CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca26b41507231a459895bda832bf372753ae1b2bc7b48ec6ec0299edb7f33ab9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Gamingof Aurora Gaming, K27
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,663
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,969
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,663 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked K27 | 25c | 16,792$4,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,175.76 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 10,406$7,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,601.51 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Aurora Gaming | 75c | 5,000$3,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 383 | 58.7%225 W · 158 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf424…9723backed K27 | 8c | 3,735$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.13 | 211 | 35.5%75 W · 136 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…5762backed K27 | 12c | 2,450$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.5 | 170 | 54.7%93 W · 77 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked K27 | 13c | 1,474$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.02 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed K27 | 14c | 1,299$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.04 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8400…274cbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,202$922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.84 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 1,200$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276 | 222 | 66.7%148 W · 74 L | +12.0wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbaf…f5d1backed K27 | 14c | 1,053$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.72 | 610 | 34.3%209 W · 401 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked K27 | 6c | 1,040$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 401 | 37.2%149 W · 252 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 876.65$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96d6…0c2abacked K27 | 8c | 865.56$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc56…8f28backed K27 | 20c | 796.2$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.79 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc714…d152backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 763.79$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.36 | 119 | 49.6%59 W · 60 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 649.35$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.35 | 1,163 | 54.3%631 W · 532 L | -38.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed K27 | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked K27 | 6c | 490$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.29 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed K27 | 6c | 461.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.41 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77f1…e320backed K27 | 26c | 447.04$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.34 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x21ed…1ea1backed K27 | 23c | 401.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.46 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf369…8283backed K27 | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | +8.0wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0c…da03backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 387.1$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6385…2afabacked K27 | 4c | 346.1$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.91 | 415 | 16.6%69 W · 346 L | -36.5wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked K27 | 14c | 313.8$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.93 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed K27 | 9c | 292$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked K27 | 10c | 265.04$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.95 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d03…100ebacked Aurora Gaming | 78c | 256.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.51 | 410 | 69.3%284 W · 126 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked K27 | 4c | 253.12$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.31 | 161 | 42.9%69 W · 92 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 239.92$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.22 | 622 | 48.2%300 W · 322 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked K27 | 7c | 228.67$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc620…7a70backed K27 | 7c | 220$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 155 | 40%62 W · 93 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed K27 | 5c | 208.71$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3265…cf6bbacked K27 | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 143 | 31.5%45 W · 98 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked K27 | 12c | 163.4$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked K27 | 10c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked K27 | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked K27 | 11c | 150$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ec…2711backed K27 | 24c | 137.5$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked K27 | 24c | 135.42$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.5 | 137 | 42.3%58 W · 79 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 132$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.68 | 212 | 47.6%101 W · 111 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcccc…05b2backed Aurora Gaming | 78c | 129.03$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.39 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.15per pick | 78cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed K27 | 22c | 109.03$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0315…760cbacked K27 | 14c | 107$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee80…f34ebacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 354 | 60.7%215 W · 139 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 294 | 65.3%192 W · 102 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…9fbbbacked K27 | 24c | 82.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 34.1%29 W · 56 L | -7.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x516b…2dcfbacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 95 | 45.3%43 W · 52 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9929…15a8backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 171 | 63.7%109 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…ee13backed Aurora Gaming | 76c | 64$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65fa…4c6abacked Aurora Gaming | 77c | 51.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 115 | 64.3%74 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74ef…1ac6backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 43.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.02 | 263 | 60.8%160 W · 103 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4b…69debacked K27 | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 446 | 41.3%184 W · 262 L | -28.7wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…7d01backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…e8c5backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 71cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcce1…49c7backed Aurora Gaming | 77c | 37.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.66 | 351 | 47.9%168 W · 183 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Aurora Gaming | 75c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group AAurora Gaming won
- Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 1 WinnerK27 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: AUR (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)K27 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.