TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Lavked vs ASTRAL (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lavkedof Lavked, ASTRAL
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,411
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$42,417

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,411 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6185…2965backed Lavked54c9,244$4,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,252.3814051.4%72 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed ASTRAL46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,68023848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed ASTRAL45c2,863$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,287.6366851.8%346 W · 322 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked ASTRAL46c2,190$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.445,05055.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L+117.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf964…a4cebacked Lavked55c1,158$637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.885837.9%22 W · 36 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03b…4197backed Lavked54c1,015$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.083237.5%12 W · 20 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed ASTRAL45c936.86$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.242,62451.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L+18.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed Lavked54c777$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.4257641.5%239 W · 337 L-8.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x38fe…a923backed Lavked54c591$321 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed ASTRAL15c551.49$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.695,28731.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L-383.3wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-37.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed ASTRAL19c504$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.6478043.7%341 W · 439 L-21.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5135…7217backed Lavked56c498.21$279 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.211,62052.7%853 W · 767 L+57.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed ASTRAL46c491.98$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.315,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490b…b261backed Lavked55c469.09$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.09633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Lavked77c444.92$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.181,30241.2%536 W · 766 L-50.1wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-24.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed ASTRAL10c444.46$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.462,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc34b…9296backed ASTRAL46c444.43$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.442,00953.9%1,082 W · 927 L+7.6wins0.00per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed ASTRAL46c400$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18414544.8%65 W · 80 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe107…8966backed Lavked79c391.3$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.583754.1%20 W · 17 L+0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x662a…150ebacked Lavked55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.644148.8%20 W · 21 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5093…8d00backed Lavked60c337.77$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$135.097045.7%32 W · 38 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5632…7de6backed Lavked55c318.18$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked ASTRAL27c306.17$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.462,62247.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L-33.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x750c…d430backed Lavked80c300.75$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.193360.6%20 W · 13 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Lavked76c300.09$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.74671.7%33 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick72cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Lavked79c258.63$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.1326075%195 W · 65 L+23.6wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe00f…0ae8backed Lavked54c251.16$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.532334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e45…f1b2backed Lavked60c249.97$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4781…f6c5backed Lavked55c218.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.185848.3%28 W · 30 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lavked54c214.67$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.7580942.3%342 W · 467 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-15%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0241…fd36backed ASTRAL45c200$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040155.1%221 W · 180 L+1.7wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8726…0f36backed ASTRAL46c186$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.5674054.6%404 W · 336 L+15.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0943…1d8dbacked ASTRAL35c176.57$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.172853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…54b3backed Lavked64c169.2$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.9911850%59 W · 59 L-7.8wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc0f1…8680backed ASTRAL45c165.99$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.72,52243%1,085 W · 1,437 L+42.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6e…a59cbacked Lavked55c163.64$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.64475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+45.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked ASTRAL12c157.65$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.143,45929.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L-279.9wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-43.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd154…9c74backed Lavked76c150.38$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.1664046.3%296 W · 344 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb373…d97cbacked Lavked65c150$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5258745.5%267 W · 320 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa371…eaa5backed Lavked55c149.09$82 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.0915347.1%72 W · 81 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd424…bf7bbacked ASTRAL24c144.29$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.634032.5%13 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed ASTRAL45c141.3$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.5944552.4%233 W · 212 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca5e…4a1cbacked ASTRAL42c135.02$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$579443.6%41 W · 53 L-6.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked ASTRAL12c130.03$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.882,34942.5%998 W · 1,351 L-72.7wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24bf…b006backed Lavked55c127.32$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.292944.8%13 W · 16 L-3.5wins-0.12per pick57cpaid-26.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa750…0d0fbacked Lavked63c125$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.2518549.2%91 W · 94 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8248…c0b2backed ASTRAL24c120$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.620750.7%105 W · 102 L-9.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed ASTRAL9c119.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.856,48042.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L-79.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Lavked79c116.39$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.664,69143.