Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9cc5c024f05483b737ed48d4d6448f91e8aad3734c316c95e6f027f5ad51b3e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $301,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $316,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $301,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 8c | 35,756$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.32 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 8c | 21,094$1,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,713.41 | 1,627 | 32.1%523 W · 1,104 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 8c | 16,911$1,335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,335.09 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 3c | 11,058$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.75 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Over | 4c | 8,171$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 9c | 5,871$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Over | 3c | 5,695$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.05 | 727 | 22.7%165 W · 562 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Over | 6c | 4,592$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.09 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 3c | 4,063$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.74 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 3c | 3,861$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef23…5b60backed Over | 3c | 3,628$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.17 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Over | 3c | 3,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 59 | 11.9%7 W · 52 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 7cpaid | +220.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Over | 7c | 2,892$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.38 | 2,973 | 28%831 W · 2,142 L | -132.5wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47dc…ffaabacked Over | 4c | 2,744$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 7c | 2,303$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.05 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…2534backed Over | 3c | 2,000$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…e4e0backed Over | 15c | 1,981$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 253 | 36.8%93 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Over | 3c | 1,500$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.5 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04d2…4850backed Over | 3c | 1,312$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb36…a357backed Over | 3c | 1,297$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 72 | 11.1%8 W · 64 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb28a…6d4abacked Over | 1c | 1,014$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Over | 12c | 1,000$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 98 | 21.4%21 W · 77 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -26%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b7a…86cfbacked Over | 3c | 999.98$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 234 | 29.1%68 W · 166 L | -10.4wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1708…0619backed Over | 8c | 937.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 55 | 34.5%19 W · 36 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 29cpaid | +34.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Over | 4c | 883.49$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 5c | 813.18$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.67 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Over | 13c | 781.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe246…dedcbacked Over | 4c | 727.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 277 | 50.9%141 W · 136 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…04c7backed Over | 13c | 687.02$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fa8…0b19backed Over | 4c | 678.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 427 | 55.5%237 W · 190 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Over | 4c | 671.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.64 | 652 | 53.8%351 W · 301 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 7c | 639.95$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.27 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Over | 4c | 635.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.74 | 320 | 55.9%179 W · 141 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ebb…8220backed Over | 8c | 634.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 24.1%68 W · 214 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x206b…5162backed Over | 4c | 605.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.68 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x829a…a748backed Over | 3c | 588.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 3c | 583.41$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 158 | 55.7%88 W · 70 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Over | 4c | 582.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.65 | 201 | 56.2%113 W · 88 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…6d55backed Over | 3c | 577.19$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 115 | 54.8%63 W · 52 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59d7…f69dbacked Over | 3c | 558.07$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.67 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ac…8de4backed Over | 3c | 553.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 234 | 49.1%115 W · 119 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Over | 3c | 542.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 306 | 7.8%24 W · 282 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ac…b73dbacked Over | 3c | 541.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Over | 3c | 537.04$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Over | 3c | 529.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over | 2c | 522.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 360 | 24.4%88 W · 272 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x751f…e4ddbacked Over | 3c | 499$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.27 | 879 | 38.6%339 W · 540 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 8c | 497.53$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.86 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Over | 9c | 462.44$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.08 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcd7…f2c8backed Over | 3c | 439.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64b6…1514backed Over | 3c | 411.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa590…d2bdbacked Over | 14c | 365.93$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed Over | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 560 | 22.7%127 W · 433 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc6d…31cebacked Over | 12c | 295.68$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 669 | 32.1%215 W · 454 L | +16.8wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over | 6c | 249.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 300 | 39.3%118 W · 182 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Over | 5c | 214.49$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.17 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1228…a86ebacked Over | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7020…d655backed Over | 8c | 170.6$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 9c | 169.48$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Over | 7c | 162$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 9c | 138.93$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c3f…e6a2backed Over | 10c | 120.37$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.44 | 425 | 54.4%231 W · 194 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 12c | 103$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 16c | 63.82$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.39 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.