TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$57,334
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$61,301

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,334 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x84cf…2f63backed Over53c11,241$5,988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,253.562,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under48c8,912$4,239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,238.8758049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under46c6,497$3,017 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,016.8534249.1%168 W · 174 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+33.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d06…7910backed Over50c6,372$3,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,166.3514343.4%62 W · 81 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb17e…22bebacked Under48c3,814$1,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,827.0918543.8%81 W · 104 L-6.0wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-22.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c2,447$1,185 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,184.761,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x81f6…4488backed Over54c2,392$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,107.31118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.7wins-0.34per pick52cpaid-64.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa54c…7f3cbacked Over59c2,315$1,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9403847.4%18 W · 20 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick58cpaid-25.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under45c2,216$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.148057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under45c1,950$878 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$877.5853448.5%259 W · 275 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under40c1,819$735 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$735.362,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0547…9926backed Over55c1,422$782 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.8621443%92 W · 122 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86f4…bd70backed Under49c1,406$683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$683.026056.7%34 W · 26 L-0.1wins0.00per pick57cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2422…1939backed Under12c1,000$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203511.4%4 W · 31 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick11cpaid+107.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b02…083abacked Over55c909.09$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.096225.8%16 W · 46 L-3.9wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-23.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xba5a…896cbacked Under10c900$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90258%2 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under49c855.36$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.3188838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over51c828.85$423 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$405.54,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53d0…1855backed Over55c790.91$435 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.91966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+34.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1bf4…f4c3backed Over53c747.73$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.7315125.2%38 W · 113 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick23cpaid+10.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2540…6becbacked Under49c666.12$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.4324540.4%99 W · 146 L+0.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under48c656$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$314.8883153.3%443 W · 388 L+15.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14f3…0796backed Under51c577.26$296 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$296.1879149.2%389 W · 402 L+28.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over52c500$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24031046.5%144 W · 166 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf66e…14b7backed Under51c489$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$248.4277051.3%395 W · 375 L+29.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8ee…9e81backed Under18c478$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.041,79544.2%794 W · 1,001 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over50c465.97$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.848,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over50c461.38$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232.282,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Over50c435.6$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.877845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over47c428.01$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$228.372,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41e2…3ad5backed Under48c380.73$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.397834.6%27 W · 51 L+0.2wins0.00per pick34cpaid-9.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x196f…b9aabacked Over54c370.37$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.372962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd028…e86abacked Over55c364$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1649429.8%28 W · 66 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick29cpaid-1.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Under47c262.13$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1234656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over39c261.56$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$158.481,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…8689backed Under51c244$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3916647%78 W · 88 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf25b…82d0backed Over53c242.13$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.86338.1%24 W · 39 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick36cpaid-16.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over52c239.52$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.973,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x09da…50bcbacked Under51c235.9$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$120.2945548.6%221 W · 234 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x976a…e8ecbacked Under18c228.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.11,11449.4%550 W · 564 L+57.3wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+11.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf33…b5f8backed Over52c200$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.220017%34 W · 166 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-26.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d5b…6c2abacked Under48c198.31$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.194763.8%30 W · 17 L+4.3wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+22.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.3129529.8%88 W · 207 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc869…5ec8backed Over53c188.92$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.928320.5%17 W · 66 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-31.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under45c187.1$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.842,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6701…d7d2backed Under50c186$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.7313850%69 W · 69 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x21af…e761backed Over54c185.19$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.195650%28 W · 28 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over55c181.82$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.8224649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Under18c181.21$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.621,60147.8%765 W · 836 L+51.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc593…ea8cbacked Under51c166$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.1437352.5%196 W · 177 L+16.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6cc0…e0bebacked Over51c135$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.151154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over51c133$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.1727227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Under8c127$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.481,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Under17c95.4$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1673536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bf3…4f00backed Under49c91.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.7248055.2%265 W · 215 L+12.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfaa…05e8backed Over56c88.6$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.66136.1%22 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick33cpaid-15.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x511a…f43fbacked Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.63953.8%21 W · 18 L+3.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x755a…6da6backed Under48c79.17$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3824654.1%133 W · 113 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe2ab…0dc8backed Over51c78.43$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.4316535.2%58 W · 107 L-8.6wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-19.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x19e5…dd71backed Under51c77.39$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4629556.6%167 W · 128 L+19.9wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+12%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed Over74c76$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.041,56339.8%622 W · 941 L-51.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-23.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over52c69.99$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.391,30644.7%584 W · 722 L-9.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x68ef…89cabacked Over74c68.01$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.0128143.8%123 W · 158 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under41c63.58$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.272,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked Over52c57.69$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6923943.5%104 W · 135 L-11.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under47c57.3$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9363745.4%289 W · 348 L-2.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1e55…a3fbbacked Over54c55.56$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5638933.2%129 W · 260 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b54…09c5backed Over55c54.55$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.556045%27 W · 33 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-0.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x731b…6124backed Over55c54.43$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.431838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xabfe…dba6backed Over55c52.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.739734%33 W · 64 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-20.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over52c51.25$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.41,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cbf…79c3backed Over50c50.2$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.25658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under41c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.572247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Over49c43.3$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.9220968.4%143 W · 66 L+21.5wins+0.10per pick58cpaid+14.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe83a…8355backed Under50c42.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2131853.1%169 W · 149 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9629…ee15backed Under50c40.2$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.19446.8%44 W · 50 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee12…0086backed Over53c37.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.745240.4%21 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-14.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5663…f2e5backed Under51c37.18$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9618761%114 W · 73 L+18.3wins+0.10per pick51cpaid+23.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd913…2cf7backed Over54c37.04$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.041136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.07per pick43cpaid+30.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb111…393ebacked Over73c36.29$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82075%15 W · 5 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick64cpaid+15.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x12f5…5ac4backed Under45c35.1$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.791225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid+45.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bbf…49c1backed Under49c33.99$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5822452.7%118 W · 106 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a07…8e2abacked Over53c30.6$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.38862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.22per pick41cpaid+110.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over74c29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5487237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under46c28.7$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.21,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1506…e79ebacked Over53c28.3$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.320049%98 W · 102 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6eb0…ae93backed Over54c26.65$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.263633.3%12 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick30cpaid+74.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f18…d6cabacked Over60c25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1023062.6%144 W · 86 L-1.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x113f…ae4dbacked Under48c24.46$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8417448.9%85 W · 89 L+9.5wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Over61c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.021,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Over56c23$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.0865036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x42a1…a8e9backed Over60c23$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.1817533.7%59 W · 116 L-12.8wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-36.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xcc1e…f4edbacked Over53c22.64$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.6411452.6%60 W · 54 L-0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4342…0f91backed Over65c22.64$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.92616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick44cpaid-74.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over51c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.841,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x91a5…2c59backed Over77c19.4$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.4580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick75cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.