TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,756

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,756 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 91 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over29c44,444$12,889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,888.683740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under71c35,158$25,082 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,075.996,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under71c5,000$3,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,45035652.8%188 W · 168 L+15.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+12.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under70c4,000$2,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,199.9918362.3%114 W · 69 L+17.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+21.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over29c2,852$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.958146.9%38 W · 43 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe0c…04b6backed Under71c2,264$1,607 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.472050%10 W · 10 L+2.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+16.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5f37…281bbacked Over14c1,429$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2004924.5%12 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Under77c1,389$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.1919048.4%92 W · 98 L-8.5wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5028…91c5backed Over28c1,246$349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$348.9410330.1%31 W · 72 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick31cpaid+11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under71c1,111$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.1139052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over30c906.3$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over29c847.28$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.7422335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under70c837$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.172249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Over30c833.32$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeeb0…c9f8backed Over30c675.36$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.61250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over30c606.01$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.8616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under71c588$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.5215534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe45a…46adbacked Under70c576.62$404 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.99666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick61cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under71c549.3$390 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.349254.9%270 W · 222 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over30c500$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15035428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Under70c425.55$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.552673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.6wins+0.18per pick56cpaid+38.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under70c399.99$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12023258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8fd4…676ebacked Over31c393.35$122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-56.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x74e0…af4bbacked Over30c386.67$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11619426.3%51 W · 143 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b42…62afbacked Over30c382.72$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.172646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x36c8…2925backed Under70c357.14$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.141369.2%9 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1667…4806backed Over30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under71c333.17$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.6223250.9%118 W · 114 L+0.8wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e1…d473backed Under69c320.04$221 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.21250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under71c314.54$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9149753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over30c302$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.6850%4 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed Under70c268.22$188 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.4733057%188 W · 142 L+17.2wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under70c232.82$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.844656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Under71c204.23$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.232466.7%16 W · 8 L+3.7wins+0.15per pick51cpaid+34.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under72c196.94$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.1561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under71c195.97$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.8336554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Under74c186.49$138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.491136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd7e…cd92backed Under71c178.84$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.864100%4 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over29c173.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.2552454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x631c…7bfebacked Over13c172.98$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.692119%4 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick29cpaid-13%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa710…f1ccbacked Over30c166.67$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5035328.6%101 W · 252 L-6.1wins-0.02per pick30cpaid+0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd810…2eb8backed Under70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455068%34 W · 16 L+8.2wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+36.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Under70c142.66$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.664254.8%23 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick61cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under76c128.2$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9115353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under71c124.88$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.9220758%120 W · 87 L+11.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x90f9…e894backed Under70c120$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3617464.9%113 W · 61 L+16.7wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+21.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x3a51…b2b6backed Over30c103.29$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.25444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over20c101.45$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.455135.3%18 W · 33 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a2d…4f43backed Over28c100$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28812.5%1 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.38per pick50cpaid-79.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under71c99.99$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2911850%59 W · 59 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0ea…5a8abacked Under70c98.74$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.622100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick49cpaid+156.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x43bc…d3ddbacked Under78c87.18$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.183100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x65b5…a9f7backed Under70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414262.7%89 W · 53 L+12.2wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+19.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5af1…f988backed Under70c80$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2414265.5%93 W · 49 L+14.9wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+23.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf564…a382backed Under69c73.31$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.73475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+22%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5565…4b3bbacked Under71c71.85$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.1242658%247 W · 179 L+24.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under71c70.42$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.426762.7%42 W · 25 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+22.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5865…22b1backed Over30c66.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x307d…6865backed Under68c62.63$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.043745.9%17 W · 20 L-4.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-10%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over32c62.5$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2073258.5%428 W · 304 L+46.7wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under68c62$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.9496645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf46b…c662backed Over30c58.17$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.45933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Under70c54.05$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.3829855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x14b2…013fbacked Under71c51$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.793868.4%26 W · 12 L+5.1wins+0.13per pick55cpaid+22.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over30c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153167.7%21 W · 10 L+2.7wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+25.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41d4…a401backed Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x261c…d49dbacked Under70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158100%8 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7718…4c1bbacked Over27c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.21per pick38cpaid-78.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6c82…6150backed Under69c50$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.529751.9%154 W · 143 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x295a…bdedbacked Over30c46.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0160%0 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d1b…6cc0backed Under71c45$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.02666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick63cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x60e3…08a6backed Over34c44.12$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153441.2%14 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-16.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf450…9817backed Under70c42.86$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.86650%3 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-33.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc2aa…2c12backed Under77c39.14$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.142100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under70c38.7$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.619949.5%49 W · 50 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under74c38$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.866031.2%206 W · 454 L-13.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-23.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Over30c35.07$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5260%0 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0xbca3…483abacked Under71c34.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081872.2%13 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+12.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x07d9…9397backed Under72c34.72$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.723100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+66.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf787…5ca7backed Under71c30$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.71154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under69c26.1$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.0951750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under79c25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.211753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb6f…f414backed Under71c22.2$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.53475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+17.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2dd2…e809backed Under70c21$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.373100%3 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1755…a572backed Under74c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.210964.2%70 W · 39 L-6.5wins-0.06per pick70cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc92…6564backed Under75c18.67$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.674553.3%24 W · 21 L-8.4wins-0.19per pick72cpaid-26.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xe164…acfebacked Under71c18.25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.292556%14 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.