87$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…1c6dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 221.21$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.33 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 207$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.96 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 199.98$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.99 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 180$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb0b…62cdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 176$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.44 | 795 | 43%342 W · 453 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bfa…8b61backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 174.06$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.07 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 150$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,851 | 53.1%982 W · 869 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 43c | 117.4$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.48 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd439…21d3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 113.02$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.86 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 98.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.21 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 88.89$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa23c…ae92backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 162 | 51.9%84 W · 78 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 85.72$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 66.7$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.35 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 61.3$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 1,804 | 53.8%970 W · 834 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Boston Red Sox | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Boston Red Sox | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.22 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf321…4524backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 58.98$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.98 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 58.92$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 57.47$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.14 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 56.1$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.64 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x193b…f6ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 44c | 54.23$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.86 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fc…ff0bbacked Boston Red Sox | 69c | 53.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c66…db89backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 46c | 53.54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93cc…bbd9backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.4wins | -0.35per pick | 49cpaid | -74.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 27c | 49$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 45.42$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…fd9bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0460…7137backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 123 | 52.8%65 W · 58 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 41.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 40.81$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.06 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 36.07$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.87 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 38c | 35.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…caa6backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 28.44$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 93 | 49.5%46 W · 47 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…781ebacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 25.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.01 | 107 | 59.8%64 W · 43 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Boston Red Sox | 62c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 20.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.79 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.