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L-83.2wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c67…a479backed Lavked62c104.97$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.2420258.9%119 W · 83 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x646a…cd90backed Lavked79c103.28$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.799353.8%50 W · 43 L+6.8wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+3.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe564…221abacked ASTRAL23c102.83$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241,07832%345 W · 733 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa1b6…e0a0backed Lavked54c101.85$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.858253.7%44 W · 38 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b2…9da2backed Lavked55c101.82$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.8232844.8%147 W · 181 L+11.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+14.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191b…5b67backed ASTRAL38c100$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$387139.4%28 W · 43 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xae8e…08f9backed ASTRAL46c100$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4637050.5%187 W · 183 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed ASTRAL45c100$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4536057.5%207 W · 153 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefbc…b344backed ASTRAL14c100$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1440542%170 W · 235 L-10.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x35f0…971ebacked ASTRAL21c96.99$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.3731647.8%151 W · 165 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked ASTRAL22c94$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.221,28137.8%484 W · 797 L+5.5wins0.00per pick37cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b7…7491backed ASTRAL45c91$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.9512157%69 W · 52 L+8.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1769…94efbacked Lavked55c90$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.591648.9%448 W · 468 L+4.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xec69…6fbabacked Lavked74c82.73$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.366446.4%308 W · 356 L-11.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Lavked54c80$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.6516346.6%76 W · 87 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad89…e006backed ASTRAL18c79.09$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2439440.4%159 W · 235 L+30.0wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+20.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0862…dc29backed ASTRAL18c75$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7548635.4%172 W · 314 L-18.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd31a…e653backed Lavked54c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.56851.5%35 W · 33 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5696…b3aabacked Lavked55c75$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.754759.6%28 W · 19 L+4.0wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed ASTRAL30c74.5$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.222,06150.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L-18.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f53…d5abbacked ASTRAL47c74$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.7132649.7%162 W · 164 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x68d2…74f2backed Lavked55c70.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.856338.1%24 W · 39 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcce1…49c7backed Lavked70c70$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2135147.9%168 W · 183 L-16.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-15.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed ASTRAL41c69.69$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.5784958.3%495 W · 354 L+60.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed ASTRAL46c69.65$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0711952.9%63 W · 56 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fd7…0a43backed Lavked59c67.8$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.81764.7%11 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick67cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff09…80b5backed ASTRAL24c62.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518530.3%56 W · 129 L+0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbc08…6b85backed Lavked54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.621752.5%114 W · 103 L+4.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45d5…a7a0backed Lavked55c59.95$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.9818543.8%81 W · 104 L-7.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x16db…8d0fbacked ASTRAL20c58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.66639.4%26 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cad…48b5backed Lavked54c57.41$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.412755.6%15 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Lavked78c55.15$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.132,32645.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L-62.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb76…7ffebacked Lavked55c54$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.319849%97 W · 101 L+0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lavked76c53.87$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.934,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e31…0e6ebacked Lavked79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6344675.3%336 W · 110 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick73cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdca5…4342backed Lavked79c50$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.52454.2%13 W · 11 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-13.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbba8…854bbacked Lavked53c49.98$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.496560%39 W · 26 L+6.1wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf655…0813backed Lavked55c49.09$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0920067%134 W · 66 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83c8…3b6cbacked ASTRAL43c46.7$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,04357.3%598 W · 445 L+17.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1e1…921ebacked Lavked79c44$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.24366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick76cpaid-16.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x312c…0f42backed ASTRAL47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2021053.8%113 W · 97 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6fad…6b49backed ASTRAL47c42.55$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x431a…50d7backed Lavked68c41.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.293243.8%14 W · 18 L-3.7wins-0.11per pick55cpaid-28.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6936…8f48backed Lavked64c39.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.063161.3%19 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed ASTRAL46c38$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.4867750.2%340 W · 337 L+0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a18…7df1backed Lavked56c37.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.413860.5%23 W · 15 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8c…3bcdbacked ASTRAL44c27.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.2635131.1%109 W · 242 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-12.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5046…a07ebacked Lavked78c25.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.647074.3%52 W · 18 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick67cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Lavked55c25.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.2980740.3%325 W · 482 L-3.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed Lavked54c24.98$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.491,84847.6%879 W · 969 L-55.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08e0…f4a0backed ASTRAL47c21.36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0183856.1%470 W · 368 L+31.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.