CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x75c3ba7bde1bea6f5f990401ba21625d018fc49f691575dd6ee99c130796a0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- K27of Aurora Gaming, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,965
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,965 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed K27 | 44c | 25,155$11,068 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,086.57 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 17,857$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 6,000$3,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,360 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b6…2fefbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 1,986$1,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,104.6 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 43c | 1,962$834 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.29 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked K27 | 45c | 833.33$375 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.33 | 526 | 36.5%192 W · 334 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31c1…bc19backed Aurora Gaming | 60c | 828.58$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 159 | 62.9%100 W · 59 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Aurora Gaming | 55c | 821.38$452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.76 | 158 | 38%60 W · 98 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Aurora Gaming | 55c | 660.82$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.45 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 569.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.89 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed K27 | 44c | 560$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.2 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed K27 | 45c | 456.21$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.8 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed K27 | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…7e11backed K27 | 42c | 305$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.9 | 559 | 41%229 W · 330 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3b…5fa5backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 212 | 63.7%135 W · 77 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 249.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 1,157 | 48.2%558 W · 599 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed K27 | 45c | 219.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.8 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 210$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.6 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 202.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.19 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Aurora Gaming | 54c | 184.13$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 40.9%47 W · 68 L | -13.1wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed K27 | 44c | 179$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.24 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaeb…c2d0backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 163.79$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…0d2ebacked K27 | 42c | 150$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87 | 583 | 43.6%254 W · 329 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 133.93$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 496 | 51.2%254 W · 242 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked K27 | 44c | 115.97$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.13 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed K27 | 45c | 111.07$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.09 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfca7…5e0abacked Aurora Gaming | 58c | 105$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.9 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa909…500dbacked Aurora Gaming | 50c | 100.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +25%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked K27 | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ca…6a8bbacked K27 | 43c | 89.04$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.75 | 752 | 45.5%342 W · 410 L | -21.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc182…1339backed Aurora Gaming | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 43.5%40 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98ba…4212backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 193 | 47.2%91 W · 102 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked K27 | 47c | 65.61$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.9 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed K27 | 44c | 65.19$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.49 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 64.42$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.07 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28fc…6171backed Aurora Gaming | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed K27 | 45c | 56.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.23 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe66…2e62backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd396…442cbacked K27 | 49c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.55 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked K27 | 45c | 49.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.18 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed K27 | 39c | 49.18$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4290…af07backed Aurora Gaming | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d72…a791backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 44.41$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.87 | 167 | 54.5%91 W · 76 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked K27 | 25c | 41.21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.89 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.16 | 447 | 47.2%211 W · 236 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x901f…b8b0backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 33.93$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 295 | 58.6%173 W · 122 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb08…86d8backed Aurora Gaming | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…c5ebbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Aurora Gaming | 56c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 807 | 41.3%333 W · 474 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed Aurora Gaming | 59c | 18.73$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 2 WinnerAurora Gaming won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.