NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x963d2ce0d888c09f2228dec49815e03c505ba2ce8d326b620110b35806f721e1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $108,320
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $108,320 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Under | 52c | 50,631$26,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,328.22 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 27,197$13,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,192.33 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2f…be86backed Over | 45c | 18,200$8,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,010 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 54c | 15,689$8,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,531.06 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 50c | 11,795$5,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,908.75 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 49c | 5,312$2,603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,709.19 | 2,153 | 51.3%1,105 W · 1,048 L | +76.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 32c | 5,219$1,675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,674.69 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 5,193$2,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,701.34 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 62c | 4,717$2,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.09 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Over | 47c | 4,594$2,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,453.96 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d5…47efbacked Over | 46c | 3,795$1,746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,049.38 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 58c | 3,665$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,538.43 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 47c | 2,471$1,166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,305.02 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 48c | 2,240$1,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,165.43 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 49c | 2,021$994 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,027.15 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Over | 43c | 1,463$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$833.85 | 715 | 47.7%341 W · 374 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e16…0127backed Over | 47c | 1,311$616 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.83 | 221 | 43%95 W · 126 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Under | 55c | 909.09$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Under | 53c | 569.79$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.84 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c2e…9e01backed Over | 47c | 555.05$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.1 | 58 | 65.5%38 W · 20 L | +9.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8532…738bbacked Over | 46c | 450$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243 | 324 | 50.3%163 W · 161 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 48c | 400$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Over | 47c | 385$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.05 | 401 | 46.9%188 W · 213 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Over | 76c | 354.16$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85 | 566 | 46.5%263 W · 303 L | +16.2wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48cf…c7dfbacked Over | 63c | 317.54$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.54 | 364 | 53%193 W · 171 L | -17.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Over | 48c | 240$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 451 | 46.1%208 W · 243 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 48c | 226.45$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.04 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Over | 48c | 200$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 111.54$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0fd…e1f5backed Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 493 | 51.7%255 W · 238 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Under | 55c | 99.99$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Over | 47c | 87.8$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 209 | 49.3%103 W · 106 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 33c | 67.26$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.27 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 49c | 63.99$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.96 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Under | 55c | 60$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a30…37a6backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.56 | 78 | 55.1%43 W · 35 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033f…b8cabacked Over | 47c | 53.4$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75dc…4f82backed Over | 73c | 46.04$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.43 | 557 | 51.9%289 W · 268 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb1d…2891backed Over | 47c | 45.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.47 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb53c…c76ebacked Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 487 | 40.7%198 W · 289 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee60…6902backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 376 | 65.4%246 W · 130 L | +62.0wins | +0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x98df…41b7backed Over | 46c | 39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8aab…8d40backed Over | 48c | 38.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 164 | 43.9%72 W · 92 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x137e…20d7backed Over | 48c | 38.28$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -14.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf628…ba6fbacked Over | 29c | 36.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 84 | 40.5%34 W · 50 L | -4.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 47c | 32.19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.06 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 47c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.53 | 628 | 44.9%282 W · 346 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Over | 48c | 25.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 927 | 50.6%469 W · 458 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff7…9ab6backed Under | 56c | 24.01$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 454 | 60.4%274 W · 180 L | +21.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8557…4e7abacked Over | 51c | 22.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 189 | 57.1%108 W · 81 L | +12.7wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5this page
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.