Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Any Other Score?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4811a66f83afbe2a0ac00381a1774c501fb2bb363e9868baa63aa17ed81f7298
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $60,876
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,492
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $60,876 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 10c | 6,303$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$619.14 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…e7a8backed Yes | 8c | 5,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 296 | 33.4%99 W · 197 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa04a…fa0dbacked Yes | 10c | 2,950$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x160d…6f25backed Yes | 9c | 2,772$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.72 | 783 | 17.4%136 W · 647 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa852…5730backed Yes | 6c | 1,974$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.44 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 4c | 1,804$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.14 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,497$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.69 | 228 | 13.2%30 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…658bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,400$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 153 | 36.6%56 W · 97 L | +12.2wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 11c | 1,136$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20c6…45aebacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…fc6cbacked Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 285 | 28.8%82 W · 203 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 9c | 999.99$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Yes | 10c | 950$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 8c | 800$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb3…f9f6backed Yes | 2c | 721.74$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 40 | 12.5%5 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 549 | 17.9%98 W · 451 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…a1e1backed Yes | 10c | 490$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 137 | 21.9%30 W · 107 L | +7.9wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x244b…b751backed Yes | 10c | 425.1$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.51 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf4…5608backed Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 121 | 14%17 W · 104 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc8a…112bbacked Yes | 10c | 400$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 81 | 17.3%14 W · 67 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe987…f0e1backed Yes | 9c | 357.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.14 | 380 | 26.6%101 W · 279 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd26b…b09fbacked Yes | 10c | 350$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 357 | 14%50 W · 307 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2377…1481backed Yes | 10c | 303.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 15cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4430…215ebacked Yes | 10c | 254.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.35 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -86%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Yes | 9c | 222.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 8c | 222.07$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x926f…f72ebacked Yes | 9c | 211.11$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 250 | 18.4%46 W · 204 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd680…c122backed Yes | 10c | 200.44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06be…8a46backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a2…0489backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 17cpaid | +170.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1fba…2077backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 26.1%6 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07ff…0548backed Yes | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d49…30cebacked Yes | 10c | 185.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aac…0e7abacked Yes | 14c | 181.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 456 | 27.9%127 W · 329 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd79c…9f33backed Yes | 10c | 180$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…ce82backed Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 98 | 30.6%30 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…d90abacked Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe547…0443backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 11.3%8 W · 63 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8af8…ced9backed Yes | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 15c | 137.89$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…894fbacked Yes | 9c | 122.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b30…3fb4backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa026…6d14backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 98 | 27.6%27 W · 71 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b5…ca2dbacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 129 | 14.7%19 W · 110 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 372 | 37.4%139 W · 233 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed No | 78c | 13.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 373 | 50.1%187 W · 186 L | +45.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +28%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?this page
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?Yes won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.