MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x152ae5825cc555da113201161bd30ca385e08332d5173eec8261de32b749fa9c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Los Angeles Dodgers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,460
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,541
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,460 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 11,399$5,943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,943.08 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ae9…fef2backed Boston Red Sox | 45c | 10,546$4,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,800.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +28%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 4,824$1,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,428.13 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 3,574$2,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,036.43 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 3,413$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,815.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 2,492$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.5 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 52c | 1,801$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.46 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…eedebacked Boston Red Sox | 65c | 1,434$932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.9 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 957.51$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.31 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 70c | 828$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.47 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 500$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 467$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.61 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 379.34$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.33 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x864a…7cacbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 296.34$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.33 | 181 | 57.5%104 W · 77 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 278.54$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.8 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 58c | 258.71$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab7…6978backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 169.43$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.63 | 470 | 56.6%266 W · 204 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Boston Red Sox | 17c | 169.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.62 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 73c | 168.87$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.78 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 137.68$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.68 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7c2…63d8backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 132.94$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.34 | 1,014 | 50.4%511 W · 503 L | +52.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 27c | 112.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.48 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd325…8c5fbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.9 | 252 | 60.3%152 W · 100 L | +16.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd4cf…0e95backed Boston Red Sox | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Boston Red Sox | 24c | 91.4$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.91 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Boston Red Sox | 25c | 83$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 45c | 80.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.72 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Boston Red Sox | 29c | 79.45$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 424 | 51.9%220 W · 204 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Boston Red Sox | 22c | 76.8$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 76.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41cf…8268backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 55.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 118 | 61%72 W · 46 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 54.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Boston Red Sox | 28c | 51.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 2,291 | 52.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L | +24.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 71c | 39.66$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 36.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.14 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Boston Red Sox | 29c | 36.02$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.63 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4db…e401backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 34.09$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.09 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +72.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2035…d536backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 34.03$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 35 | 60%21 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b4…9dc2backed Boston Red Sox | 31c | 32.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.03 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 65c | 32.02$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.93 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 72c | 26.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 877 | 50.4%442 W · 435 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 69c | 25$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Los Angeles Dodgers | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 707 | 37.6%266 W · 441 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…32e0backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 23.88$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.67 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x131a…e4d0backed Los Angeles Dodgers | 57c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.35 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.