Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f3e8ba123deb05e3aff47ad738429054f345fbb872b9305510706bff3aa8c3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,041,580
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,171,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,041,580 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,326 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe9a6…627bbacked Over | 54c | 1,108,844$600,541 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508,303.26 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1c5…cbd0backed Under | 44c | 1,042,866$463,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463,264.27 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 46c | 881,108$403,354 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403,354.26 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 44c | 442,671$193,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193,623.29 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Under | 43c | 422,222$183,244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183,244.46 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc430…1ebfbacked Over | 57c | 230,000$131,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98,900 | 89 | 32.6%29 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Under | 43c | 177,777$76,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76,444.11 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe549…2d54backed Over | 54c | 171,166$92,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78,736.28 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 44c | 165,788$73,631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73,630.75 | 320 | 31.6%101 W · 219 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 56c | 163,044$91,305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,739.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d06…7910backed Over | 57c | 160,000$91,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68,100 | 143 | 43.4%62 W · 81 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Over | 58c | 150,000$87,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63,000 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7923…6c0bbacked Over | 56c | 127,267$71,522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,745.2 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…73c3backed Over | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,000 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 86,212$49,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,662.54 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 63c | 78,602$49,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,454.61 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Over | 56c | 71,854$40,343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,510.4 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x122b…ac59backed Under | 1c | 62,304$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.04 | 245 | 33.5%82 W · 163 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Over | 54c | 60,000$32,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,599.97 | 52 | 63.5%33 W · 19 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Over | 57c | 50,000$28,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,400 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf742…e039backed Under | 41c | 50,000$20,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,549.97 | 264 | 47.7%126 W · 138 L | +9.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Over | 56c | 49,069$27,478 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,590.16 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe653…c4a7backed Over | 57c | 45,000$25,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,350 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 46c | 40,995$18,858 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,857.91 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Over | 57c | 40,000$23,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,000 | 239 | 42.3%101 W · 138 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Under | 46c | 40,000$18,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,400 | 270 | 39.6%107 W · 163 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Under | 29c | 38,150$10,947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,946.99 | 207 | 31.4%65 W · 142 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 58c | 37,996$22,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,958.32 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Over | 54c | 37,560$20,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,277.6 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 55c | 36,608$20,272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,336.14 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 55c | 31,913$17,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,361 | 454 | 28%127 W · 327 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 57c | 28,170$16,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,147.72 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Under | 34c | 25,815$8,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,693.13 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecc…7850backed Over | 54c | 23,257$12,559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,698.27 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Under | 35c | 22,750$8,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,034.99 | 297 | 40.1%119 W · 178 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12af…ff78backed Under | 46c | 22,000$10,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,120 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 56c | 20,315$11,377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,938.75 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed1…eedbbacked Over | 56c | 20,150$11,283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,867.5 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Over | 54c | 18,759$10,130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,629.08 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 55c | 18,182$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,181.82 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 58c | 17,200$9,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,224 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Over | 59c | 17,000$10,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,970 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa2…e80abacked Over | 56c | 16,665$9,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,332.6 | 139 | 59.7%83 W · 56 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…7364backed Over | 56c | 16,601$9,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,304.65 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 15,738$8,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,064.83 | 360 | 31.7%114 W · 246 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,899.98 | 534 | 48.5%259 W · 275 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Over | 56c | 14,388$7,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,390.58 | 299 | 52.5%157 W · 142 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 56c | 14,094$7,932 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,162.56 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over | 54c | 14,000$7,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,440 | 744 | 47.8%356 W · 388 L | +11.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc229…1b74backed Over | 59c | 13,000$7,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,330 | 88 | 58%51 W · 37 L | +10.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Over | 56c | 12,500$7,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,440 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 46c | 12,425$5,715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,715.39 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 42c | 12,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked Over | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 296 | 46.3%137 W · 159 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 42c | 12,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.99 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 42c | 12,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,999.94 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Over | 56c | 11,428$6,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,028.32 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Under | 43c | 11,098$4,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,744.4 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1fa…9c2cbacked Over | 57c | 10,756$6,131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,625.06 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8edd…74d2backed Over | 58c | 10,068$5,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,228.47 | 88 | 35.2%31 W · 57 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa80e…6aa1backed Over | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 273 | 45.8%125 W · 148 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…9e24backed Under | 44c | 10,000$4,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,400 | 132 | 34.1%45 W · 87 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9192…deb7backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6bf…8380backed Under | 46c | 10,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 80 | 41.3%33 W · 47 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57b4…b46bbacked Over | 58c | 10,000$5,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,200 | 100 | 59%59 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.94 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x996a…e3ccbacked Under | 39c | 9,445$3,721 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,721.31 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 57c | 8,540$4,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,637.22 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 8,419$3,716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,716.45 | 2,805 | 55.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L | +70.4wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Under | 46c | 8,162$3,754 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,754.45 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd026…ec2fbacked Over | 56c | 8,012$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,486.36 | 52 | 36.5%19 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…8f58backed Over | 58c | 7,655$4,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,215.1 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a4…5c3fbacked Under | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,449.99 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…1b4abacked Over | 64c | 7,023$4,481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,542.27 | 396 | 44.7%177 W · 219 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad4…6866backed Over | 52c | 7,000$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,360 | 84 | 35.7%30 W · 54 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Over | 56c | 7,000$3,920 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,080 | 239 | 49.4%118 W · 121 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Over | 54c | 6,907$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,177.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +72.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 67c | 6,530$4,372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,157.5 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Over | 54c | 6,476$3,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,972.68 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 42c | 6,400$2,684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.99 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Under | 42c | 6,002$2,521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520.79 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96a3…d944backed Over | 52c | 6,000$3,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,880 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | +17.5wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Under | 46c | 6,000$2,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,760 | 241 | 44.8%108 W · 133 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 41c | 6,000$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Over | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.94 | 162 | 58.6%95 W · 67 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Over | 55c | 5,784$3,208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,576.59 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Over | 54c | 5,742$3,119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,622.88 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34da…2750backed Over | 58c | 5,583$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,345.05 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Over | 54c | 5,555$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,555.3 | 320 | 29.4%94 W · 226 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 65c | 5,435$3,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.01 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under | 42c | 5,222$2,193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,193.17 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 73c | 5,165$3,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,410.34 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 43c | 5,157$2,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,227.33 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x910d…0d1cbacked Over | 59c | 5,085$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,084.75 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac75…1319backed Over | 55c | 5,000$2,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,300 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Over | 54c | 5,000$2,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,299.99 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1041…f452backed Under | 47c | 5,000$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.99 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55f5…e2a0backed Over | 70c | 4,817$3,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.9 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed Over | 51c | 4,731$2,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,318.19 | 186 | 33.3%62 W · 124 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.