NBA · resolved market
Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9244f6ea15408325364cccc30596bbb9c9761316e95cf5a058a609751cc85349
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grizzliesof Trail Blazers, Grizzlies
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $448,525
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $462,873
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $448,525 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 100,000$47,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,000 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…88b4backed Grizzlies | 54c | 96,286$51,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,478.99 | 224 | 53.1%119 W · 105 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed Grizzlies | 54c | 87,108$46,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,387.08 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 66,824$30,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,738.94 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e9…4044backed Grizzlies | 53c | 44,521$23,596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,924.67 | 90 | 53.3%48 W · 42 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 41,850$22,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,206.33 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 35,000$18,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,300 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 25,209$11,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,343.91 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…c684backed Grizzlies | 57c | 9,676$5,515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.56 | 726 | 48.3%351 W · 375 L | +30.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e3…6dfebacked Grizzlies | 54c | 8,544$4,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,930.44 | 230 | 52.6%121 W · 109 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Grizzlies | 53c | 5,866$3,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,756.97 | 292 | 43.8%128 W · 164 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 4,475$1,924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.25 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 4,365$2,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,051.6 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Trail Blazers | 34c | 4,260$1,430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,429.8 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked Grizzlies | 53c | 3,852$2,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.54 | 357 | 44.3%158 W · 199 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 3,342$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,503.87 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Grizzlies | 70c | 3,315$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.45 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 2,579$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.88 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 2,202$1,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.5 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc8…2f68backed Grizzlies | 54c | 2,180$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,002.63 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 2,102$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.91 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Grizzlies | 57c | 1,973$1,115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.03 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Grizzlies | 49c | 1,842$902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.94 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 1,585$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$729.39 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 1,468$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.51 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Grizzlies | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 160 | 42.5%68 W · 92 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 922$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470.22 | 956 | 51.5%492 W · 464 L | +23.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd23…e31fbacked Trail Blazers | 51c | 920$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.2 | 473 | 54.8%259 W · 214 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Grizzlies | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.09 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 900$394 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$393.84 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 881.19$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.45 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Grizzlies | 57c | 549.12$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.12 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 1,911 | 45.4%868 W · 1,043 L | +22.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8126…9d18backed Grizzlies | 54c | 500$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +10%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Grizzlies | 55c | 481.82$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.82 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Grizzlies | 53c | 464$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.08 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Grizzlies | 55c | 400$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…dd68backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 392.98$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.05 | 94 | 30.9%29 W · 65 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Grizzlies | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 1,389 | 54.9%762 W · 627 L | +16.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf23…ee81backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 319.14$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.8 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…7be6backed Grizzlies | 55c | 310$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 76 | 48.7%37 W · 39 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c94…a43bbacked Trail Blazers | 45c | 291.04$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.97 | 511 | 46.6%238 W · 273 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 232.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 634 | 47.5%301 W · 333 L | -19.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Grizzlies | 59c | 230.51$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.51 | 231 | 43.3%100 W · 131 L | -13.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Grizzlies | 55c | 219$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.55 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 214.24$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.41 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Grizzlies | 53c | 200$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…6d6bbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 150.23$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.11 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 147.07$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 470 | 45.1%212 W · 258 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Trail Blazers | 42c | 142.85$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe09c…d04fbacked Trail Blazers | 46c | 108.68$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 101.35$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.58 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca4…2a96backed Grizzlies | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 308 | 36%111 W · 197 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c7…d11ebacked Trail Blazers | 43c | 94.34$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ca…9ef8backed Grizzlies | 59c | 93.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.22 | 285 | 54.7%156 W · 129 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Grizzlies | 53c | 90.47$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Grizzlies | 62c | 88.16$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd730…1948backed Grizzlies | 53c | 85.65$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 171 | 55.6%95 W · 76 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 74.47$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61bf…9862backed Grizzlies | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Trail Blazers | 35c | 71.16$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.65 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Grizzlies | 53c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 506 | 51.2%259 W · 247 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Trail Blazers | 44c | 64$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.16 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05e…c64dbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 52.76$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64a3…cc70backed Grizzlies | 54c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a88…2bffbacked Grizzlies | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.16 | 379 | 49.3%187 W · 192 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Grizzlies | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab0…f2d7backed Trail Blazers | 46c | 44.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.47 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Grizzlies | 54c | 42.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.33 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1051…c118backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 38$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.96 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Grizzlies | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Grizzlies | 51c | 36.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Trail Blazers | 47c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.45 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 34.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Trail Blazers | 45c | 34.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 32.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.46 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Trail Blazers | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 1,786 | 53.2%950 W · 836 L | +52.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Trail Blazers | 37c | 29.94$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.08 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…5976backed Grizzlies | 71c | 28.17$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.17 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | +6.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc27f…12a9backed Grizzlies | 54c | 27$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.51 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5de…a312backed Grizzlies | 58c | 26.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.96 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc81f…16f1backed Grizzlies | 54c | 25.48$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.73 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 25.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Trail Blazers | 44c | 25.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.09 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d3…246cbacked Grizzlies | 56c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd213…8ee7backed Grizzlies | 55c | 24.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.05 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Grizzlies | 59c | 23.73$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 251 | 50.6%127 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2da1…26a7backed Grizzlies | 55c | 23.35$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.55 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a82…d2edbacked Grizzlies | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.69 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.0wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85cc…b828backed Grizzlies | 58c | 17.33$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.28 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)this page
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.