TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x82eb…9287

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
64
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Europa Conference League, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category Europa Conference League at 59 out of 100; worst Premier League at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Premier League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
West Ham United FC vs. Wolverhampton Wanderers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$982Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$982
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Carabao Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,098Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,097.56
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$271Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+37%+$100.28
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$327.27
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$233.58
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.96
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$4,735Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,735.47
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-03-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$870Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$870.3
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$352Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$351.62
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$59.37
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$171Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$171
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$77.73
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$453Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+39%+$176.5
All 14 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.8wins+0.31per pick58cpaid+66.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-04-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$290Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$340.75
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$295Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$120.4
FC Porto vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$309Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$159.35
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,076Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,631.34
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will KRC Genk win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$304.55
RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$104.52
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$154Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$213.3
VfB Stuttgart vs. FC Porto: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+33.5%+$23.46
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+15.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick69cpaid+20.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.21per pick39cpaid+109.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick71cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick68cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+63.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$1,061Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$282
Will RB Leipzig win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,366Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100.4%+$2,374.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 27, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Shanxi Loongs vs. Shandong Hi-Speed Kirinbacked Shanxi Loongs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$909Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+33.7%+$306.87
Guangdong Southern Tigers vs. Beijing Ducksbacked Beijing Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$525Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$329.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNLV Runnin' Rebels vs. Tulsa Golden Hurricanebacked Tulsa Golden Hurricane · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,906Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$970.58
Rhode Island Rams vs. Duquesne Dukes: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$834Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+47.4%+$395.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Sydney FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$433Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$433.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.