Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4d876fd615adc2ad0240c1cfdc4722fdd742b6277b2e172ce9d4ca1a9ee30784

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 17, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $452,892

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $452,892 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 380 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Yes	4c	31,253$1,288 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,288.07	56	35.7%20 W · 36 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	34cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	29,092$1,575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,575.32	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e83…9394backed Yes	0c	25,000$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	177	2.3%4 W · 173 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+467.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	5c	18,499$1,016 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,015.5	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4449…e977backed Yes	3c	18,206$477 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$477	590	9.2%54 W · 536 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x96a6…39eebacked Yes	0c	16,356$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9f…9971backed Yes	2c	12,531$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.49	352	12.8%45 W · 307 L	+6.5wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	+22.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b76…c036backed Yes	0c	11,978$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.98	54	0%0 W · 54 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x90bb…531fbacked Yes	0c	11,604$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.6	129	0.8%1 W · 128 L	+0.9wins	+0.01per pick	0cpaid	+675.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…51cbbacked Yes	1c	11,338$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76	246	17.5%43 W · 203 L	+6.0wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	+112.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	1c	11,203$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.11	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd61e…c34fbacked Yes	0c	11,000$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	40	0%0 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4143…d67dbacked Yes	0c	10,347$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.35	212	20.3%43 W · 169 L	+13.4wins	+0.06per pick	14cpaid	+610.3%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Yes	0c	9,130$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.55	456	8.3%38 W · 418 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-20.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	13c	8,819$1,107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,106.99	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x274c…4824backed Yes	19c	8,097$1,515 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,514.52	84	25%21 W · 63 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-18%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes	12c	7,813$933 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$932.62	124	11.3%14 W · 110 L	-3.0wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-69.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dce…b2acbacked Yes	0c	7,627$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.1	164	17.1%28 W · 136 L	+6.8wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8154…3634backed Yes	8c	7,139$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.18	231	7.4%17 W · 214 L	-2.9wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-16%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	7,116$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121.5	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ce0…5f11backed Yes	0c	7,099$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.94	427	19.2%82 W · 345 L	+23.3wins	+0.05per pick	14cpaid	+7.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6911…ede3backed Yes	9c	7,000$630 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$630	23	4.3%1 W · 22 L	-2.6wins	-0.11per pick	16cpaid	-68.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1d4…38d6backed Yes	2c	6,666$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.32	16	0%0 W · 16 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	80c	6,162$4,929 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,232.31	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf71c…4dabbacked Yes	1c	6,003$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46	115	7.8%9 W · 106 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	4cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b8d…42c5backed Yes	2c	6,000$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.68	519	8.3%43 W · 476 L	+6.4wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfc6…ce6bbacked Yes	0c	6,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	342	3.5%12 W · 330 L	+1.4wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf8cc…028abacked Yes	0c	5,972$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.94	1,625	1.9%31 W · 1,594 L	+14.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42c9…e564backed Yes	23c	5,823$1,320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,319.58	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	37cpaid	-31.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa976…5c43backed Yes	12c	5,400$648 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$648	380	10%38 W · 342 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	10cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x86f7…4edbbacked Yes	22c	5,288$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140.2	25	12%3 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+83.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	0c	5,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x471a…0328backed Yes	0c	5,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	312	42.9%134 W · 178 L	+20.0wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-29.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	5,000$377 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$377	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf3b1…9ca4backed Yes	7c	5,000$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	326	7.1%23 W · 303 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	7cpaid	-39.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a45…f628backed Yes	16c	5,000$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.61	212	13.2%28 W · 184 L	-7.5wins	-0.04per pick	17cpaid	-38.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaf2a…3d31backed Yes	15c	4,685$696 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$695.88	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	25cpaid	+24.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf13d…11aabacked Yes	1c	4,550$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.75	16	12.5%2 W · 14 L	+0.6wins	+0.04per pick	9cpaid	+56.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	0c	4,500$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	455	11.6%53 W · 402 L	+8.5wins	+0.02per pick	10cpaid	+104.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6640…e07abacked Yes	10c	4,480$463 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$462.95	781	11.3%88 W · 693 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-44.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	0c	4,370$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.31	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x2125…19b8backed Yes	11c	4,317$460 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$460.04	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc589…5614backed Yes	7c	4,000$277 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.39	173	10.4%18 W · 155 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7cf…db1ebacked Yes	0c	3,793$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	81	9.9%8 W · 73 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	8cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb05d…9cfcbacked Yes	14c	3,701$531 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$531.2	8	12.5%1 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-39.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes	17c	3,674$620 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$620	244	23.8%58 W · 186 L	-7.1wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-27.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	6c	3,562$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.5	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21ca…450abacked Yes	19c	3,544$687 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$686.74	312	17.3%54 W · 258 L	-5.7wins	-0.02per pick	19cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x54c0…a338backed Yes	0c	3,448$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	364	4.7%17 W · 347 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	+98.