TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x35fb…4ce5

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
239
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Champions League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Champions League at 57 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT13112.2%16 W · 115 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 131 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Exact Score: Spain 3 - 1 Argentina?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.88
England vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$103.75
Will England win on 2026-07-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$529Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$528.75
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will France win on 2026-07-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$405Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$405
Exact Score: France 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$162.5
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 3 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Switzerland?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Argentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$215
Exact Score: Norway 2 - 3 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
Exact Score: Norway 3 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$160
Will France win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$984Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+62.6%+$616
France vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$265Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$265
Exact Score: France 3 - 2 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$410Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$410
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 2 Egypt?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+5,006.3%+$980.42
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$561.8
Exact Score: United States 1 - 3 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.5
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$320
Exact Score: Portugal 2 - 3 Spain?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Showing 25 of 131 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT4637%17 W · 29 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Champions League — the 46 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$431Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$430.5
FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+400%+$360
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$460Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$460
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$370
Will Sporting CP win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$127Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$127.42
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$815Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.69
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$268Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$218.92
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$303.09
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$515Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$456.75
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$389.83
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-03-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Spread: Tottenham Hotspur FC (-1.5)backed Tottenham Hotspur FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$105
FC Barcelona vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+203%+$670
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$240Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$240
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$135
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$260Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$740
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+809.6%+$445.03
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.62
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$320Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$320
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$170Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$170
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+316.7%+$380
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-02-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$220Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+354.5%+$780
Showing 25 of 46 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2425%6 W · 18 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick21cpaid-14%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs G2 Esports (BO5) - First Stand Group Abacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$55
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$150
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force (BO1)backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 8, 2025, EST-100%-$95
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$605Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$605
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$20
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports (BO5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$54
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 1, 2025, EDT+614.3%+$172
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+112.8%+$53
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$32
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5)backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2025, EDT-100%-$105
LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+400%+$400
LoL: Gen.G vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$46
LoL: KT Rolster vs Top Esports (BO3)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
LoL: PSG Talon vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO1)backed PSG Talon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$14
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Fnatic (BO1)backed Fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$22.5
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Gen.G (BO1)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+222.6%+$69
LoL: T1 vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT-100%-$174.47
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO1)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$244Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 15, 2025, EDT+63.9%+$156
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT+49.7%+$16.59
LoL: T1 vs Invictus Gaming - Game 3 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 14, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.5
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gamingbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$33
All 24 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-39.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$65
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$172Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$172.04
Getafe CF vs. Sevilla FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$87.5
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$885Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$885
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Real Oviedo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+316.7%+$380
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-01-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$70
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$285
Will Espanyol win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST+150%+$300
Will Barcelona win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+78.6%+$220
Will Real Betis win on 2025-11-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$80
Will Barcelona win on 2025-10-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$98
Will Atletico Madrid vs. Real Madrid end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$28
All 14 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+63.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$310
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$127.5
Manchester City FC vs. Newcastle United FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$175Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$175
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+376.2%+$395
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-02-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+733.3%+$440
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-01-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$305Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+63.9%+$195
Will Chelsea FC win on 2025-12-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$73.7
Will Manchester United win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$480Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$480
All 9 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Oct 30, 2025, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-66.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Nov 27, 2025, EST40%0 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Sep 21, 2025, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+66.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: BLG vs TESbacked BLG · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 21, 2025, EDT+233.3%+$347.2
LoL: TES vs ALbacked AL · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 20, 2025, EDT-100%-$98.48
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Netsbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$76
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$135
All 2 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$125.77
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$59.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Nov 24, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Torino FC win on 2025-11-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 24, 2025, EST-100%-$52
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.