Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbbe9467ea473509c58e47aa8bbed8dd369dc01185e975e405176da1661810de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $243,836
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfb41…a57bbacked Yes | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 27cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 51,230$2,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,221.42 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 4c | 3,886$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.01 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee9…9bccbacked Yes | 4c | 3,669$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x929c…fe32backed Yes | 6c | 3,371$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 290 | 18.6%54 W · 236 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x662a…77b7backed Yes | 4c | 3,289$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 266 | 18%48 W · 218 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Yes | 4c | 2,692$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1345…8f0bbacked Yes | 5c | 2,644$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 125 | 14.4%18 W · 107 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe828…5ceabacked Yes | 4c | 2,640$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.32 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -19%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9c5…564fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 29 | 6.9%2 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b0…038fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,684$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27ad…6254backed Yes | 6c | 1,500$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | +5.8wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Yes | 4c | 1,493$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb91…a3f4backed Yes | 7c | 1,472$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.05 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | +4.9wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3bc…03efbacked Yes | 4c | 1,053$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 87 | 16.1%14 W · 73 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,040$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Yes | 4c | 1,027$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.02 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed Yes | 4c | 1,026$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8760…a2c6backed Yes | 4c | 789.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 114 | 21.1%24 W · 90 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60e0…33fabacked Yes | 4c | 706.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 375 | 26.1%98 W · 277 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…07a8backed Yes | 4c | 657.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Yes | 5c | 646$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.64 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Yes | 4c | 639.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.3 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f48…1214backed Yes | 4c | 634.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x595d…9ad0backed Yes | 7c | 600$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 144 | 30.6%44 W · 100 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 4c | 541.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.31 | 227 | 31.7%72 W · 155 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x731e…e3efbacked Yes | 4c | 526.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +90.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaea5…a370backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 155 | 17.4%27 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fd5…04c5backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | +7.3wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b2…6aa7backed Yes | 4c | 512.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 4cpaid | +528.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x118c…ae45backed Yes | 5c | 508.65$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 251 | 15.5%39 W · 212 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Yes | 6c | 500.01$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.49 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ff…005dbacked Yes | 6c | 476.98$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 6c | 470.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xafa0…c2c2backed Yes | 5c | 445.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 70 | 14.3%10 W · 60 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd90d…97e5backed Yes | 4c | 400$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 75 | 21.3%16 W · 59 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4703…3ba6backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 63 | 4.8%3 W · 60 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd222…750fbacked Yes | 4c | 394.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a8…d7b7backed Yes | 4c | 333.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 204 | 27.5%56 W · 148 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +24%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x801f…24a6backed Yes | 7c | 313.8$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.13 | 171 | 15.2%26 W · 145 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc1…3957backed Yes | 4c | 307.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…2b31backed Yes | 4c | 300$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 25cpaid | +33%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1597…6edebacked Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 470 | 29.1%137 W · 333 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9a…65d8backed Yes | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…cb30backed Yes | 6c | 246.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0679…fcefbacked Yes | 6c | 246.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 26cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73d7…360dbacked Yes | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 69 | 23.2%16 W · 53 L | +8.5wins | +0.12per pick | 11cpaid | +79.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaea4…106ebacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf248…c699backed Yes | 7c | 190.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 91 | 16.5%15 W · 76 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 14cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…362bbacked Yes | 8c | 149.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.95 | 981 | 34.8%341 W · 640 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3040…6b90backed Yes | 7c | 147.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?Yes won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.