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ad…04e4backed Yes	1c	3,401$34 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.01	178	5.6%10 W · 168 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-63.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x37dc…a75cbacked Yes	11c	3,297$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.87	262	11.1%29 W · 233 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	12cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x754b…a66ebacked Yes	5c	3,073$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168.2	94	13.8%13 W · 81 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	14cpaid	-63.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	8c	3,000$252 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$252	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x34a0…b9eebacked Yes	16c	2,968$487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$487.16	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	+1.3wins	+0.05per pick	42cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	2,964$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.49	1,053	5.6%59 W · 994 L	+20.7wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdaa7…2e3cbacked Yes	12c	2,786$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336.03	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-7.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7076…7e6cbacked Yes	6c	2,777$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.51	104	14.4%15 W · 89 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb8c…69b1backed Yes	15c	2,770$416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$416.47	179	19%34 W · 145 L	-10.0wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-34.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2dd…1db4backed Yes	12c	2,731$316 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$316.05	160	9.4%15 W · 145 L	-5.9wins	-0.04per pick	13cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	10c	2,700$275 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$274.68	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5e8…9fbdbacked Yes	1c	2,500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	187	3.2%6 W · 181 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	3cpaid	+278.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb56b…28dbbacked Yes	7c	2,434$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	82	19.5%16 W · 66 L	+3.6wins	+0.04per pick	15cpaid	+34.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa259…7e5abacked Yes	15c	2,326$340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$340	291	13.1%38 W · 253 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfb57…6a21backed Yes	13c	2,273$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$285	64	20.3%13 W · 51 L	-1.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdd1…1829backed Yes	3c	2,071$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.42	84	9.5%8 W · 76 L	+1.7wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,065$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	2,022$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.48	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe2d4…82e5backed Yes	15c	2,005$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.9wins	-0.31per pick	31cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ac7…ae55backed Yes	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	480	6.9%33 W · 447 L	+5.2wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	+21.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Yes	15c	2,000$290 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$289.99	70	25.7%18 W · 52 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-8.5%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dab…e581backed Yes	9c	1,978$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.03	100	36%36 W · 64 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefa1…5aa4backed Yes	7c	1,934$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$134	66	24.2%16 W · 50 L	+3.8wins	+0.06per pick	18cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2778…8547backed Yes	1c	1,833$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11	133	15.8%21 W · 112 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	14cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9b28…5b76backed Yes	12c	1,790$222 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.6	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa14d…2563backed Yes	11c	1,787$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	145	15.9%23 W · 122 L	-4.9wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-36.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,662$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.65	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xad78…6df3backed Yes	21c	1,600$336 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$336	244	12.7%31 W · 213 L	-6.7wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-29.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x252f…bfc1backed Yes	14c	1,600$224 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224	66	30.3%20 W · 46 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	27cpaid	+14.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2377…1481backed Yes	8c	1,577$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.69	172	8.7%15 W · 157 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf111…2a81backed Yes	2c	1,564$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	88	5.7%5 W · 83 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	6cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc4d4…c1b8backed Yes	13c	1,535$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	177	28.2%50 W · 127 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0352…1d05backed Yes	1c	1,511$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.45	33	6.1%2 W · 31 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	5cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5bff…e08fbacked Yes	2c	1,500$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	167	16.2%27 W · 140 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	17cpaid	-45.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe008…f7d3backed Yes	2c	1,500$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	256	17.2%44 W · 212 L	+6.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	16c	1,500$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9cef…5ea3backed Yes	12c	1,489$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.42	50	22%11 W · 39 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-21%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x885f…7bf9backed Yes	8c	1,464$116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.33	61	11.5%7 W · 54 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1137…978dbacked Yes	21c	1,435$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	100	32%32 W · 68 L	-7.0wins	-0.07per pick	39cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb4ea…34dfbacked Yes	18c	1,389$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-16.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a34…6c6cbacked Yes	11c	1,365$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	58	12.1%7 W · 51 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9efe…68cabacked Yes	11c	1,359$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.89	56	25%14 W · 42 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes	3c	1,344$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.76	503	19.5%98 W · 405 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-46.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Yes	12c	1,320$162 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$161.8	135	13.3%18 W · 117 L	+0.7wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc99e…3853backed Yes	4c	1,311$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52	197	22.8%45 W · 152 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	19c	1,300$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df7…afb0backed Yes	10c	1,297$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.7	459	11.3%52 W · 407 L	-6.1wins	-0.01per pick	13cpaid	-13.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e66…0d3abacked Yes	4c	1,228$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	334	15.6%52 W · 282 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	15cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c29…6fffbacked Yes	18c	1,111$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	181	10.5%19 W · 162 L	-10.4wins	-0.06per pick	16cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x23cc…4f5abacked Yes	2c	1,100$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	827	11%91 W · 736 L	+21.9wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+7.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb058…ed72backed Yes	17c	1,100$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190	26	15.4%4 W · 22 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 29 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event