Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: United States (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x57924924e3903f1005489be2e434e43637ebbfed31d0f3077302b0567936c015
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Belgiumof United States, Belgium
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $951,076
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $869,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $951,076 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed United States | 19c | 166,845$31,530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,530.24 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed United States | 14c | 54,260$7,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,830.34 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdac7…6d53backed United States | 19c | 50,001$9,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,472.47 | 91 | 31.9%29 W · 62 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked United States | 19c | 49,675$9,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,506.64 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked United States | 20c | 40,000$7,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,800 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb225…3d54backed United States | 19c | 40,000$7,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,599.93 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…f79dbacked United States | 19c | 30,000$5,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,699.97 | 125 | 36.8%46 W · 79 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee3…6fe5backed United States | 19c | 29,000$5,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,510 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69c5…1e01backed United States | 19c | 25,894$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa974…ef79backed United States | 16c | 21,000$3,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,419.99 | 222 | 29.7%66 W · 156 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked United States | 18c | 13,328$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399.01 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed United States | 11c | 12,465$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.31 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed United States | 19c | 12,010$2,325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,325.38 | 2,171 | 38.2%829 W · 1,342 L | -36.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked United States | 10c | 11,144$1,161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,160.6 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed United States | 4c | 10,311$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.98 | 390 | 39%152 W · 238 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecdb…c4c7backed United States | 19c | 8,000$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Belgium | 80c | 6,260$5,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.01 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bea…a7e6backed United States | 2c | 5,802$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.63 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +25.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked United States | 18c | 5,426$977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.71 | 33 | 12.1%4 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a86…201abacked United States | 19c | 5,263$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…9c62backed United States | 18c | 5,027$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.17 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6534…240cbacked United States | 20c | 5,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 54 | 33.3%18 W · 36 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked United States | 2c | 4,963$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.49 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6320…7e94backed United States | 18c | 4,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 388 | 17.5%68 W · 320 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc02b…80f3backed United States | 4c | 3,748$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -55%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21b7…c861backed United States | 18c | 3,500$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 91 | 26.4%24 W · 67 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed United States | 19c | 3,360$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$622.5 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb15…8393backed United States | 19c | 3,158$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 148 | 29.7%44 W · 104 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed United States | 19c | 3,074$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.14 | 246 | 35.8%88 W · 158 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6b…96e1backed United States | 11c | 3,044$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$345.25 | 258 | 21.3%55 W · 203 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked United States | 19c | 2,987$568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$567.62 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed United States | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 280 | 25%70 W · 210 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…3354backed United States | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 317 | 28.1%89 W · 228 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d4…6e9bbacked United States | 2c | 2,252$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 211 | 28%59 W · 152 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447f…f362backed United States | 1c | 2,074$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7265…8712backed United States | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 335 | 48.4%162 W · 173 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed United States | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 550 | 44.7%246 W · 304 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Belgium | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 214 | 50.5%108 W · 106 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5672…7312backed United States | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 354 | 46%163 W · 191 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8716…57c8backed United States | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…c6edbacked United States | 17c | 2,000$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 38 | 21.1%8 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked United States | 19c | 1,776$337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.44 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62e0…32dfbacked United States | 19c | 1,579$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 173 | 45.1%78 W · 95 L | +11.1wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac9…92d3backed United States | 8c | 1,561$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 226 | 22.1%50 W · 176 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…5102backed United States | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 143 | 17.5%25 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…9926backed United States | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 214 | 43%92 W · 122 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed United States | 19c | 1,500$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 471 | 27.8%131 W · 340 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23ee…15cbbacked United States | 18c | 1,500$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$265 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e7c…6392backed United States | 19c | 1,316$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 34 | 11.8%4 W · 30 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked United States | 3c | 1,300$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.31 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1622…d2aebacked United States | 17c | 1,272$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.19 | 168 | 41.1%69 W · 99 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe981…1859backed United States | 8c | 1,263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 109 | 18.3%20 W · 89 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…b575backed United States | 19c | 1,211$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.03 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed United States | 2c | 1,201$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 384 | 37%142 W · 242 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…c023backed United States | 9c | 1,200$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 275 | 43.6%120 W · 155 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…f23cbacked United States | 18c | 1,189$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd722…0564backed United States | 17c | 1,176$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed United States | 18c | 1,170$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.94 | 977 | 42%410 W · 567 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd15…4a07backed United States | 17c | 1,100$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187 | 76 | 21.1%16 W · 60 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x45e4…3c69backed United States | 19c | 1,053$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 96 | 49%47 W · 49 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x772d…45bbbacked United States | 6c | 1,047$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 68 | 19.1%13 W · 55 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c11…9b33backed United States | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed United States | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 252 | 51.2%129 W · 123 L | +10.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc66f…104cbacked United States | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f82…efe0backed United States | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 33cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Belgium | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 465 | 46.7%217 W · 248 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf545…305bbacked United States | 19c | 1,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 142 | 42.3%60 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Belgium | 80c | 1,000$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 303 | 45.2%137 W · 166 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11be…7712backed United States | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 226 | 20.4%46 W · 180 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ab…178dbacked United States | 3c | 1,000$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 198 | 23.7%47 W · 151 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…4244backed United States | 5c | 999.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 175 | 50.3%88 W · 87 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf33d…a537backed United States | 20c | 933.25$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.65 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5517…760ebacked United States | 2c | 909.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.75 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked United States | 5c | 810.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.4 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed United States | 19c | 804.09$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 285 | 35.8%102 W · 183 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb81…1f15backed Belgium | 80c | 800$640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7578…6426backed United States | 20c | 750$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 73 | 35.6%26 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked United States | 8c | 748.25$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed United States | 18c | 747.78$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.66 | 150 | 48%72 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked United States | 17c | 725$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.25 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +4.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…5aafbacked United States | 19c | 700$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc12e…7c8abacked United States | 20c | 650$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338b…bf88backed United States | 17c | 600$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102 | 193 | 32.6%63 W · 130 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x787b…652bbacked United States | 18c | 556.91$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7592…f661backed United States | 18c | 555$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 89 | 39.3%35 W · 54 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5e…0381backed United States | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 139 | 43.9%61 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd34c…10b4backed United States | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 724 | 24.7%179 W · 545 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x283e…6381backed United States | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5172…c13abacked United States | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f6…0bb0backed United States | 19c | 500$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a86…5664backed United States | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 145 | 28.3%41 W · 104 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…62e0backed United States | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 11.1%5 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed United States | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb60e…21bfbacked United States | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e0…ff0fbacked Belgium | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 289 | 45.3%131 W · 158 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5eb…2ffabacked United States | 18c | 500$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked United States | 18c | 479.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.43 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ddc…1ac4backed United States | 17c | 454.62$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…95d3backed United States | 20c | 450$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | -8.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked United States | 19c | 436.26$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.89 | 452 | 48.9%221 W · 231 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: United States (-1.5)this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.