CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa19e876ad8f1b17353511934ed78f0137cc7e2f9cb00bfa40d781efbef7aefe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lavkedof Lavked, ASTRAL
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,348
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,487
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,348 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lavked | 78c | 1,148$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.05 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL | 20c | 1,026$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.88 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL | 18c | 1,022$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.06 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Lavked | 66c | 798.36$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a13…4d34backed ASTRAL | 19c | 588$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.9 | 118 | 38.1%45 W · 73 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Lavked | 78c | 553.72$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.01 | 2,434 | 44.6%1,085 W · 1,349 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Lavked | 66c | 472.73$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.73 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked ASTRAL | 19c | 465.33$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.52 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed ASTRAL | 12c | 412.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL | 23c | 397.36$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.36 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x614b…ca37backed Lavked | 77c | 335.91$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.91 | 119 | 59.7%71 W · 48 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa094…3f07backed ASTRAL | 21c | 260$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.6 | 249 | 42.2%105 W · 144 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed ASTRAL | 7c | 227$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.56 | 77 | 16.9%13 W · 64 L | -6.0wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -48%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Lavked | 78c | 226.24$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.6 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ea…5a8abacked Lavked | 55c | 223.27$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.47 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +68.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed ASTRAL | 12c | 201.07$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.75 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed ASTRAL | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Lavked | 73c | 184.72$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.39 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ASTRAL | 21c | 168.22$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.59 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL | 22c | 148.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL | 20c | 146.7$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.05 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…a3babacked Lavked | 77c | 129.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.33 | 1,117 | 68.6%766 W · 351 L | +20.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ASTRAL | 16c | 128.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.34 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…1805backed Lavked | 54c | 120.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…f718backed ASTRAL | 18c | 120$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 286 | 51%146 W · 140 L | +7.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed Lavked | 66c | 118.95$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.92 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +54.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Lavked | 80c | 118.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ASTRAL | 15c | 112.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.44 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23b4…48dabacked ASTRAL | 27c | 80.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.78 | 109 | 42.2%46 W · 63 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b7…7518backed ASTRAL | 16c | 78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.7 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…0795backed ASTRAL | 45c | 76.62$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dec…058cbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 74.19$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.39 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa839…6f8cbacked ASTRAL | 45c | 72.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.61 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked ASTRAL | 22c | 67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x023e…a3b9backed ASTRAL | 45c | 61.11$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked ASTRAL | 51c | 59.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.36 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed ASTRAL | 45c | 59.32$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lavked | 55c | 51$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.95 | 2,776 | 37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L | -140.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked Lavked | 66c | 37.85$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 305 | 45.9%140 W · 165 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Lavked | 64c | 23.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.35 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Lavked | 66c | 16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group StageLavked won
- Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL - Map 1 WinnerLavked won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.