MLB · resolved market
Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc1025e92f2644eda6c6499b96a030848421b8949e84b4fae39a3cfb37fda03c1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $242,657
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,486
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $242,657 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 51c | 211,017$108,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108,651.81 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b20…3ab0backed Over | 49c | 166,822$81,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85,747.61 | 58 | 51.7%30 W · 28 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Over | 48c | 12,528$6,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,514.14 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 48c | 8,437$4,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,387.26 | 1,865 | 52%970 W · 895 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e0…9970backed Over | 50c | 6,419$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,209.34 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 49c | 2,558$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,310.77 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418d…88a3backed Under | 52c | 2,500$1,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,300 | 122 | 55.7%68 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Under | 50c | 2,500$1,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,250 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 48c | 2,453$1,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275.79 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…1fcabacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 48c | 1,965$943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,021.7 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 48c | 1,909$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.74 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Over | 49c | 1,900$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 48c | 1,669$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.38 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd58d…c2d6backed Under | 52c | 1,551$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 151 | 49.7%75 W · 76 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 59c | 1,298$761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.09 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Over | 48c | 1,210$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.2 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x369e…d016backed Under | 51c | 1,129$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.62 | 115 | 60.9%70 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…8abdbacked Under | 47c | 1,065$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 680 | 53.2%362 W · 318 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8efa…894cbacked Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 454 | 45.2%205 W · 249 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba62…3e29backed Under | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 221 | 49.3%109 W · 112 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 50c | 917.41$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.54 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Over | 48c | 851.18$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.61 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 48c | 841.99$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.15 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Over | 53c | 772.86$411 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.19 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Over | 49c | 714.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.65 | 272 | 49.3%134 W · 138 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05c5…6a69backed Over | 59c | 618.53$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.74 | 473 | 58.4%276 W · 197 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e0…d084backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.24 | 203 | 50.2%102 W · 101 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Under | 52c | 537.96$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.74 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed Over | 48c | 520$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.4 | 187 | 41.2%77 W · 110 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Under | 50c | 390$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Over | 51c | 378.56$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.94 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Over | 49c | 335$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.85 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 49c | 332.54$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.57 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc22e…eab8backed Over | 49c | 319.65$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.02 | 488 | 51.6%252 W · 236 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a09…ab7ebacked Over | 59c | 302.25$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.87 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 49c | 300$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed Over | 49c | 269.22$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.3 | 461 | 52.1%240 W · 221 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 42c | 258.41$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.25 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17d7…9e1ebacked Over | 63c | 240.35$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.99 | 1,000 | 58.8%588 W · 412 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Over | 48c | 232$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.64 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +8.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Over | 51c | 220.85$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.85 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 58c | 217.95$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b3…145dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 220 | 55.5%122 W · 98 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 135 | 45.2%61 W · 74 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e8…6080backed Over | 48c | 199.62$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.8 | 473 | 50.7%240 W · 233 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca6…4b74backed Under | 51c | 197$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.47 | 449 | 49.2%221 W · 228 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3992…349cbacked Under | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 167 | 44.9%75 W · 92 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Over | 49c | 177.04$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.04 | 442 | 45.5%201 W · 241 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad00…48babacked Over | 50c | 170$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88fb…db3abacked Over | 49c | 163.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.27 | 732 | 43.4%318 W · 414 L | -14.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a7…418abacked Over | 50c | 156.14$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.07 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 48cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed Over | 49c | 153.66$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.37 | 462 | 55.8%258 W · 204 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 10c | 148.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.04 | 310 | 38.4%119 W · 191 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Under | 51c | 147.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 156 | 39.1%61 W · 95 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over | 49c | 145$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.01 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bd6…bf96backed Over | 49c | 138.8$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.79 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 59c | 134.1$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 1,205 | 58.8%708 W · 497 L | +31.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Under | 50c | 120.2$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.1 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed Over | 49c | 116.7$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.52 | 536 | 55.8%299 W · 237 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Under | 49c | 104.08$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 546 | 51.3%280 W · 266 L | +29.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 404 | 46.5%188 W · 216 L | +4.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0fb…8092backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13dc…3d01backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.7wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -51.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Over | 49c | 85.02$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.36 | 292 | 50.7%148 W · 144 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Over | 50c | 81.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.67 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02e0…3741backed Over | 49c | 79.98$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 163 | 49.1%80 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd682…de06backed Under | 52c | 74.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.52 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a4f…ad73backed Under | 52c | 71.27$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +52%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed Over | 59c | 69.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.83 | 552 | 59.6%329 W · 223 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x292b…697dbacked Over | 73c | 68.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65a4…1963backed Under | 52c | 67.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed Over | 48c | 64.6$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.64 | 554 | 48.2%267 W · 287 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56fa…30cebacked Over | 49c | 62.44$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.84 | 233 | 57.5%134 W · 99 L | +22.2wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Over | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 247 | 49%121 W · 126 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe0…cc67backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Under | 48c | 54.61$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d6…1f24backed Under | 47c | 53.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.02 | 312 | 58%181 W · 131 L | +15.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Over | 48c | 52.43$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.05 | 788 | 54.6%430 W · 358 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 77c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.66 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x881b…a95fbacked Over | 48c | 50.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Under | 52c | 50.68$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.35 | 1,195 | 50%597 W · 598 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa057…d092backed Over | 49c | 47.32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.13 | 2,144 | 39.6%849 W · 1,295 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bc…a146backed Under | 51c | 47.06$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Under | 46c | 43.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd301…f176backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa96b…7d92backed Under | 51c | 41.18$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | -10.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Over | 59c | 39.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 799 | 55.9%447 W · 352 L | +21.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1712…e388backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf47f…15adbacked Over | 50c | 36.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Over | 49c | 33.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.87 | 1,245 | 56.9%708 W · 537 L | +31.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 50c | 29.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.05 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Under | 41c | 26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 344 | 43.9%151 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3563…a0a2backed Over | 52c | 22.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 2,223 | 55.4%1,231 W · 992 L | +73.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f06…2614backed Over | 50c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Over | 49c | 21.82$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 564 | 35.1%198 W · 366 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 47c | 21.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73bd…b576backed Over | 53c | 20.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.75 | 275 | 57.1%157 W · 118 L | +8.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…86d8backed Under | 51c | 20.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +52.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 16 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 8.5this page
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersBoston Red Sox won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: 1st 5 Innings O/U 5.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 10.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 11.5Over won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 12.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 13.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 14.5Under won
- Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Dodgers: O/U 9.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-3.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles DodgersYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.