Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6e6693b7a38c05a1390b9a3d274d0280904867242fa392b746753a7b4402b07e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,719
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,209
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,719 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Under | 49c | 9,879$4,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,043.08 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Under | 51c | 6,000$3,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,962.51 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 50c | 5,041$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 133 | 57.1%76 W · 57 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x31d5…157dbacked Over | 50c | 2,778$1,389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,389 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 2,711$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.5 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 51c | 2,500$1,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,275 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Over | 49c | 1,959$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 39c | 1,543$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$936.76 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$765 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x08ba…2a30backed Over | 50c | 1,060$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 67cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3f…44f1backed Over | 49c | 842.86$413 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$413 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x46f7…6213backed Over | 17c | 649.82$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4157…04f9backed Over | 49c | 612.24$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 115 | 48.7%56 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 62c | 466.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.67 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 71c | 400$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 66c | 381.34$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 178 | 50.6%90 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 52c | 339.44$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.51 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 51c | 326.31$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.55 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 55c | 228.84$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 387 | 47.5%184 W · 203 L | +10.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 51c | 200$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.5 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 43c | 142.08$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.02 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 51c | 135$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 142 | 57.7%82 W · 60 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked Over | 54c | 130$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.2 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 50c | 125$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 51c | 120$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.6 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 51c | 115$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.65 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 39c | 114.95$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.16 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb12…f057backed Over | 51c | 112$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.12 | 90 | 58.9%53 W · 37 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 54c | 111.11$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 51c | 99.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.36 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 86 | 58.1%50 W · 36 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 51c | 90$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.9 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Over | 51c | 75$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over | 45c | 67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 82 | 53.7%44 W · 38 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7baf…99a7backed Over | 23c | 65.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Over | 67c | 60.13$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3991…b6c7backed Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.6 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -49.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…798cbacked Over | 51c | 52.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 79 | 59.5%47 W · 32 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46af…1f6abacked Over | 51c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33a7…e607backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…b8e3backed Under | 41c | 43.9$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.9 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.35per pick | 45cpaid | +88.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd03b…856cbacked Over | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7700…2d07backed Over | 39c | 38.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd00e…fb86backed Over | 55c | 36$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 50c | 34.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.3 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 53c | 34.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.04 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 51c | 31.89$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Under | 49c | 30.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed Over | 51c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +6.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Over | 51c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 50c | 28.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 51c | 26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bdf…8adabacked Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +5.6wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 69 | 59.4%41 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 51c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 51c | 23.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc353…30a8backed Over | 49c | 21.84$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…b1a1backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 28 | 67.9%19 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…eeb1backed Over | 71c | 16.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 57cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Utrecht vs. AZ: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AZ (-2.5)FC Utrecht won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.