Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb16ad4eebad722e8e13c28814037acbfb1d7b9d55d9548d9afcf9016f470b4fa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,222
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,222 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 49c | 1,072$529 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.45 | 275 | 42.5%117 W · 158 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 55c | 1,061$584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.9 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 42c | 714.29$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83b0…687ebacked No | 50c | 612.01$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.01 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +36.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Yes | 50c | 596.24$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.94 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 58c | 402.29$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.96 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Yes | 48c | 320$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.6 | 88 | 52.3%46 W · 42 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 53c | 270.23$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 65 | 63.1%41 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 50c | 221.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.12 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf833…9e29backed Yes | 50c | 209.39$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x472c…5ae2backed Yes | 33c | 207$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 85 | 44.7%38 W · 47 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9140…17e0backed Yes | 50c | 196.21$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 49c | 140$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.4 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Yes | 51c | 140$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.4 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 51c | 136.71$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.72 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e1…d4d9backed Yes | 50c | 119.62$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.81 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Yes | 52c | 116.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Yes | 50c | 86.79$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 47c | 43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.62 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Antalyaspor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.