Fifa International · resolved market
United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x073ae5eec764a098e0f94aaa441d474a4e67e20d3ec1dfc96ac43885e9a16d3e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,515
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3f41…5ffcbacked Under | 73c | 2,558$1,864 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.95 | 342 | 49.1%168 W · 174 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 27c | 2,516$668 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$667.66 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8dee…412bbacked Over | 28c | 1,068$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 894 | 43.4%388 W · 506 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 21c | 864.76$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.75 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Under | 73c | 655.74$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.05 | 192 | 50%96 W · 96 L | +10.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +18%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351a…04c7backed Over | 29c | 517.54$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 76c | 505.55$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.33 | 1,559 | 52.4%817 W · 742 L | +97.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7cd…093abacked Over | 30c | 492.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 288 | 22.6%65 W · 223 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Over | 29c | 460$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.42 | 1,438 | 40.1%576 W · 862 L | -40.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Over | 29c | 443.99$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.51 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Over | 30c | 372$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.36 | 1,354 | 38.9%527 W · 827 L | -55.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Over | 33c | 372$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.92 | 650 | 36.9%240 W · 410 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -28%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Over | 30c | 372$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.64 | 175 | 33.7%59 W · 116 L | -12.8wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Over | 29c | 310$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.69 | 1,380 | 40.2%555 W · 825 L | -51.6wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 67c | 231.21$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2,533 | 46.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L | +12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Under | 76c | 210.44$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.29 | 2,804 | 46.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L | -27.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Over | 27c | 187.85$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.9 | 872 | 37.8%330 W · 542 L | -39.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd9…ebc3backed Over | 28c | 178.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 146 | 38.4%56 W · 90 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2,411 | 53%1,278 W · 1,133 L | +75.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 72c | 173$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.44 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ce…43fabacked Over | 29c | 155.17$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,388 | 15.1%210 W · 1,178 L | -16.0wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x933a…8a61backed Over | 27c | 148.05$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.7 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over | 29c | 143$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.14 | 735 | 36.3%267 W · 468 L | -32.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Under | 77c | 125.97$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.97 | 791 | 49.2%389 W · 402 L | +28.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…b5dfbacked Under | 73c | 112.33$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.33 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x684e…9991backed Over | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 72c | 100.97$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 2,626 | 41.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Under | 78c | 97$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.82 | 770 | 51.3%395 W · 375 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Under | 73c | 86.9$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 1,669 | 41.6%694 W · 975 L | +15.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 28c | 86.29$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.16 | 876 | 51.1%448 W · 428 L | +25.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Under | 67c | 83$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 2,793 | 46.6%1,301 W · 1,492 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95e9…67b6backed Over | 36c | 69.44$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 163 | 44.2%72 W · 91 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x755a…6da6backed Under | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 246 | 54.1%133 W · 113 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Over | 29c | 64.6$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Under | 69c | 62.59$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 722 | 47.2%341 W · 381 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c26…248ebacked Under | 69c | 57.97$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 63 | 55.6%35 W · 28 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb0…ae93backed Over | 27c | 52.89$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.28 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Over | 25c | 51.71$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.01 | 1,306 | 44.7%584 W · 722 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098e…76cfbacked Over | 27c | 51.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 31cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 72c | 51.21$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.42 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6701…d7d2backed Under | 76c | 51$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.24 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Under | 78c | 50.1$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 455 | 48.6%221 W · 234 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.32 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb17e…22bebacked Under | 75c | 49.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.44 | 185 | 43.8%81 W · 104 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…8689backed Under | 77c | 46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc593…ea8cbacked Under | 77c | 32$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 373 | 52.5%196 W · 177 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeff4…88d2backed Under | 76c | 31.71$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.71 | 38 | 73.7%28 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 73cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 73c | 27.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc8…4f5bbacked Under | 72c | 27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb7b5…5b1ebacked Under | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 52 | 65.4%34 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,453 | 34.7%850 W · 1,603 L | +84.3wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19e5…dd71backed Under | 78c | 16.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 295 | 56.6%167 W · 128 L | +19.9wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 70c | 16.17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.85 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 42 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Belgium (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: Belgium (-3.5)United States won
- Spread: Belgium (-4.5)United States won
- Spread: United States (-1.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-2.5)Belgium won
- Spread: United States (-3.5)Belgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium 2nd Half O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Belgium O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in First HalfYes won
- United States vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 5.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 6.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 7.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: O/U 8.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Team to AdvanceBelgium won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 0.5Over won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 1.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: United States O/U 2.5Under won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?No won
- United States vs. Belgium: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.