TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0622…cbc0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
81
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Euroleague, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Euroleague at 53 out of 100; worst Asian League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Celtics (-5.5)backed Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.2
1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$260.43
1H Spread: Clippers (-7.5)backed Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$302Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$327.47
Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 16.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$360.09
RJ Barrett: Points O/U 21.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$51.41
Warriors vs. Jazz: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.55
Hornets vs. Suns: 1H O/U 105.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$50.01
Onyeka Okongwu: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$56.39
Thunder vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 107.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$69.71
Pelicans vs. Lakers: O/U 243.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+85.2%+$36.62
1H Spread: Lakers (-1.5)backed Warriors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.55
Trail Blazers vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$16.32
P.J. Washington: Points O/U 14.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+108.3%+$205.7
Mavericks vs. Suns: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+92.3%+$51.65
Jazz vs. Heat: O/U 242.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$182Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 10, 2026, EST+56.3%+$102.24
Knicks vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+85.2%+$52.32
Grizzlies vs. Trail Blazers: O/U 234.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$33.82
Heat vs. Celtics: O/U 231.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+72.4%+$54.16
Bulls vs. Raptors: 1H Moneylinebacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+51.5%+$18.38
All 19 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fresno State Bulldogs vs. Wyoming Cowboys: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$52.73
Abilene Christian Wildcats vs. Tarleton State Texans: O/U 134.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$44.09
Spread: Northern Iowa Panthers (-8.5)backed Drake Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$20.48
South Dakota State Jackrabbits vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 147.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$158Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$158.02
UCLA Bruins vs. Michigan Wolverines: O/U 152.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+117.4%+$38.83
Michigan State Spartans vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
Wake Forest Demon Deacons vs. Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets: O/U 159.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$206Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+92.3%+$190.61
North Carolina Central Eagles vs. Norfolk State Spartans: O/U 148.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+100%+$38.49
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-7.5)backed Maine Black Bears · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+112.8%+$24.11
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-34.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 5, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Aug 3, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 4, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick53cpaid-63.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Mets vs. Seattle Mariners: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.7
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$19.93
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.53
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-23.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-28.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wellington Phoenix FC vs. Perth Glory FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.69
Spread: Auckland FC (-1.5)backed Sydney FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+42.9%+$49.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$103Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$103.1
Holstein Kiel vs. SV 07 Elversberg: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$18.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Philippines (-2.5)backed Guam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Wales vs. Ghana: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Pohang Steelers FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$93.86
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Nagoya Grampus: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$105.65
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.59per pick41cpaid+143.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
BC Dubai vs. Real Madridbacked BC Dubai · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+143.9%+$139.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$45.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Madrid CF vs. Elche CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.23
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.