NBA · resolved market
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x248b0160fe4344a36187fab22eaa0c2afdd50c56b5f01ae2e6cd8636483cbcfc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $115,949
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $115,959
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,949 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Under | 52c | 45,154$23,383 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,382.64 | 404 | 46.8%189 W · 215 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 47c | 12,654$5,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,904.97 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Over | 48c | 12,140$5,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,312.58 | 2,666 | 48%1,279 W · 1,387 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Over | 44c | 12,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,720 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Over | 54c | 9,108$4,947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,160.24 | 1,096 | 40.9%448 W · 648 L | +34.3wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 48c | 8,406$4,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,378.22 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 48c | 7,626$3,680 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,945.77 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 7,121$3,418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,417.95 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 57c | 6,032$3,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,566.6 | 1,645 | 47.5%782 W · 863 L | +40.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Under | 51c | 4,070$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.98 | 185 | 36.8%68 W · 117 L | -11.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 46c | 3,649$1,674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,974.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 51c | 3,291$1,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,621.32 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 49c | 2,492$1,221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.92 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Under | 31c | 2,133$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.48 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 55c | 1,448$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.55 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 56c | 1,418$796 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.07 | 2,169 | 40.8%885 W · 1,284 L | -8.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Under | 29c | 1,217$353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.96 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 48c | 1,214$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.26 | 2,512 | 49.1%1,234 W · 1,278 L | +6.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 48c | 1,126$543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Over | 50c | 948.31$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.8 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Over | 51c | 918.23$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.9 | 655 | 42.9%281 W · 374 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Over | 52c | 793.38$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.28 | 3,342 | 43.4%1,450 W · 1,892 L | +81.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed Under | 52c | 692.31$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 78 | 62.8%49 W · 29 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x90f6…71eebacked Over | 48c | 663$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.76 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 53c | 585.56$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.68 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 22c | 508.81$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.14 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Under | 13c | 482.88$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 48c | 390$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.11 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Over | 48c | 300$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 911 | 48.1%438 W · 473 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 48c | 285.99$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.71 | 766 | 53.5%410 W · 356 L | +65.5wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1787…c311backed Under | 55c | 245.45$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 1,444 | 58.1%839 W · 605 L | +13.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacce…ce8abacked Over | 41c | 244.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.37 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Under | 50c | 232.45$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.23 | 524 | 60.1%315 W · 209 L | +35.6wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b23…e20fbacked Over | 52c | 201$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.48 | 499 | 38.9%194 W · 305 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2,091 | 47.8%1,000 W · 1,091 L | -56.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Over | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 41 | 56.1%23 W · 18 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a6…f2e3backed Over | 41c | 161.36$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.2 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Over | 48c | 159.38$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.88 | 666 | 46.8%312 W · 354 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 47c | 127.64$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.65 | 2,602 | 50.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L | -20.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc4…5347backed Over | 51c | 123.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 40c | 108.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.58 | 243 | 30.5%74 W · 169 L | -15.4wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3dc1…e318backed Over | 48c | 103.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.65 | 530 | 43.8%232 W · 298 L | -25.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Over | 31c | 102.98$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.99 | 558 | 46.8%261 W · 297 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.45 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b41…01c7backed Over | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.92 | 538 | 39.4%212 W · 326 L | -26.8wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe47b…1b4bbacked Over | 46c | 99.99$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 357 | 39.8%142 W · 215 L | -25.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 78c | 94.53$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.39 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e75…e81dbacked Under | 61c | 72$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.92 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 69c | 70$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.7 | 1,170 | 50.3%588 W · 582 L | +46.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 55c | 62.48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.4 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Under | 59c | 57.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.82 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed8…6b7fbacked Under | 59c | 52.09$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.73 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d7…2b16backed Under | 59c | 51.31$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 432 | 46.1%199 W · 233 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Under | 23c | 48.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 306 | 16.7%51 W · 255 L | -36.5wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe315…3911backed Under | 63c | 47.4$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 576 | 57.8%333 W · 243 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 147 | 51.7%76 W · 71 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f8…5486backed Under | 52c | 38.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…9305backed Over | 39c | 35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb107…a3f8backed Under | 52c | 31.3$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.27 | 1,018 | 51.6%525 W · 493 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45e1…c872backed Over | 48c | 30.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.45 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Under | 60c | 29.72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.89 | 408 | 49%200 W · 208 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 57c | 26.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 591 | 41.8%247 W · 344 L | -26.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 251 | 43%108 W · 143 L | -13.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…ea25backed Under | 55c | 23.64$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b98…e5d1backed Under | 62c | 20.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2344…6ba3backed Under | 49c | 20.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 145 | 57.9%84 W · 61 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a4…bbe8backed Under | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91cb…3c4dbacked Over | 73c | 18.85$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Over | 66c | 17.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.9 | 190 | 51.6%98 W · 92 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5this page
- Cedric Coward: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Deni Avdija: Rebounds O/U 6.5No won
- Donovan Clingan: Points O/U 11.5Yes won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail BlazersTrail Blazers won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 120.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: 1H O/U 122.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 228.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 232.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 233.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 235.5Over won
- Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 237.5Under won
- Jaylen Wells: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Jrue Holiday: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Santi Aldama: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-10.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-8.5)Grizzlies won
- Spread: Trail Blazers (-9.5)Grizzlies won
- Ty Jerome: Points O/U 14.5No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.