Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b09ac16b3fbd686419733e74ff549a4f4c0b59e6db73c5ad2791f55d23e7b2a

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $973,966

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $973,966 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 628 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	1c	37,262$251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$251.25	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	2c	32,515$654 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$654.25	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	4c	30,580$1,187 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,187.09	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	23,157$564 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$563.98	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x015b…68e1backed Yes	0c	20,808$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.81	3	0%0 W · 3 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3a58…7e08backed Yes	0c	20,000$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	140	9.3%13 W · 127 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	+642.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	4c	19,476$779 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$779.05	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbac4…1ab2backed Yes	13c	18,283$2,352 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,351.9	457	15.1%69 W · 388 L	-12.5wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-17.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xea85…efe5backed Yes	2c	17,172$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$265.45	62	14.5%9 W · 53 L	+3.4wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+28%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	6c	16,357$1,018 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,018.13	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	4c	15,880$581 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.54	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	7c	14,222$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,016.27	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	3c	14,189$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.24	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	1c	14,134$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.22	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	7c	13,015$942 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$941.88	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2511…5ae9backed Yes	11c	12,836$1,354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,353.76	65	13.8%9 W · 56 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	12,555$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.97	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	1c	12,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.87	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	2c	11,617$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.7	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	17c	11,534$1,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,941.11	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	12c	11,115$1,351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,351.24	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	16c	10,345$1,687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,686.98	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	6c	10,120$615 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$615.03	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	8c	10,005$820 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$820.2	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa06c…0861backed Yes	1c	9,573$125 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$125	146	8.2%12 W · 134 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	8,571$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.9	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	1c	8,564$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.93	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2ef…e1edbacked Yes	2c	7,445$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.91	35	20%7 W · 28 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	23c	7,369$1,658 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,657.93	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab6…b3c1backed Yes	1c	7,300$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	10cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xedc8…a743backed Yes	6c	7,154$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.29	248	15.3%38 W · 210 L	+3.5wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x10bc…5715backed Yes	0c	7,078$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.55	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	20c	7,026$1,388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,387.87	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	8c	6,988$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.83	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3488…d6fdbacked Yes	18c	6,716$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.01	207	35.3%73 W · 134 L	+5.2wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-14.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e71…01bfbacked Yes	2c	6,567$156 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$155.63	72	11.1%8 W · 64 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b42…229ebacked Yes	4c	6,508$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234.37	103	22.3%23 W · 80 L	+8.6wins	+0.08per pick	14cpaid	+59.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	10c	6,129$597 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$597.34	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcdba…e7a2backed Yes	5c	6,086$280 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$280	46	8.7%4 W · 42 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	+67.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb93…9af0backed Yes	1c	5,615$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc694…5d40backed Yes	2c	5,543$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.48	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x402c…0f6dbacked Yes	10c	5,298$547 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547	280	25.4%71 W · 209 L	-2.3wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa1…256dbacked Yes	1c	5,125$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	23	13%3 W · 20 L	+0.9wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,046$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.33	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	14c	5,000$705 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$704.99	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xefdc…e19ebacked Yes	10c	4,968$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	33	30.3%10 W · 23 L	+2.2wins	+0.07per pick	24cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	22c	4,940$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c29…8c43backed Yes	3c	4,542$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	465	21.3%99 W · 366 L	-11.5wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-24%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8d7…f0febacked Yes	2c	4,457$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.51	2	0%0 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4004…0972backed Yes	4c	4,144$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.62	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7c2c…407ebacked Yes	0c	4,039$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.16	240	1.7%4 W · 236 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+675.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	6c	4,000$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.56	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	1c	4,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.23	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	14c	4,000$549 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$549	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	5c	4,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Yes	1c	3,898$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.49	19	31.6%6 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	32cpaid	-28.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	11c	3,879$422 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$421.87	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	3c	3,705$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.03	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	12c	3,629$419 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$419.31	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	17c	3,572$592 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$591.6	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	9c	3,537$331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330.63	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	3,518$2,814 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$703.6	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xea7b…2004backed Yes	1c	3,448$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.12	63	22.2%14 W · 49 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	10c	3,401$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340.1	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7279…4612backed Yes	8c	3,227$243 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$242.75	273	16.8%46 W · 227 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe144…487fbacked Yes	17c	3,220$542 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$542.19	104	21.2%22 W · 82 L	+2.0wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21a5…6760backed Yes	19c	3,138$602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601.72	147	8.8%13 W · 134 L	-2.9wins	-0.02per pick	11cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	21c	3,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	13c	2,947$385 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$385.03	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9462…1f7ebacked Yes	4c	2,937$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.61	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x801c…a025backed Yes	7c	2,918$203 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$203.4	52	11.5%6 W · 46 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-14%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	19c	2,882$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.35	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	13c	2,870$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$380.7	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x88be…3192backed Yes	2c	2,800$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.2	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.7wins	+0.17per pick	8cpaid	+127.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8974…bedebacked Yes	4c	2,696$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.96	72	33.3%24 W · 48 L	+3.3wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+42%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x960b…9303backed Yes	1c	2,667$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	60	21.7%13 W · 47 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	19cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb6…ec60backed Yes	15c	2,538$381 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$381	266	19.5%52 W · 214 L	+5.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	+9.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56d…1fdebacked Yes	4c	2,523$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.92	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3247…4254backed Yes	4c	2,500$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	79	13.9%11 W · 68 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	12cpaid	-38.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf54…2d2fbacked Yes	3c	2,488$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.69	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	11c	2,409$269 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$269.19	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x304b…57b2backed Yes	1c	2,351$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.7	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+4.1wins	+0.05per pick	5cpaid	+105%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x35df…87b2backed Yes	4c	2,330$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.87	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca93…e990backed Yes	2c	2,295$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	+0.3wins	+0.05per pick	28cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c52…7e35backed Yes	2c	2,262$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.92	37	8.1%3 W · 34 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	11cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5808…0b74backed Yes	22c	2,251$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	39	28.2%11 W · 28 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x96a7…53c5backed Yes	4c	2,246$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.59	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	10c	2,220$228 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.5	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0e35…34d2backed Yes	4c	2,211$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.23	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xce10…bb32backed Yes	4c	2,190$85 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.41	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	6c	2,173$129 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.81	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb05d…9cfcbacked Yes	22c	2,047$449 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$449.18	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5646…6864backed Yes	4c	2,035$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.37	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes	20c	2,023$410 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$409.71	541	22.7%123 W · 418 L	+16.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	5c	2,007$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.73	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeab1…8121backed Yes	12c	2,001$230 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$230.27	488	19.3%94 W · 394 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-23.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd5d3…8e8fbacked Yes	1c	2,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	131	16.8%22 W · 109 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+57.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6869…0484backed Yes	21c	2,000$420 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$420	121	17.4%21 W · 100 L	+0.8wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes	12c	2,000$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240	22	9.1%2 W · 20 L	-1.9wins	-0.09per pick	18cpaid	-75.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e6…b538backed Yes	10c	1,977$207 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$207.38	90	22.2%20 W · 70 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-12.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event