TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd6c2…a53d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
233
Categories scored
31
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst UFC at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT5056%28 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 50 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,640Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+29%+$475.16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+76.5%+$26.99
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.23
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+76.4%+$16.89
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70.27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.5%+$16.21
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$12.25
US announces military support of Iran opposition by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+43.2%+$11.46
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.37
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+238%+$49.38
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$7.03
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.43
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$16.51
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+47.2%+$5.77
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+119.7%+$77.29
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.66
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$17.3
Israel announces suspension of Lebanon offensive by April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$4.35
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.24
US forces enter Iran by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$101.91
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+54.7%+$14.17
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$192.48
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.1
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+41.8%+$10.31
US x Iran meeting by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$5.49
Showing 25 of 50 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT4531.1%14 W · 31 L0.0wins0.00per pick31cpaid-27.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.83
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+253.9%+$80.85
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.57
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$44Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+36.9%+$16.3
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.52
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.64
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.19
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from April 11 to April 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$7.98
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.2
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+265.3%+$127.82
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.78
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+49.7%+$5.31
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$2.9
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.01
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+232.8%+$142.7
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.82
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 13 to March 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.25
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.74
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+391.4%+$385.48
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.19
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.48
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT2157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+23.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.71
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pelicans vs. Kingsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.6
Timberwolves vs. 76ersbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.16
Timberwolves vs. Mavericksbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.5
Knicks vs. Hornetsbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.96
Timberwolves vs. Celticsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+448.9%+$52.34
Nets vs. Kingsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6.6
Trail Blazers vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.32
Heat vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+76.9%+$11.3
Raptors vs. Nuggetsbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$24.6
Hawks vs. Rocketsbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.35
Nuggets vs. Grizzliesbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.66
Heat vs. Hornetsbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+56.2%+$12.96
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$50
Pistons vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+150%+$24.6
Knicks vs. Jazzbacked Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$82.17
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Grizzlies vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+60%+$28.13
Nuggets vs. Thunderbacked Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.4
Magic vs. Timberwolvesbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+244.8%+$41.89
All 21 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT1650%8 W · 8 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+177%+$108.63
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed AFC Bournemouth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$30.71
Arsenal FC vs. AFC Bournemouth: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$19.71
Newcastle United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+32.2%+$17.45
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-03-20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$127Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$47.52
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$281.82
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75.24
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.23
Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.05
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$10.24
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+34.5%+$10.01
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Arsenal FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$26.65
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$62.15
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.44
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$212.72
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Chelsea FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+49.3%+$67.65
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick67cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$13.52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino finish in second place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$2.9
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.98
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most national list votes in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.8
Will TISZA – Respect and Freedom Party (TISZA) win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+31.4%+$32.71
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.43
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be less than 55%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will PH win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Chamber of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$25.89
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+32.9%+$46.95
Will Hannah Spencer win the Gorton and Denton by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+53.8%+$7
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$476.41
Will José Antonio Kast win the Chilean presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$340Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 14, 2025, EST+47.1%+$160
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$7.8
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$77
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.98
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$32.33
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.56
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$142Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$42.55
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.85
Real Madrid CF vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.17
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$16.28
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$21.8
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.63
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+37%+$9.62
All 12 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick62cpaid+55.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+25.2%+$4.82
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.2
LoL: Team WE vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winnerbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$6.46
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.63
LoL: G2 Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - First Stand Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+31.9%+$4.84
Game Handicap: GEN (-1.5) vs G2 Esports (+1.5)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.84
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$176
LoL: G2 Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.51
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.94
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Top Esports (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+63.9%+$16.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick61cpaid-6.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Commodities — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$11.04
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$122Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$122.12
Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.33
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$12.8
US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$6.63
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$32.83
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$8.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.67
All 8 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+55.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT70%0 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick62cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Vanderbilt Commodores vs. Nebraska Cornhuskersbacked Nebraska Cornhuskers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$7.29
Louisville Cardinals vs. Michigan State Spartansbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.05
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhornsbacked Texas Longhorns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$37.23
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.26
All 4 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-53.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$384.28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$389.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.76
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.47
All 2 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+125.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$17.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+101.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+101.6%+$45.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Olympiacos B.C. · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$10.56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-03-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$11.31
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+35%+$4.66
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$10.13
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 4, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Kansas City Royalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$4.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the New England Patriots win Super Bowl 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST-100%-$195.4
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.09
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-03-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$121Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$121.05
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Feb 16, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SOLV Energy, Inc.'s market cap be greater than $5.4B at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$179Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$179.03
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.