NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd18b8254172510c79ecfe85ae6f1d25c9ebd14139f2fa30062ce33ee7d3f6e5e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $761,735
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $764,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $761,735 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 150 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 380,004$186,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186,179.4 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Grizzlies | 51c | 375,000$191,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183,750 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 157,401$80,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80,274.38 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Grizzlies | 49c | 156,446$76,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79,778.59 | 1,045 | 49%512 W · 533 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf438…9559backed Trail Blazers | 51c | 65,694$33,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33,542.55 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 54c | 25,000$13,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,499.96 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Grizzlies | 54c | 15,111$8,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,951.05 | 257 | 53.7%138 W · 119 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 13,840$6,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,500.31 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Grizzlies | 50c | 13,000$6,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,517.79 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Grizzlies | 53c | 11,316$5,996 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,319.53 | 363 | 59.8%217 W · 146 L | +23.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Grizzlies | 49c | 10,964$5,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,605.57 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 50c | 10,602$5,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,264.36 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe56d…2b65backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 10,158$4,996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,996 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Grizzlies | 50c | 6,120$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060 | 1,157 | 47.9%554 W · 603 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,900$2,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,009 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23fb…fe50backed Grizzlies | 51c | 5,882$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,882.35 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Grizzlies | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,550 | 354 | 50.8%180 W · 174 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea32…8870backed Grizzlies | 54c | 4,500$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,070 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 4,112$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912.24 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 3,800$1,748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,748 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Grizzlies | 53c | 3,696$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.91 | 458 | 50.4%231 W · 227 L | +11.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 3,347$1,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,539.62 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 49c | 3,027$1,494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,533.95 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Grizzlies | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,439.97 | 433 | 48.5%210 W · 223 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,926$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.64 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 2,635$1,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,212.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Grizzlies | 51c | 2,524$1,289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,234.3 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.99 | 722 | 41.4%299 W · 423 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,961$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.06 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Trail Blazers | 48c | 1,736$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.63 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,547$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.04 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Grizzlies | 50c | 1,540$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 478 | 56.7%271 W · 207 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2de8…1121backed Grizzlies | 67c | 1,501$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.82 | 909 | 57.6%524 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,485$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756.85 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…8e3cbacked Trail Blazers | 36c | 1,300$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.87 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 1,264$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.24 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,027$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.48 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked Trail Blazers | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 284 | 48.2%137 W · 147 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa742…68c5backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Grizzlies | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 900$441 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$441 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Trail Blazers | 3c | 896.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.77 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe962…663abacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 843 | 42.9%362 W · 481 L | -39.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Grizzlies | 51c | 786.27$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385.27 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…2d1abacked Grizzlies | 64c | 776.04$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.64 | 489 | 57.5%281 W · 208 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Grizzlies | 61c | 719.48$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.88 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed Grizzlies | 52c | 700$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336 | 228 | 45.2%103 W · 125 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 625.57$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.18 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Grizzlies | 50c | 617.08$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.71 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec5…65ecbacked Grizzlies | 52c | 570.93$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$274.05 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Grizzlies | 53c | 568.82$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.82 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 535$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.02 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Trail Blazers | 33c | 480$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Trail Blazers | 50c | 453.04$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 430.61$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 415.52$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Grizzlies | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 910 | 50.9%463 W · 447 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Grizzlies | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa62d…92e0backed Grizzlies | 53c | 396.23$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.23 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Grizzlies | 51c | 394$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.06 | 1,667 | 52.7%878 W · 789 L | +45.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa0…d504backed Grizzlies | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 392.16$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.16 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 366$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.36 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 355.26$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.28 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9684…16ecbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 326.26$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 316$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.36 | 281 | 47.7%134 W · 147 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Grizzlies | 52c | 311.74$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.16 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 49c | 300$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87b…180abacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 165 | 39.4%65 W · 100 L | -11.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbb…acb2backed Grizzlies | 55c | 300$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135 | 890 | 50.4%449 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Trail Blazers | 9c | 290.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 269.42$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Trail Blazers | 6c | 266.44$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 311 | 44.4%138 W · 173 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Trail Blazers | 8c | 261.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.17 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Grizzlies | 51c | 250$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.5 | 955 | 48.5%463 W · 492 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Trail Blazers | 7c | 244.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.29 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39a8…f170backed Grizzlies | 64c | 237$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.32 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 231.95$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.31 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee1…268bbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 534 | 53.4%285 W · 249 L | +19.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc63…f1c7backed Grizzlies | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 506 | 53.2%269 W · 237 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x922e…7d04backed Grizzlies | 53c | 189$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.83 | 77 | 46.8%36 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Grizzlies | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 818 | 45.7%374 W · 444 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa373…b6dcbacked Trail Blazers | 55c | 182.36$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 178 | 45.5%81 W · 97 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Grizzlies | 55c | 181.79$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Trail Blazers | 8c | 166.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.97 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Grizzlies | 44c | 166.15$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.15 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa0…7191backed Grizzlies | 48c | 155.56$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.89 | 123 | 49.6%61 W · 62 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…91bbbacked Grizzlies | 48c | 149.96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 354 | 44.6%158 W · 196 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Grizzlies | 50c | 143.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Grizzlies | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.21 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Grizzlies | 64c | 136$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.96 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 133.33$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Grizzlies | 60c | 126.95$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.87 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 120.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Grizzlies | 55c | 119.07$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.57 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Grizzlies | 51c | 114.26$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.46 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Trail Blazers | 52c | 113.88$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 463 | 46.4%215 W · 248 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x127a…3344backed Grizzlies | 54c | 105.71$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4c2cbacked Trail Blazers | 48c | 103.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 174 | 54%94 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Trail Blazers | 49c | 102.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)this page
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.