TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x127a…3344

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
557
Categories scored
28
Categories below 50
15

Best Category: Stocks, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 60 out of 100; worst Us Midterms at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT29465.3%192 W · 102 L+12.3wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 294 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$568Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$568.43
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs 100 Thieves - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$120
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+27.3%+$25.5
Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+40%+$64.25
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs FaZe (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Qualifierbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$48
Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+44.1%+$45.9
Counter-Strike: magic vs Walczaki (BO3) - StarLadder StarSeries Group Cbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 - Map 2 Winnerbacked NIP · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$30.4
Counter-Strike: 9z vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$152Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+83.7%+$127.53
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - XSE Pro League Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$58
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$39.6
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis (BO3) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$126
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Team Nemesis - Map 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$216Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$93.22
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs BIG (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$76
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs TYLOO (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Sinners (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Counter-Strike: 9z vs EYEBALLERS (BO1) - XSE Pro League Group Stagebacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.75
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$54
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$95Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$55.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$171Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$84.15
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$252Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$98
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$256Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+37%+$94.5
Showing 25 of 294 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT13655.9%76 W · 60 L+8.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 136 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs PARIVISION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$40
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.6
Dota 2: Aurora vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$79.5
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$158
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41
Dota 2: OG vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked OG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Dota 2: GLYPH vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked GLYPH · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$36.8
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stagebacked Team Yandex · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$39.9
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.3
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.4
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$36
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.2
Dota 2: Aurora vs Heroic - Game 1 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$28
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$55
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion - Game 2 Winnerbacked GamerLegion · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$27.6
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Vici Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$31.5
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex (BO5) - ESL One Birmingham Playoffsbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 3 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$23.4
Showing 25 of 136 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT2962.1%18 W · 11 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+77.3%+$23.47
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.25
France, UK, or Germany military action against Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.8%+$13.56
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.99
US strikes Iraq by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+36.6%+$56.12
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.26
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$119Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$31.5
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.02
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.81
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$161Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+64.3%+$103.48
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+51.1%+$8.46
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+46.3%+$37.31
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$113.18
US strikes Iran by March 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12.35
US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$28.4
US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$26.16
US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$14.52
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+101%+$54.03
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+114%+$68.24
US strikes Iran by March 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$10.52
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$61.95
Will US or Israel strike Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+89.6%+$18.9
Will US or Israel strike Iran by December 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+57.5%+$7.3
Israel strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+262.3%+$36.2
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+45.1%+$9.42
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1888.9%16 W · 2 L+3.8wins+0.21per pick68cpaid+29%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Stocks — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
S&P 500 all time high by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+60%+$14
Will SoFi Technologies (SOFI) be added to the S&P 500 by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$19.07
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $410 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.6
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+70.2%+$48.67
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $400 end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$9
Will Tesla dip to $375 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+39%+$15.64
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Feb 23 – Feb 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+60.1%+$7.69
Will Google reach $350 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+46.2%+$7.9
Will Amazon dip to $192 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+29.6%+$7.99
Will Opendoor dip to $3.50 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+30.7%+$5.78
Will Tesla reach $450 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+51.6%+$11.59
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,000 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+27.4%+$4.3
Will Apple (AAPL) close above $270 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+37.5%+$9.55
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close above $5.00 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$12.82
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $200 end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+43.8%+$6.7
Will Microsoft dip to $390 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST+31.6%+$3.5
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of February 16 above $5.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$13.36
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $$6,900 (HIGH) in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+25%+$16.16
All 18 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT9100%9 W · 0 L+3.0wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Commodities — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle at >$6,200 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,888Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+40.4%+$762
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+43.9%+$6.1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$488Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$312
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$785Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.8%+$406.3
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$923Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$276.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$33.06
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,500 by end of February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+72.7%+$88.43
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+21.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.12per pick59cpaid-1.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.27per pick70cpaid-43.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Earnings Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-30.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Earnings — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Earnings, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 2, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-57.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick60cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-45.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+121%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 12, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Boxing Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

F1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
F1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+62.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+62.3%+$19.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+60.8%+$45.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Japan win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+27.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Men's Semifinals - Canada vs. Finlandbacked Canada · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+27.4%+$3.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$65.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Bayern München vs. Borussia Mönchengladbach: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.