TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb08…86d8

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
6
Categories below 50
3

Best Category: MLB, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2last resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT2548%12 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Map Handicap: paiN (-1.5) vs Wildcard (+1.5)backed paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.14
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs 100 Thieves (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.15
Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Metizport (BO3) - Esports World Cup Open Qualifier Group 12backed Metizport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.44
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$15.28
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ - Map 1 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+74%+$8.59
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.87
Counter-Strike: paiN vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked paiN · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.13
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs Heroic (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries European Qualifier Group Bbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Sinners (+1.5)backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.81
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)backed Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked Nuclear TigeRES · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.25
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$9
Map Handicap: HERO (-2.5) vs K27 (+2.5)backed Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$8.8
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs K27 - Map 3 Winnerbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$11.7
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked K27 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Map 3 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$14.88
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 1 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.53
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+203%+$21.58
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$9.26
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs FaZe - Map 1 Winnerbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$9.34
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked TYLOO · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.2
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$8.6
All 25 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT2147.6%10 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+132.9%+$14.62
Monterrey Open: Diane Parry vs Donna Vekicbacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+108.5%+$13.13
US Open, Qualification ATP: Francesco Passaro vs Felix Gillbacked Francesco Passaro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$10.16
US Open, Qualification WTA: Elina Avanesyan vs Andrea Lazaro Garciabacked Elina Avanesyan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
Grodzisk Mazowiecki: Mathys Erhard vs Joel Schwaerzlerbacked Mathys Erhard · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.55
National Bank Open: Maja Chwalinska vs Talia Gibsonbacked Talia Gibson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+88.9%+$10.14
National Bank Open: Donna Vekic vs Viktorija Golubicbacked Donna Vekic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.84
Hagen: Stefano Travaglia vs Matej Dodigbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Plovdiv 2: Yanaki Milev vs Oriol Roca Batallabacked Oriol Roca Batalla · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+100%+$11.31
Los Cabos Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Rinky Hijikata · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.4
Liberec: Zdenek Kolar vs Jan Kumstatbacked Jan Kumstat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$9.17
Tampere: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Otto Virtanenbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Generali Open: Laslo Djere vs Quentin Halysbacked Laslo Djere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Lincoln: Bernard Tomic vs Mark Lajalbacked Bernard Tomic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+140.2%+$14.65
Iasi Open: Paula Badosa vs Tamara Zidansekbacked Paula Badosa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$4.18
Lincoln: Colton Smith vs Yunchaokete Bubacked Colton Smith · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Lincoln: Mark Lajal vs Trevor Svajdabacked Trevor Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.27
Swiss Open: Federico Cina vs Quentin Halysbacked Quentin Halys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$11.98
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Hugo Dellienbacked Matej Dodig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.82
Wimbledon WTA: Jessica Pegula vs Coco Gauffbacked Jessica Pegula · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.57
All 21 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.26
LoL: EDward Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$9.8
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 6, 2026, EDT+110.7%+$11.59
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Legend Groupbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs T1 (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.55
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - KeSPA Cup Last Chance Qualifierbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$8.62
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.98
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.75
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$10.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 4 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+114.7%+$18.7
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$13
All 12 picks, newest first.
MLBlast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+52.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+71.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Inner Circle vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - EPL Masters 2 Play-In Group Abacked Inner Circle · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+71.1%+$7.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: France 1 - 1 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.