TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$144,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $144,223 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x036c…178dbacked Over71c35,001$24,851 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24,850.523740.5%15 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under40c26,640$10,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,852.886,11745.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L-28.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under29c14,664$4,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,411.4485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over73c11,989$8,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,730.8915534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under28c10,984$3,085 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,898.7451750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbffd…38f6backed Over57c10,505$5,997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,997.530%0 W · 3 L-1.4wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under28c8,145$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,894.462,55047.8%1,218 W · 1,332 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over74c5,326$3,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,925.7330143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1414…ae7bbacked Over71c4,225$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,000.023360.6%20 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over25c3,913$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$990.514,74441.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L+28.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf515…0805backed Over72c2,801$2,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.998448.8%41 W · 43 L-3.4wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8e37…deb2backed Over55c1,945$1,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,070633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-38.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under10c1,811$181 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,629.766520%13 W · 52 L+5.8wins+0.09per pick11cpaid+165.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under28c1,781$499 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,282.3252454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Over68c1,684$1,151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,151.469053.3%48 W · 42 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3f0…c8a6backed Under29c1,621$470 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,150.69450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+24.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2eed…85a9backed Under41c1,438$590 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$848.42580%4 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick54cpaid+74.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under41c1,436$589 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$847.213644.4%16 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x74c5…6cb7backed Under29c1,300$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$923250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Over71c1,226$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.31442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under30c1,116$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$779.5722335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Under49c1,020$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.4124047.5%114 W · 126 L+8.0wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5104…a114backed Over59c1,017$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6004932.7%16 W · 33 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under57c1,002$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.461,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed Over71c1,000$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71010743%46 W · 61 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5dca…87d0backed Over27c999.98$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.993630.6%11 W · 25 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-39.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over60c833.33$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014138.3%54 W · 87 L-8.9wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under29c804$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$570.8421253.8%114 W · 98 L+4.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc8a…1fb3backed Over64c750.02$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4816248.4%30 W · 32 L+3.3wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x31c5…ede4backed Over72c711.15$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$512.0310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x883c…474dbacked Under32c628.13$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.133100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+135.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc991…abd4backed Over71c600$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick49cpaid-71.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under40c600$240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3601,00446.3%465 W · 539 L+25.8wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under29c599.95$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.9723258.2%135 W · 97 L+13.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Under33c591.99$194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$398.2211449.1%56 W · 58 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+17.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over73c561.64$410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41020054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe375…dadfbacked Under37c520.59$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.97837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick54cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under58c514.34$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$218.541,93442.4%820 W · 1,114 L-43.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0644…c7b4backed Over39c512.82$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick33cpaid-59.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over67c500$335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33520040.5%81 W · 119 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid+3.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Over60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030645.8%140 W · 166 L-11.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under46c479.7$219 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.542,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6f…cf5bbacked Over21c476.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b07…869abacked Under29c424$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301.04850%4 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+26%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d34…3406backed Over72c416.67$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002040%8 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-29.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6932…6878backed Under29c400$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2841643.8%7 W · 9 L+2.8wins+0.17per pick26cpaid+70.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3dde…2c06backed Over50c400$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20010533.3%35 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-11.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under29c394.98$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.4472249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Over3c392.22$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.472356.5%13 W · 10 L+3.0wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+17.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b09…2c43backed Under53c388.95$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.811947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick39cpaid+31.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe1a6…afa6backed Under39c385.13$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.133154.8%17 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.11per pick44cpaid+14.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e46…60d6backed Under55c363.64$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.646960.9%42 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under29c338.42$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.2832345.2%146 W · 177 L-1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over60c333.33$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-19.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c325$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.9296645.4%439 W · 527 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5b0…f879backed Under32c312.5$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$212.52733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over71c309.86$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22010751.4%55 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over6c304.07$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.2443241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee6…1678backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1501020%2 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.28per pick48cpaid-59.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under30c291.96$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.0596443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Under29c286.29$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.27560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+57.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca28…ceb2backed Over72c277.61$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20040%0 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked Under30c273.09$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.7136554.5%199 W · 166 L+13.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb348…776fbacked Over15c266.67$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402119%4 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid-12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over70c263.41$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.3982763%521 W · 306 L+113.2wins+0.14per pick49cpaid+41.9%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xcfe6…49f8backed Over59c254.24$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15014551.7%75 W · 70 L-0.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under30c250$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.811,22442.3%518 W · 706 L-27.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under29c250$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.51,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47f9…4731backed Over71c245.69$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.442334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.6wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-28.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xf639…b945backed Over72c208.32$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.991546.7%7 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-16.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over19c203.74$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.7135428.5%101 W · 253 L-20.1wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-18.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over71c200$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1428858%51 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.06per pick64cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e29…9e66backed Over38c200$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7514845.9%68 W · 80 L-4.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbcc2…8c9abacked Over72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1441233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-50.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc94c…ba65backed Under14c200$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1722313%3 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick12cpaid+27.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under43c187.04$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7849753.7%267 W · 230 L+27.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over65c180$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11728654.2%155 W · 131 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b84…2f73backed Under65c178.46$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.462373.9%17 W · 6 L+2.0wins+0.09per pick65cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0307…7ab8backed Under77c176.76$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.28475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe706…89bcbacked Over48c166.67$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805935.6%21 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-22.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Under29c166.65$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.3239052.6%205 W · 185 L+19.0wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under75c165$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.251154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Under53c164$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.085152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Under64c157.62$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.866750.7%34 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Under41c153.66$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.6626344.9%118 W · 145 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3696…69cebacked Over71c150$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.57647.4%36 W · 40 L-4.7wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-15.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Over70c150$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.518963%119 W · 70 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick60cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x03f5…3047backed Over71c140.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005950.8%30 W · 29 L-6.6wins-0.11per pick62cpaid-20.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcc83…215cbacked Over72c138.89$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.4wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-20.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf824…0fdabacked Under77c129.87$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.87250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over53c129$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.944744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb17…32b2backed Under29c124.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.635044%22 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc8c7…3726backed Under33c121.21$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.211136.4%4 W · 7 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick29cpaid+13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc674…1176backed Under29c114.76$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+244.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under36c110.42$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.5115353.6%82 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc253…5800backed Over71c108.51$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.0410550.5%53 W · 52 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Under41c103.8$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.243050%15 W · 15 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd571…d24abacked Under29c103.45$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.453718.9%7 W · 30 L-7.2wins-0.20per pick38cpaid-47.5%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0xf3c1…3ac2backed Under48c103.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-17.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b47…3f2ebacked Over21c102.26$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.473956.4%22 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.