TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd0ea…5a8a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
61
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 55 out of 100; worst NBA at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1225%3 W · 9 L-3.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-52%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Clippers: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$285
Timberwolves vs. Warriors: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
Nets vs. Hawks: 1H O/U 118.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.68
1H Spread: Clippers (-0.5)backed Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$305Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$304.92
Nuggets vs. Thunder: 1H O/U 112.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$255Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$184.7
Royce O'Neale: Assists O/U 2.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$98.59
1H Spread: Spurs (-2.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+104.1%+$48.88
Davion Mitchell: Points O/U 8.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$29.9
Lakers vs. Warriors: O/U 229.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$65.45
Hornets vs. Pacers: 1H O/U 111.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$29.61
Spread: Spurs (-6.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+100%+$20.26
Knicks vs. 76ers: 1H Moneylinebacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$12.38
All 12 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+11.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Texas Southern Tigers vs. Mississippi Valley State Delta Devils: O/U 143.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+104.1%+$61.56
Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros vs. Southeastern Louisiana Lionsbacked Texas-Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+63.9%+$71.27
Spread: Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers (-6.5)backed Niagara Purple Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.49
Illinois Fighting Illini vs. USC Trojans: O/U 149.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+69.5%+$48.57
Butler Bulldogs vs. Georgetown Hoyas: O/U 147.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+96.1%+$13.33
Spread: Florida A&M Rattlers (-1.5)backed Florida A&M Rattlers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+96.1%+$40.77
Oregon Ducks vs. Washington Huskies (W)backed Oregon Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$84.9
Spread: Fairleigh Dickinson Knights (-1.5)backed Fairleigh Dickinson Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$165.25
Spread: Penn Quakers (-2.5)backed Columbia Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$171.54
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders vs. Kennesaw State Owls: O/U 146.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+88.7%+$74.9
All 10 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-46.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+68.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-22.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Chengdu Rongcheng FC (-1.5)backed Qingdao Xihaian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.86
Henan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.17
Ulsan HD FC vs. Gangwon FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+132.6%+$60.27
All 3 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-43.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Blue Jackets (-1.5)backed Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.88
Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)backed Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.24
AHL: Bakersfield Condors vs. San Diego Gullsbacked San Diego Gulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$39.03
All 3 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+156.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$29.62
Birmingham City FC vs. Queens Park Rangers FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$591.09
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+108.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
NK Celje vs. AEK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$53.48
KKS Lech Poznań vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$83Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.83
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. Arizona Diamondbacks: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$49.53
Spread: Los Angeles Angels (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.84
All 2 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
WNBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wings: O/U 167.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.34
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Phoenix Mercury: O/U 176.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$40.94
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid-30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Burgos CF (-1.5)backed AD Ceuta FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.88
Málaga CF vs. Real Valladolid CF: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$28.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bulgaria vs. Montenegro: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$93.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Adelaide United FC vs. Wellington Phoenix FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$28.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: T1 Academy vs Gen.G Global Academy - Map 1 Winnerbacked T1 Academy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.74
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.