TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$239,311
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$240,997

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,311 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec44…c92bbacked Over18c78,031$14,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64,030.738521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over13c13,045$1,761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,284.742,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x03b8…b4aebacked Under78c12,746$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00023353.2%124 W · 109 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Under3c10,256$337 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336.941331%128 W · 285 L+0.8wins0.00per pick31cpaid-35.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2220…1a0fbacked Under2c6,899$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.9819218.8%36 W · 156 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-24.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over15c6,861$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,831.481,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf16e…43afbacked Under3c6,789$202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.449525.3%24 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-25.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x145a…5e86backed Under3c3,850$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.1621641.7%90 W · 126 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over17c3,719$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,105.0551514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Over12c3,422$411 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,011.3632656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Over12c2,958$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,603.3346223.2%107 W · 355 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x482a…c85dbacked Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5034731.1%108 W · 239 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick32cpaid+15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e5c…ab50backed Under2c2,500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508032.5%26 W · 54 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-35.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Under4c2,067$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8038819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x993c…2aecbacked Under4c1,676$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$605616.1%9 W · 47 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8dee…412bbacked Over12c1,667$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.6789443.4%388 W · 506 L+18.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b18…577ebacked Under2c1,667$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$408212.2%10 W · 72 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick15cpaid-60.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa518…cce4backed Over12c1,524$183 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,340.83933.3%3 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.15per pick19cpaid+63.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3642…74eabacked Under23c1,419$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.2513727%37 W · 100 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over13c1,314$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.592,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e97…8ffabacked Under3c1,281$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.9325125.1%63 W · 188 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-4.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x3baf…7d44backed Under2c1,250$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2527032.2%87 W · 183 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over37c1,149$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$723.9364446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…896cbacked Under12c1,023$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.07258%2 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick11cpaid-31.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510c…6a61backed Under1c1,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1022029.5%65 W · 155 L+10.8wins+0.05per pick25cpaid-14%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1041…f452backed Under76c1,000$759 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.6210146.5%47 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+9.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2393…d54dbacked Over12c999.99$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.9917625%44 W · 132 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick23cpaid+32.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a2b…3e5cbacked Under2c999.98$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2513530.4%41 W · 94 L+7.7wins+0.06per pick25cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over19c908.67$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$736.912,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over14c798.8$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$690.388,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over13c798$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.262,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under63c793.65$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50037650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over39c786.41$308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.9371939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0886…b3a6backed Over13c769.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.2332922.5%74 W · 255 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe196…7976backed Over12c641.67$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564.6723528.1%66 W · 169 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb964…033ebacked Over25c636.11$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.9717442%73 W · 101 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x275c…349cbacked Under4c450$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2012528%35 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid+43.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb73b…91b9backed Over14c445.74$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.34250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+257.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9a3b…b968backed Under69c437.94$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032356%181 W · 142 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe462…e436backed Over12c408.33$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.3322919.2%44 W · 185 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x05ae…5a4bbacked Over13c400$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34836024.4%88 W · 272 L-0.7wins0.00per pick25cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over12c400$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35222943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x351a…04c7backed Over15c397.69$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$339.691225%3 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick21cpaid+38.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over35c392.88$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.042,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbe2…004dbacked Under6c380$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.411114.4%16 W · 95 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick10cpaid+51.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb349…d14bbacked Over13c300$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.9227637.7%104 W · 172 L+15.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+19.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under48c265.74$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.672247.2%341 W · 381 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-14.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c36…4da4backed Under4c250$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1011126.1%29 W · 82 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick24cpaid+14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under12c247$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.992,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x77c5…f6a1backed Under75c245.03$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$183.7715754.1%85 W · 72 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6770…c3bdbacked Under8c236.78$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3465036.9%240 W · 410 L-27.9wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-28%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x629d…756cbacked Under8c224.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.351,35438.9%527 W · 827 L-55.8wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c04…1844backed Over13c192.31$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.3114425.7%37 W · 107 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick31cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f17…c1dbbacked Over13c173.98$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.362888%23 W · 265 L-1.2wins0.00per pick8cpaid-20.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x168c…f24bbacked Under65c163$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.675955.9%33 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick60cpaid-11.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3432…4ee4backed Over13c153.85$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.855020%10 W · 40 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick21cpaid+17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e7…a32cbacked Over21c149.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.481,38040.2%555 W · 825 L-51.6wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-23%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Under74c143$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.382,79346.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L-10.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x49f2…4079backed Over13c142.23$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.742751.9%14 W · 13 L+3.5wins+0.13per pick39cpaid+76.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over55c140$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.352,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Over15c137.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1172,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x99bc…4f35backed Under20c137.18$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9280225.7%206 W · 596 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x182c…64d3backed Over12c135.58$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.317215.3%11 W · 61 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick14cpaid+22%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over12c125$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1101,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e4a…6ae4backed Over25c120$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$905560%33 W · 22 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Over13c118.95$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.945754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.6wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+46.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8325…19ccbacked Under77c117.98$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8466846.7%312 W · 356 L+45.9wins+0.07per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x74e0…47d8backed Under50c102.52$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9910942.2%46 W · 63 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick48cpaid-23.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x793c…1b9ebacked Over12c100$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$885330.2%16 W · 37 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick22cpaid+25.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over21c100$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57d1…dc9fbacked Over12c97.4$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.414625.3%37 W · 109 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdca0…140ebacked Over13c92.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.3117240.7%70 W · 102 L+11.0wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+22.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7de7…c06fbacked Over13c92.31$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.312552%13 W · 12 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick38cpaid+53.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over26c86.69$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.155213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa57e…9df6backed Over51c73.77$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.987368.5%50 W · 23 L+12.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+45.6%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0x186a…559dbacked Under74c67.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5014659.6%87 W · 59 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-11.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under33c65.54$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.762,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over31c59.99$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.235848.3%173 W · 185 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5821…7c51backed Under77c58.98$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4138437%142 W · 242 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2126…aeebbacked Over32c50$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3441444.9%186 W · 228 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x47c9…2038backed Over37c41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.8314955%82 W · 67 L+13.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+21.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x91d8…9e8dbacked Over79c39.98$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.4850146.1%231 W · 270 L+14.2wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over35c38.46$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x775d…6bebbacked Over38c33$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.31,43840.1%576 W · 862 L-40.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…2f1dbacked Over37c32.43$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.43425%1 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick17cpaid-32.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6e9…00f8backed Under64c31.25$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2018637.6%70 W · 116 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-25.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9da7…8bb1backed Under63c29.99$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.899858.2%57 W · 41 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.