TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x2377…1481

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
251
Categories scored
18
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: Middle East, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 54 out of 100; worst Crypto Milestones at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT1728.7%15 W · 157 L+0.3wins0.00per pick9cpaid-18.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tweets — the 172 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.02
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+826%+$892.42
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.4
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.4
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$132Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.69
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.29
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$145Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$145.31
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$95.19
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 580+ tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$90
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 560-579 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 172 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1631.3%5 W · 11 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick23cpaid-37.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Iran strike on US military by February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+159.2%+$31.85
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+49.3%+$43.74
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+95.9%+$153.58
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+143.9%+$43.17
Israel strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$141Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+52.2%+$73.72
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$304.05
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$30
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$80
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$20
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 27, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$25
US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Will the US strike Mexico next?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Will the US strike Cuba nexbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 16 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 3, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick15cpaid+15.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Algeria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+300%+$39.75
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 DR Congo?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will Sweden win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+643.6%+$83.67
Exact Score: Any Other Score?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Exact Score: Germany 1 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$56.57
Exact Score: Germany 2 - 1 Paraguay?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 1 Japan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Morocco win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$22
Will Nigeria win on 2026-01-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST-100%-$23
All 13 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Atalanta win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will Leverkusen win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Dortmund win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$11.5
Will Juventus win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Inter win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$14.5
Will Napoli win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 28, 2026, EST-100%-$12
All 11 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST70%0 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Mar 31, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jan 14, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Raptors vs. Pacersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 14, 2026, EST+92.3%+$27.69
Wizards vs. Hornetsbacked Wizards · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 18, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NFL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.80per pick20cpaid+390.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Jake Paul vs. Anthony Joshua" be the top global Netflix show this week? (December 23, 2025)backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+390.2%+$154.06
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.70per pick30cpaid+231.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before 2027?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+231.9%+$1,136.39
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+74.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q3 2025 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST+74.3%+$11.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Dec 26, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will The Fate of Ophelia - Taylor Swift be the #1 song on Spotify this week?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 26, 2025, EST-100%-$36.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.1
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.