TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$109,104

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,104 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under68c14,928$10,149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,779.1411349.6%56 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over32c13,748$4,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,399.4851750.1%259 W · 258 L+19.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over27c12,308$3,353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,353.214,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc807…8038backed Under68c10,387$7,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,344.39366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+74%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x479e…91c3backed Under68c4,381$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,381.226066.7%40 W · 20 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick63cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over35c4,093$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.625527.3%15 W · 40 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under76c2,406$1,833 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$573.871353.8%7 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick61cpaid+13.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9d93…2cf1backed Under78c1,604$1,253 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.31450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick68cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Over29c1,242$366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$366.1313132.1%42 W · 89 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid-5.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49025836%93 W · 165 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xed26…6282backed Under75c880.86$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.163056.7%17 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick64cpaid-20.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd91a…211cbacked Over30c833$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.98236.6%30 W · 52 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over32c791.67$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253.331,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba58…28c2backed Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002934.5%10 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-23.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over34c735.29$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2505742.1%24 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over26c699.97$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.9911828%33 W · 85 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6c67…a813backed Under78c669.89$522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.89683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.11per pick72cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82eb…9287backed Under63c631.3$398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$233.581442.9%6 W · 8 L-3.2wins-0.23per pick66cpaid-37.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Under54c611.58$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$281.3343241.9%181 W · 251 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over29c599.76$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173.931040%4 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-11.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over29c531$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.0915534.2%53 W · 102 L-9.7wins-0.06per pick40cpaid-7.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under71c500$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1457565.3%49 W · 26 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+4.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x649a…02afbacked Under59c396$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.686168.9%42 W · 19 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick73cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over32c393$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.7652454.2%284 W · 240 L+14.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1160…b054backed Over40c350$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf535…e984backed Under75c341.88$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.471353.8%7 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x65a0…2a86backed Under78c333.33$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.331984.2%16 W · 3 L+3.2wins+0.17per pick68cpaid+28.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under66c304.99$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.772249.9%360 W · 362 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a84…e271backed Under67c302$202 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.661450%7 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc947…3462backed Under68c298.47$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.513847.4%18 W · 20 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+22.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over36c277.78$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004555.6%25 W · 20 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over38c263.95$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003727%10 W · 27 L-3.5wins-0.09per pick36cpaid-22.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over24c263.94$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.171,40944.5%627 W · 782 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-17.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x464c…4632backed Over8c260.25$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211513.3%2 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-26.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x134c…eeefbacked Over38c250.16$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956043.3%26 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Over33c236.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.272245.5%10 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over31c234.19$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.8522335.4%79 W · 144 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over30c200$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6019235.9%69 W · 123 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over35c200$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7027955.9%156 W · 123 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under61c198$121 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.5811753%62 W · 55 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Over27c192.59$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$529946.5%46 W · 53 L+8.0wins+0.08per pick38cpaid+21.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over28c178.57$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5016731.7%53 W · 114 L-18.5wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Under59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.5524146.1%111 W · 130 L-7.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under66c154.03$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3710949.5%54 W · 55 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over33c150$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.577236.4%281 W · 491 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba6c…20e3backed Under68c147.61$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.61771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+13.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.065250%26 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over39c146.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.252,21249.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L-9.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Under64c145.74$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.0341160.1%247 W · 164 L+22.1wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under71c140.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.851040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-31.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4363…d6e0backed Under79c140$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.44854.2%26 W · 22 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under69c140$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.43865.8%25 W · 13 L+4.3wins+0.11per pick55cpaid+14.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xffea…5f0abacked Over36c137.91$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.264658.7%27 W · 19 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d9…a600backed Over50c131.23$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.6230%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf9a7…374abacked Over43c116.28$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over19c105.26$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011053.6%59 W · 51 L+11.1wins+0.10per pick44cpaid+17.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4781…336dbacked Under79c101.27$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2718562.2%115 W · 70 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid+3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8e0…20e4backed Under51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$491735.3%6 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6d…e537backed Over31c98.9$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.66450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under52c96.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.156357.1%36 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under75c84.99$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.916251.2%83 W · 79 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-10.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb5a…2faabacked Over30c82.42$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.69955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.13per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe293…d3edbacked Over23c72.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.933151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf15…bc03backed Over30c72.12$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.334845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd6c2…a53dbacked Under76c71.57$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.451650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x41ad…8dddbacked Over26c70$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.426028.3%17 W · 43 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-28.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3d12…cc43backed Over29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203033.3%10 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6df9…e49ebacked Under79c67$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.071154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040742%171 W · 236 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70fb…d507backed Over34c61.32$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851050%5 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x434e…c06abacked Under67c59.7$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.7450%2 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under78c59.62$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1212754.3%69 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid-9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over19c57.89$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119137.4%34 W · 57 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under73c56.41$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.371,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf32c…ff08backed Under71c56.34$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.34650%3 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-20%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Over29c56.34$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.341,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed Over30c56$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.830143.9%132 W · 169 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under67c55.39$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.281,00751.5%519 W · 488 L+4.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under67c55$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.1575850%379 W · 379 L+20.6wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under65c54.83$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0474056.9%421 W · 319 L+46.2wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x84c3…6f21backed Under72c54.77$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.557057.1%40 W · 30 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over22c54.65$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1235347.6%168 W · 185 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x958d…3501backed Under79c50.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6342862.4%267 W · 161 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b35…768ebacked Over21c50.52$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.613754.1%20 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+17.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2463…f5b5backed Under66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179953.5%53 W · 46 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9df0…9a65backed Under74c50$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13988.9%8 W · 1 L+2.1wins+0.23per pick66cpaid+33.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa3af…b7a6backed Under70c49.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.871181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick61cpaid+27.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4713…4d21backed Over25c46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.584744.7%21 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-11.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Over32c42.5$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.651136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x69ee…6e35backed Over32c41.99$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.5329855%164 W · 134 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+10.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1508…5760backed Over30c38.91$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.491241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-18.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over32c37.5$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123743.2%16 W · 21 L-2.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2639…a9b6backed Over30c36.67$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116944.9%31 W · 38 L-3.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-16%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1346…0448backed Under76c36$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.647162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under67c34.46$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.261143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b69…e65dbacked Over30c33.55$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.16333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-38%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d40…7b78backed Over39c31.26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.19580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+55.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under66c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.279639.6%315 W · 481 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c80…9dc4backed Under68c29.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.32366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over41c28.16$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.55152.9%27 W · 24 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.