Other European Leagues · resolved market
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9b228d1c536b1fa1c65b7e7d11b67646736915d0e478115639c3999e1fd7520b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,061
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,061 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 51c | 6,901$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,383.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 40c | 3,499$1,405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,404.71 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…d7a0backed Over | 58c | 1,679$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$973.82 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked Over | 31c | 1,139$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.62 | 135 | 28.9%39 W · 96 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 57c | 700$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 76c | 499.57$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.1 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 13c | 424.99$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.99 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 13c | 337.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.39 | 141 | 37.6%53 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 26c | 228.78$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.35 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Over | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 61c | 150$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.5 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 75c | 95.43$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.96 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 33c | 88.48$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 34c | 83.13$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 68c | 73.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.2 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 34c | 56.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 437 | 21.7%95 W · 342 L | -49.3wins | -0.11per pick | 33cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 50.6%40 W · 39 L | +8.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe31…222abacked Under | 24c | 50$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 24c | 49.71$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.78 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over | 49c | 44.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +5.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 76c | 37.29$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.49 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d8f…2b46backed Over | 76c | 35$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.6 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 71c | 26.85$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 69 | 72.5%50 W · 19 L | +10.0wins | +0.15per pick | 58cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 56c | 18.23$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Antalyaspor (-2.5)Çaykur Rizespor won
- Spread: Çaykur Rizespor (-1.5)Antalyaspor won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 3.5Under won
- Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.