Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfc2ce317da4e9c701c792307256258302454d46ad0e3346975b0e9fd2bc95f6c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,794,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,018,124
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,794,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Over | 36c | 209,999$75,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,399.63 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 59c | 179,918$105,266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105,265.83 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 33c | 116,824$38,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,649.65 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a86…4998backed Over | 36c | 81,661$29,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,262.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +3.3wins | +0.33per pick | 27cpaid | +97.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 67c | 79,080$52,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52,983.36 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed Under | 16c | 30,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 258 | 44.6%115 W · 143 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 63c | 25,500$16,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,181.13 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03b8…b4aebacked Under | 16c | 24,570$3,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,900 | 233 | 53.2%124 W · 109 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed Under | 68c | 24,453$16,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,627.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Under | 17c | 21,956$3,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,769.55 | 163 | 57.1%93 W · 70 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2061…8ec9backed Under | 16c | 21,349$3,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,348.36 | 143 | 25.2%36 W · 107 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 54c | 20,733$11,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,445.84 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Under | 0c | 20,090$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 190 | 38.9%74 W · 116 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Under | 64c | 20,000$12,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,800 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28aa…28f5backed Over | 33c | 20,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,399.96 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24c7…77c4backed Under | 16c | 19,587$3,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,133.99 | 89 | 31.5%28 W · 61 L | -9.0wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 36c | 19,285$7,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,999.76 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e77…8c33backed Under | 68c | 18,762$12,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,757.87 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 54cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Under | 16c | 18,300$2,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,928 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 24c | 17,447$4,106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,106.08 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Under | 16c | 16,800$2,688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,687.99 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 14c | 16,624$2,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,284.06 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Over | 35c | 16,000$5,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,400 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1f63…e539backed Under | 65c | 14,656$9,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,526.08 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Under | 31c | 14,554$4,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,499.27 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6be9…5998backed Over | 54c | 13,846$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,346 | 372 | 42.5%158 W · 214 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x847f…459ebacked Under | 16c | 12,840$2,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,054.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 36c | 12,211$4,396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,815.04 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Under | 66c | 12,200$8,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,067.97 | 1,536 | 49.1%754 W · 782 L | +32.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 47c | 11,859$5,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,268.38 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 48c | 10,446$5,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,035.63 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…deb7backed Under | 52c | 10,000$5,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,210.38 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd66…664fbacked Under | 69c | 9,791$6,796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,795.79 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 66c | 9,456$6,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,240.33 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Over | 48c | 9,000$4,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,680 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over | 33c | 8,805$2,884 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,921.81 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 65c | 8,512$5,553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,958.8 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe80…0784backed Under | 16c | 7,800$1,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,247.99 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c5…46c3backed Under | 39c | 7,667$2,953 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,953.5 | 193 | 29%56 W · 137 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Over | 44c | 7,338$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,088.34 | 214 | 42.5%91 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf294…d8fdbacked Under | 64c | 7,188$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 13c | 7,135$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927.49 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Under | 13c | 7,100$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed Under | 60c | 6,948$4,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,168.99 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 66c | 6,728$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.76 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe025…102fbacked Under | 17c | 6,600$1,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,116 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 12c | 5,932$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.91 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f14…29d1backed Under | 15c | 5,714$847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.59 | 159 | 29.6%47 W · 112 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa01c…766cbacked Over | 38c | 5,263$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,263.16 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 36cpaid | +121.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 31c | 5,109$1,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,500.27 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,349.96 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 54c | 4,898$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.37 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 32c | 4,846$1,566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,280.16 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 43c | 4,615$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,615.47 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 53c | 4,511$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.49 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed Over | 36c | 4,500$1,620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6219…aa6fbacked Under | 69c | 4,478$3,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,089.5 | 100 | 57%57 W · 43 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 33c | 4,444$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,977.48 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Under | 1c | 4,444$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.44 | 213 | 14.1%30 W · 183 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 7cpaid | +135.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Under | 63c | 4,192$2,655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,654.79 | 1,313 | 48.9%642 W · 671 L | +12.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6550…8451backed Under | 40c | 4,180$1,672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,671.56 | 217 | 38.7%84 W · 133 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Under | 39c | 4,041$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,595.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Over | 72c | 3,839$2,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,067.12 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed Under | 14c | 3,796$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.55 | 311 | 56.6%176 W · 135 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 64c | 3,707$2,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.03 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed Over | 32c | 3,500$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,380 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 53c | 3,425$1,799 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.67 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed Over | 53c | 3,356$1,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,571.03 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +11.7wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…10d9backed Under | 64c | 3,338$2,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,125.78 | 1,390 | 46.3%644 W · 746 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under | 20c | 3,307$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.02 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Under | 67c | 3,257$2,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,182.19 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7acc…c5b9backed Over | 59c | 3,195$1,891 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,304.05 | 238 | 57.6%137 W · 101 L | +22.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97d6…69e1backed Under | 65c | 3,077$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4156…997ebacked Under | 12c | 3,025$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.26 | 211 | 43.1%91 W · 120 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Over | 34c | 3,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,980 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe301…8654backed Under | 16c | 2,857$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.08 | 441 | 30.8%136 W · 305 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 52c | 2,841$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,373.61 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Under | 67c | 2,800$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,876 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 36c | 2,718$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.49 | 1,711 | 35.2%603 W · 1,108 L | -68.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over | 37c | 2,703$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,702.7 | 169 | 43.2%73 W · 96 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 46c | 2,667$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.76 | 161 | 50.9%82 W · 79 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc444…20dabacked Over | 38c | 2,626$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,626.33 | 137 | 31.4%43 W · 94 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 32c | 2,552$817 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,735.4 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 1c | 2,500$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.07 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 66c | 2,500$1,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.68 | 3,213 | 47.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94cb…64e3backed Over | 34c | 2,500$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638 | 78 | 34.6%27 W · 51 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under | 17c | 2,453$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.01 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 61c | 2,399$1,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,451.47 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 62c | 2,318$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$870.47 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70cf…1b41backed Under | 3c | 2,216$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.32 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 2cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…823abacked Under | 17c | 2,173$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$369.41 | 142 | 50%71 W · 71 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd602…d370backed Under | 71c | 2,113$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Under | 66c | 2,074$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.97 | 3,077 | 47%1,447 W · 1,630 L | -11.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Under | 65c | 2,012$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,317.15 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Under | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.99 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 15c | 1,897$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.94 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 32c | 1,875$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,275 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc387…5a97backed Under | 54c | 1,843$995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.05 | 103 | 56.3%58 W · 45 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x597b…a872backed Under | 64c | 1,800$1,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,152 | 71 | 39.4%28 W · 43 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Under | 28c | 1,778$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$498.7 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.