Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb2564610d66b3fb39a2ebcf989540b3f20a51674a3e91f95a6b64d8fe7df0f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,113
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Under | 73c | 2,988$2,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.76 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 27c | 1,213$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.45 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 70c | 994.5$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 29c | 466$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 41c | 368$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.88 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb431…b654backed Under | 73c | 207.87$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.12 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 29c | 150$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.75 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 32c | 112.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 29c | 111.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.48 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 61c | 109.55$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 27c | 98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.46 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 29c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 48c | 89.42$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 168 | 26.2%44 W · 124 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 29c | 60$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.4 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d4d…f103backed Over | 27c | 55.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.86 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0622…cbc0backed Over | 27c | 51.34$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.86 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…ed48backed Over | 27c | 50.83$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Over | 27c | 50.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 31c | 43.86$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b0…e756backed Over | 43c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 30c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.12 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Over | 28c | 38.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 62 | 24.2%15 W · 47 L | -10.6wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 71c | 38.59$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…5083backed Over | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…9ac3backed Over | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 29.35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.15 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc1b…3b5bbacked Over | 40c | 26.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 55c | 23.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 60c | 22.4$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Under | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.7wins | -0.27per pick | 57cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 69c | 16.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.07 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 3.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 2.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.