Premier League · resolved market
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x95ca2f75c5294c100bedecd41df90c9983665d6587f0a800629672f1280980d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $109,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,104 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6c74…bd4ebacked Under | 68c | 14,928$10,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,779.14 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 32c | 13,748$4,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,399.48 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 12,308$3,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,353.21 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…8038backed Under | 68c | 10,387$7,043 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,344.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Under | 68c | 4,381$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,381.22 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 35c | 4,093$1,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.62 | 55 | 27.3%15 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…e8bbbacked Under | 76c | 2,406$1,833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.87 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d93…2cf1backed Under | 78c | 1,604$1,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.31 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Over | 29c | 1,242$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.13 | 131 | 32.1%42 W · 89 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed26…6282backed Under | 75c | 880.86$664 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 64cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 30c | 833$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.9 | 82 | 36.6%30 W · 52 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 32c | 791.67$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.33 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Over | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 34c | 735.29$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd66…fb6dbacked Over | 26c | 699.97$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.99 | 118 | 28%33 W · 85 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 78c | 669.89$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 72cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82eb…9287backed Under | 63c | 631.3$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.58 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.23per pick | 66cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 54c | 611.58$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.33 | 432 | 41.9%181 W · 251 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…d361backed Over | 29c | 599.76$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.93 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over | 29c | 531$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.09 | 155 | 34.2%53 W · 102 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed Under | 71c | 500$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Under | 59c | 396$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.68 | 61 | 68.9%42 W · 19 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 73cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 32c | 393$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.76 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1160…b054backed Over | 40c | 350$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf535…e984backed Under | 75c | 341.88$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65a0…2a86backed Under | 78c | 333.33$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.33 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 66c | 304.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.7 | 722 | 49.9%360 W · 362 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a84…e271backed Under | 67c | 302$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc947…3462backed Under | 68c | 298.47$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc9…f0b3backed Over | 38c | 263.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 24c | 263.94$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.17 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Over | 8c | 260.25$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x134c…eeefbacked Over | 38c | 250.16$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 60 | 43.3%26 W · 34 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Over | 33c | 236.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.27 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 31c | 234.19$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.85 | 223 | 35.4%79 W · 144 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 192 | 35.9%69 W · 123 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 35c | 200$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 279 | 55.9%156 W · 123 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 61c | 198$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.58 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 27c | 192.59$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 99 | 46.5%46 W · 53 L | +8.0wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 167 | 31.7%53 W · 114 L | -18.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Under | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.55 | 241 | 46.1%111 W · 130 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 66c | 154.03$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.37 | 109 | 49.5%54 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 33c | 150$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.5 | 772 | 36.4%281 W · 491 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba6c…20e3backed Under | 68c | 147.61$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.61 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 57cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 39c | 146.81$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.25 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 64c | 145.74$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.03 | 411 | 60.1%247 W · 164 L | +22.1wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20dd…f6acbacked Under | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4363…d6e0backed Under | 79c | 140$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 69c | 140$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Over | 36c | 137.91$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.26 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82d9…a600backed Over | 50c | 131.23$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.62 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a7…374abacked Over | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Under | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 185 | 62.2%115 W · 70 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e0…20e4backed Under | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e6d…e537backed Over | 31c | 98.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…3a3dbacked Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 63 | 57.1%36 W · 27 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 75c | 84.99$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.9 | 162 | 51.2%83 W · 79 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5a…2faabacked Over | 30c | 82.42$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.69 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 43cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe293…d3edbacked Over | 23c | 72.33$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf15…bc03backed Over | 30c | 72.12$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6c2…a53dbacked Under | 76c | 71.57$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked Over | 26c | 70$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.42 | 60 | 28.3%17 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6df9…e49ebacked Under | 79c | 67$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 407 | 42%171 W · 236 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fb…d507backed Over | 34c | 61.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x434e…c06abacked Under | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 78c | 59.62$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 19c | 57.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 73c | 56.41$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf32c…ff08backed Under | 71c | 56.34$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -20%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Over | 29c | 56.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 1,208 | 42.2%510 W · 698 L | -27.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Over | 30c | 56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Under | 67c | 55.39$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.15 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 65c | 54.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 740 | 56.9%421 W · 319 L | +46.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84c3…6f21backed Under | 72c | 54.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 22c | 54.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 353 | 47.6%168 W · 185 L | -15.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 428 | 62.4%267 W · 161 L | -11.7wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b35…768ebacked Over | 21c | 50.52$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Under | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 99 | 53.5%53 W · 46 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9df0…9a65backed Under | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.1wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3af…b7a6backed Under | 70c | 49.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.87 | 11 | 81.8%9 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 61cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 25c | 46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 47 | 44.7%21 W · 26 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 32c | 42.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Over | 32c | 41.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.53 | 298 | 55%164 W · 134 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed Over | 30c | 38.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 32c | 37.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2639…a9b6backed Over | 30c | 36.67$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 69 | 44.9%31 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1346…0448backed Under | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 67c | 34.46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.2 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b69…e65dbacked Over | 30c | 33.55$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d40…7b78backed Over | 39c | 31.26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c80…9dc4backed Under | 68c | 29.12$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Over | 41c | 28.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5this page
- Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Newcastle United FC (-2.5)Sunderland AFC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Newcastle United FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.