TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,794,516
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$2,018,124

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,794,516 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 672 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7c1e…bab3backed Over36c209,999$75,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134,399.6322348.4%108 W · 115 L+11.4wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under59c179,918$105,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105,265.834,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6157…9fb4backed Over33c116,824$38,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78,649.6512254.1%66 W · 56 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a86…4998backed Over36c81,661$29,398 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,262.931060%6 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.33per pick27cpaid+97.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under67c79,080$52,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52,983.3633538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed Under16c30,000$4,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,80025844.6%115 W · 143 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under63c25,500$16,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,181.1377152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under16c24,570$3,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,90023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1c5…cbd0backed Under68c24,453$16,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,627.862548%12 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under17c21,956$3,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,769.5516357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2061…8ec9backed Under16c21,349$3,348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,348.3614325.2%36 W · 107 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-42.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over54c20,733$11,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,445.841,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9565…ec9abacked Under0c20,090$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0919038.9%74 W · 116 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+24.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0f1c…82c6backed Under64c20,000$12,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,80010653.8%57 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28aa…28f5backed Over33c20,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,399.964531.1%14 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick31cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24c7…77c4backed Under16c19,587$3,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,133.998931.5%28 W · 61 L-9.0wins-0.10per pick42cpaid-17.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under36c19,285$7,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,999.763,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e77…8c33backed Under68c18,762$12,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,757.873943.6%17 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-20.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Under16c18,300$2,928 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,92811642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Under24c17,447$4,106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.083,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Under16c16,800$2,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,687.992948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under14c16,624$2,284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,284.064,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Over35c16,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4004057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f63…e539backed Under65c14,656$9,526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,526.081866.7%12 W · 6 L-0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under31c14,554$4,499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.2766846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x6be9…5998backed Over54c13,846$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,34637242.5%158 W · 214 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x847f…459ebacked Under16c12,840$2,054 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,054.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid+6.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over36c12,211$4,396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,815.0414045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under66c12,200$8,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,067.971,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over47c11,859$5,591 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,268.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under48c10,446$5,036 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,035.632,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9192…deb7backed Under52c10,000$5,210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,210.383444.1%15 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd66…664fbacked Under69c9,791$6,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,795.794254.8%23 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick62cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over66c9,456$6,215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,240.331,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5257…3e2abacked Over48c9,000$4,320 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,6809948.5%48 W · 51 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf59e…f0bfbacked Over33c8,805$2,884 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,921.8110051%51 W · 49 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over65c8,512$5,553 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,958.837944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…0784backed Under16c7,800$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,247.994351.2%22 W · 21 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c5…46c3backed Under39c7,667$2,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,953.519329%56 W · 137 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc0df…5974backed Over44c7,338$3,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,088.3421442.5%91 W · 123 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf294…d8fdbacked Under64c7,188$4,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,6003751.4%19 W · 18 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Under13c7,135$927 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$927.4928025%70 W · 210 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick28cpaid+0.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under13c7,100$923 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92310251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x9b89…4244backed Under60c6,948$4,169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,168.9917550.3%88 W · 87 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under66c6,728$4,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,444.762,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe025…102fbacked Under17c6,600$1,116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1165846.6%27 W · 31 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+11.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under12c5,932$708 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$707.9144539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f14…29d1backed Under15c5,714$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.5915929.6%47 W · 112 L-0.5wins0.00per pick30cpaid-13.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa01c…766cbacked Over38c5,263$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,263.16580%4 W · 1 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick36cpaid+121.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed Over31c5,109$1,609 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,500.2718633.3%62 W · 124 L-0.2wins0.00per pick33cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over33c5,000$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,349.9674447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over54c4,898$2,621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,277.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over32c4,846$1,566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,280.161,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Over43c4,615$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,615.4725336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over53c4,511$2,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.492,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Over36c4,500$1,620 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,8803534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6219…aa6fbacked Under69c4,478$3,089 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,089.510057%57 W · 43 L+0.4wins0.00per pick57cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over33c4,444$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,977.4832029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Under1c4,444$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.4421314.1%30 W · 183 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick7cpaid+135.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under63c4,192$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.791,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6550…8451backed Under40c4,180$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.5621738.7%84 W · 133 L-8.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-35.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under39c4,041$1,595 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,595.382,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over72c3,839$2,772 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,067.1237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca43…b369backed Under14c3,796$526 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.5531156.6%176 W · 135 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under64c3,707$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,376.031,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Over32c3,500$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3809126.4%24 W · 67 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over53c3,425$1,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.671,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91fe…c1c6backed Over53c3,356$1,785 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,571.0317747.5%84 W · 93 L+11.7wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+12.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under64c3,338$2,126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,125.781,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Under20c3,307$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.021,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Under67c3,257$2,182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,182.1970244.6%313 W · 389 L+13.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed Over59c3,195$1,891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,304.0523857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Under65c3,077$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0009839.8%39 W · 59 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-12.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Under12c3,025$367 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367.2621143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b8f…cca7backed Over34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9808337.3%31 W · 52 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe301…8654backed Under16c2,857$468 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.0844130.8%136 W · 305 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over52c2,841$1,467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,373.6139644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under67c2,800$1,876 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,87644144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under36c2,718$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.491,71135.2%603 W · 1,108 L-68.3wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9dfe…3a5dbacked Over37c2,703$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,702.716943.2%73 W · 96 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-0.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over46c2,667$1,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,428.7616150.9%82 W · 79 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc444…20dabacked Over38c2,626$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,626.3313731.4%43 W · 94 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-20.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over32c2,552$817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,735.436247.2%171 W · 191 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under1c2,500$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.0743737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under66c2,500$1,660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,659.683,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Over34c2,500$862 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,6387834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under17c2,453$417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.0111558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under61c2,399$1,451 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.472,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Over62c2,318$1,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$870.4787651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x70cf…1b41backed Under3c2,216$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.32166.3%1 W · 15 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick2cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under17c2,173$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$369.4114250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd602…d370backed Under71c2,113$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001573.3%11 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick67cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under66c2,074$1,372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,371.973,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe02…be9dbacked Under65c2,012$1,317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,317.156555.4%36 W · 29 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd255…4676backed Under63c2,000$1,260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,259.9921450.5%108 W · 106 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under15c1,897$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.942,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over32c1,875$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,27589443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc387…5a97backed Under54c1,843$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$995.0510356.3%58 W · 45 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x597b…a872backed Under64c1,800$1,152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1527139.4%28 W · 43 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Under28c1,778$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.71,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.