Fifa International · resolved market
Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Norway?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa652e0047976d197635b08be4ce19e8224c16157a5be4c2999f995c264df2b01
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $101,715
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $96,089
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,715 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 4c | 25,000$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,020 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1e0…206dbacked Yes | 4c | 10,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 88 | 26.1%23 W · 65 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 4c | 9,126$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c6c…74c8backed Yes | 4c | 2,463$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 76 | 13.2%10 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 7cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x55e0…1141backed Yes | 4c | 2,203$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 27 | 18.5%5 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x671a…cf16backed Yes | 4c | 1,782$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.06 | 626 | 6.7%42 W · 584 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 7cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7e…916fbacked Yes | 4c | 1,463$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -70%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e50…fa8cbacked Yes | 4c | 1,220$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5519…f7e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,213$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 342 | 31.3%107 W · 235 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26cf…c612backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 166 | 33.7%56 W · 110 L | -8.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb1…96e1backed Yes | 4c | 1,000$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 159 | 11.9%19 W · 140 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Yes | 1c | 953.96$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a8b…11d7backed Yes | 6c | 842.97$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 18.3%32 W · 143 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x257a…b42abacked Yes | 4c | 785.71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 165 | 24.2%40 W · 125 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Yes | 4c | 753.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.6 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf067…5c6dbacked Yes | 4c | 714.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 339 | 15.9%54 W · 285 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Yes | 2c | 700$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 333 | 50.5%168 W · 165 L | +24.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Yes | 4c | 595.24$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 356 | 14.3%51 W · 305 L | -14.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7572…ab0fbacked Yes | 4c | 564.1$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 502 | 14.5%73 W · 429 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfd…038bbacked Yes | 3c | 550$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 364 | 23.6%86 W · 278 L | +12.1wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35fb…4ce5backed Yes | 4c | 499.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 131 | 12.2%16 W · 115 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1f…00a7backed Yes | 4c | 487.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 91 | 25.3%23 W · 68 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2cd2…1f27backed Yes | 5c | 392.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 133 | 28.6%38 W · 95 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b22…0c6fbacked Yes | 4c | 357.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf1…2f4ebacked Yes | 4c | 318.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf257…1950backed Yes | 4c | 286.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 174 | 32.8%57 W · 117 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a1…3b09backed Yes | 4c | 243.9$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea8…90c9backed Yes | 4c | 238.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 0 Norway?this page
- Exact Score: Any Other Score?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 0 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 2 Norway?Yes won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 1 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 2 - 3 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 0 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 1 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 2 Norway?No won
- Exact Score: Côte d'Ivoire 3 - 3 Norway?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.